It's not a shocker, you guys are jsut really bad predictors :evil:

:razz:

Best Actor....
:wink:

Best supporting Actress: Cate is a pretty sure thing.

Best supporting actor: Freeman vs Owen, with Freeman having an obvious advantage.

Best Actress: Annette needed this. badly. Moreno won't win. Too new and in a foreign film. If anyone is gonna take it away form Swank, it's gonna be Staunton at this point. Winslet could still be a spoiler, but Swank now a pretty sure thing. :razz: to all you crazy people saying otherwise for so long.

Best Picture. The Aviator is taking a really big hit as of late. First it doesn't do as well as expected at the Globes, loses the DGA, and now the SAG ensemble. M$B pulls ahed in the best picture race, and I'm sure Artur will sTILL say otherwise, but... :razz:

What's up with the name calling? [-X

I don't think I can be accused of stalking your posts because I read the weekend estimates, which is the only one I read, but I'm assuming that you have taken more shots than that, since you just used the plural word posts when you resorted to an insult in defense of having no argument. #-o

As far as the article, Sideways is this year's Lost in Translation. All the critics awards in the world didn't get Bill Murray his Oscar, no more than it lost Sean Penn his. It's not going to have any affect on Million Dollar Baby, which has dominated it and the Aviator thus far.

I meant fucker in the most loving way possible like how someone would call a dog, "come here you little fucker you." :wink:

What exactly is a vocal anti Eastwood supporter?

Is that someone who supports Eastwood but is against vocalizing it?

Or someone who is vocal that people shouldn't support Eastwood?

So much for community college and creative writing courses!

Damn you Devry

You can't learn creativity from a book, and I mean that sincerely. :wink:

A vocal anti Eastwood supporter is somebody who is very vocal in their support for being anti Eastwood. :razz:

Note to your parents

Beer is not an acceptable substitute for formula.

Note to anyone with a brain

If you get your ass kicked in a debate as loyal just did, don't resort to trying to discredit the person who whooped ya. \:D/

I have to pick my niece up.

I just watched CNN. The guy who runs GoldDerby was on there and commented on this year's Oscars.

He has said that he's pretty certain (and so is the rest of the GoldDerby staff) that Million Dollar Baby will win. He said the probability is 4:5. He says that The Aviator was released too early (huh?) and lacks the emotional punch that Million Dollar Baby has.

Generally he thinks that the four SAG winners will most likely win the Oscars as well.

He has also said that even thouggh Virgina Madsen is a dark horse for Best Supporting Actress, he is still certain the Academy will award Blanchett because he plays the Oscars' favorite K. Hepburn.

Furthermore, he added that something tells him that Morgan Freeman won't win the Oscars. His guess is that Alan Alda is a dark horse who stands a great chance it winning.

He didn't comment on Best Director, though.

He also has said that Sideways (which he said received 7 nominations, hehe) probably won't win anything since it's way behind The Aviator and Million Dollar Baby.

God... Goldderby :yawn:

Alan Alda? You've got to be KIDDING.

Must be a M*A*S*H* fan.

I see Alda having about as much chance of winning as Eastwood does. He'll have some sentimental voters throw a vote his way, but it won't be enough to beat out Freeman, who is somebody that is not only way overdue, but gave a performance that earned it too.

He reasoned his Alan Alda pick by saying that old TV stars are well-liked by the Academy. He made examples by naming Martin Landau and James Coburn as former TV stars who won the Oscar.

That's pretty piss poor reasoning if you ask me.

Well after he had said that Sideways got seven nominations, I didn't take his further analysis that seriously, heh.

Does that reasoning fit in with Eastwood too? He was Rowdy Yates on 'Rawhide' for years. Hell, Leo's an old TV star too. He was on Growing Pains. Jamie Foxx was on TV. Hell, in the supporting categories, both Thomas Hayden Church and Morgan freakin' Freeman have logged time on TV. I think he's a little clouded by judgement on the Alda thing. He could have made a better case, as Alda is clearly not in an exclusive club of nominated actors who have been on TV.

Maybe he really likes M.A.S.H.

Personally, I think that IF someone was to win Best Sup. Actor instead of Freeman, it'd be Church because he was a TV star as well and won a fair share of critics awards.

I hate it when award show experts screw up stats.

Don't forget Swank!

Beverly Hills 90210 baby!

Being on TV does not make you a TV star.