What surprise win/loss will be foretelling for the rest of the evening, assuming this is the order of the ceremony:

5:45:AWARD #1
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
5:51: AWARD #2:
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
5:55: AWARD #3
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
6:03: AWARD #4
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
6:05: AWARD #5
ANIMATED SHORT FILM
6:14: AWARD #6
ART DIRECTION
6:18: AWARD #7
COSTUME DESIGN
6:20: AWARD #8
MAKEUP
6:30: AWARD #9
CINEMATOGRAPHY
6:41: AWARD #10
LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM
7:03: AWARD #11
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
7:08: AWARD #12
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
7:10: AWARD #13
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
7:20: AWARD #14
VISUAL EFFECTS
7:22: AWARD #15
SOUND EDITING
7:26: AWARD #16
SOUND MIXING
7:29: AWARD #17
FILM EDITING
7:48: AWARD #18
ORIGINAL SCORE
7:55: AWARD #19
ORIGINAL SONG
8:01: AWARD #20
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
8:14: AWARD #21
DIRECTING
8:23: AWARD #22
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
8:31: AWARD #23
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
8:38: AWARD #24
BEST MOTION PICTURE"

My thoughts:

1) Supporting Actress - whoever wins means nothing for the rest of the eveing
2) Original Screenplay - Frozen River winning = Best Actress upset
3) Adapted Screenplay - whichever wins this will get at least one of Director or Picture
4) Art Direction - The Dark Knight winning = Greater than 50% chance it sweeps the rest of the night's categories
5) Costume Design - Milk winning = WOKJ isn't the only crazy voting body, plus it's winning BP.

Editing will be very important...IF Slumdog somehow loses it.

But let's stop kidding ourselves. Slumdog is getting almost all or all.

If Slumdog loses Editing to The Dark Knight, which should be it's biggest competitor, that shouldn't signify anything different for BP.

The cutest indicator of the evening was Slumdog winning a sound award, but not sweeping.