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 Weekend Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Location: Arlington, VA
Post Weekend Estimates
1 MR. & MRS. SMITH $51,050,000 NEW $51,050,000
2 MADAGASCAR $17,100,000 -39.2% $128,334,000
3 STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH $14,850,000 -40.8% $332,108,000
4 THE LONGEST YARD $13,500,000 -48.2% $118,106,000
5 THE ADVENTURES OF SHARKBOY & LAVAGIRL IN 3-D $12,505,000 NEW $12,505,000
6 CINDERELLA MAN $9,546,000 -47.9% $34,459,000
7 THE HONEYMOONERS $5,800,000 NEW $5,800,000
8 SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS $5,680,000 -42.2% $23,691,000
9 MONSTER-IN-LAW $2,625,000 -54.6% $76,475,000
10 CRASH $1,900,000 -41.8% $44,323,000

11 LORDS OF DOGTOWN $1,800,000 -68.0% $9,336,000
12 HIGH TENSION $1,750,000 NEW $1,750,000


Last edited by Libs on Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:47 pm, edited 3 times in total.



Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:25 am
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College Boy Z

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Here's hoping Sharkboy & Lavagirl has a short run before hitting the $5.99 Wal-Mart bin.

That's surprisingly low for Howl's Moving Castle. I thought it could top $500,000.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:27 am
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Only an $11,000 PTA for Howl's Moving Castle does not spell much wide success. A major dissapointment for sure.

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Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:27 am
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Oh, and I'm taking my two younger siblings to go see Sharkboy tonight. Yippee...!

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Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:28 am
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Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:40 am
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Sbil

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$51.1M for the Smith(s).


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:40 am
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Mesjarch wrote:
Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


If that estimate holds true for Sith, then that is a very very good number.

Why did Smith's only make 51 mill? Did it not increase substantially on Sat?

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Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:43 am
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Sbil

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baumer72 wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


If that estimate holds true for Sith, then that is a very very good number.

Why did Smith's only make 51 mill? Did it not increase substantially on Sat?


It increased 9%.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:43 am
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The Dark Knight
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Nice weekend multiplier for RotS. I was worried it would fall behind AotC.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:45 am
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Libs wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


If that estimate holds true for Sith, then that is a very very good number.

Why did Smith's only make 51 mill? Did it not increase substantially on Sat?


It increased 9%.


Wow, I thought it would increase by about 20%...I don't know if that is bad or indifferent. Maybe wOM isn't that strong.

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Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:45 am
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$51,000,000 is probably closer to $49,000,000.

Blockbuster none the less, a flawless opening. Massive hit.

Well happy :)


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:48 am
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Sbil

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baumer72 wrote:
Libs wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


If that estimate holds true for Sith, then that is a very very good number.

Why did Smith's only make 51 mill? Did it not increase substantially on Sat?


It increased 9%.


Wow, I thought it would increase by about 20%...I don't know if that is bad or indifferent. Maybe wOM isn't that strong.


I don't think WOM is bad. We're getting closer into summer and increases on Saturday are usually substantially weaker.

It probably didn't help Smith(s) with the increase that it was a "Friday night date movie" type of film.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:49 am
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By days:

[table][row color=#FFFF00]Movie[col color=#FFFF00]Friday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Saturday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Sunday[col color=#FFFF00]%Change[col color=#FFFF00]Multiplier[row color=#C0C0C0]Mr. and Mrs. Smith[col color=#C0C0C0]$17.900.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$19.500.000[col color=#C0C0C0]8,94%[col color=#C0C0C0]$13.650.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-30,00%[col color=#C0C0C0]2,852[row]Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith[col]$4.000.000[col]74,97%[col]$6.275.000[col]56,88%[col]$4.575.000[col]-27,09%[col]3,713[row]The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants[col]$1.960.000[col]70,09%[col]$2.220.000[col]13,27%[col]$1.500.000[col]-32,43%[col]2,898[row]Crash[col]$550.000[col]51,60%[col]$800.000[col]45,45%[col]$550.000[col]-31,25%[col]3,455[row]Lords of Dogtown[col]$675.000[col]60,89%[col]$675.000[col]0,00%[col]$450.000[col]-33,33%[col]2,667[row color=#C0C0C0]High Tension[col color=#C0C0C0]$650.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-[col color=#C0C0C0]$650.000[col color=#C0C0C0]0,00%[col color=#C0C0C0]$450.000[col color=#C0C0C0]-30,77%[col color=#C0C0C0]2,692[/table]


Last edited by Anonymous on Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:12 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:49 am
Sbil

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Does anyone find the fact that Lords of Dogtown duplicated its Friday amount on Saturday in its second weekend hilarious? I mean, that's bad enough for a first weekend, but the SECOND weekend...


