loyalfromlondon wrote:
So is there a consensus that The Producers is DOA?
If there's only room for one popular film, it's Kong for sure. Which leaves The Producers (which I predict will break $100 Mill with good-great reviews) stranded.
Munich, Kong and The Producers are all Universal (well... Munich is Universal/Dreamworks). The Producers may make $100 million, but it won't do that until after it is released on Jan 13th (right?) and I believe the ballots are due the most week (and most are turned in even earlier. So box office can't really have too much of an effect on Producers.
Kong + Producers won't happen on the same ballot, so I think it boils down to getting two "musical/comedy" films nominated vs a larger box office movie. Two "remakes" and two both fantasy and musical has been awarded in the last few years pretty well... I dunno.
Personally, I think the Memoirs spot is the weak one at this particular moment and I feel that would be replaced by a bigger production, not a musical.
Since Memoirs isn't dead at the moment, it's an uphill battle for both movies.