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:52 am
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Extraordinary

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When actuals come out i bet M&MS will be under 50mill.And sith IMO is overestimated,im thinking 14mill flat when actuals come out.
Still,sith wont break 400mill now. :(


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:53 am
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SBD got these numbers for Saturday:

MR. AND MRS SMITH 19.8 38.4
MADAGASCAR 7.2 123.5
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 6.2 327.4
LONGEST YARD THE 5.4 114.5
ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY & LAVA GIRL, THE 5.0 8.9
CINDERELLA MAN 4.2 31.9
Honeymooners, The 2.2 4.0
SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS, THE 2.2 22.2
MONSTER-IN-LAW 1.2 75.7
CRASH .8 44.8


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:54 am
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Libs wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Libs wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
Sith is doing better then I thought :) ALmost 15 milion :)


If that estimate holds true for Sith, then that is a very very good number.

Why did Smith's only make 51 mill? Did it not increase substantially on Sat?


It increased 9%.


Wow, I thought it would increase by about 20%...I don't know if that is bad or indifferent. Maybe wOM isn't that strong.


I don't think WOM is bad. We're getting closer into summer and increases on Saturday are usually substantially weaker.

It probably didn't help Smith(s) with the increase that it was a "Friday night date movie" type of film.


And it was only in 2850 theaters.

I saw a bunch of sell-outs on Saturday.

Must have had a great theater average.


Last edited by Goldie on Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:58 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:56 am
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Sbil

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Nebs wrote:
SBD got these numbers for Saturday:

MR. AND MRS SMITH 19.8 38.4
MADAGASCAR 7.2 123.5
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 6.2 327.4
LONGEST YARD THE 5.4 114.5
ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY & LAVA GIRL, THE 5.0 8.9
CINDERELLA MAN 4.2 31.9
Honeymooners, The 2.2 4.0
SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS, THE 2.2 22.2
MONSTER-IN-LAW 1.2 75.7
CRASH .8 44.8


Woohoo, looks like Crash might make the top 10 after all.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:57 am
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College Boy Z

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That's a great number for Mr. and Mrs. Smith! \:D/


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:58 am
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Nebs wrote:
SBD got these numbers for Saturday:

MR. AND MRS SMITH 19.8 38.4
MADAGASCAR 7.2 123.5
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 6.2 327.4
LONGEST YARD THE 5.4 114.5
ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY & LAVA GIRL, THE 5.0 8.9
CINDERELLA MAN 4.2 31.9
Honeymooners, The 2.2 4.0
SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS, THE 2.2 22.2
MONSTER-IN-LAW 1.2 75.7
CRASH .8 44.8


Yea, and we all know how relaible they are on Saturday's.

_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 11:59 am
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Extraordinary

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I bet the studio that released the honeymooners regrets it now. :lol:


Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:00 pm
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College Boy Z

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baumer72 wrote:
Nebs wrote:
SBD got these numbers for Saturday:

MR. AND MRS SMITH 19.8 38.4
MADAGASCAR 7.2 123.5
STAR WARS: EPISODE III - REVENGE OF THE SITH 6.2 327.4
LONGEST YARD THE 5.4 114.5
ADVENTURES OF SHARK BOY & LAVA GIRL, THE 5.0 8.9
CINDERELLA MAN 4.2 31.9
Honeymooners, The 2.2 4.0
SISTERHOOD OF THE TRAVELING PANTS, THE 2.2 22.2
MONSTER-IN-LAW 1.2 75.7
CRASH .8 44.8


Yea, and we all know how relaible they are on Saturday's.


Heh, they made one screw up, baumer. :wink:


Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:02 pm
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College Boy Z

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Oh, and great for Revenge of the Sith. It should end with a fantastic $380-$390 million. :)


Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:05 pm
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neo_wolf wrote:
When actuals come out i bet M&MS will be under 50mill.And sith IMO is overestimated,im thinking 14mill flat when actuals come out.
Still,sith wont break 400mill now. :(


Why would you think RotS is overestimated? The current estimate has about the same Sunday drop as last weekend. If anything, it might be underestimated, because both TPM and AotC had smaller Sunday drops on this weekend than on the previous one.

Zingaling wrote:
Oh, and great for Revenge of the Sith. It should end with a fantastic $380-$390 million. :)

I'm afraid it will fall behind AotC when Batman opens and never pull back ahead. I think it's heading toward around $375m. Which is still great, but slightly disappointing to me after the huge opening.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:07 pm
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Sbil

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High Tension with $1,750,000.


Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:09 pm
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