Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Wed Jul 17, 2024 12:41 pm



Reply to topic  [ 13 posts ] 
 June 7-9 Predictions 

Will Bad Boys out open Apes?
Yes 50%  50%  [ 3 ]
No 50%  50%  [ 3 ]
Total votes : 6

 June 7-9 Predictions 
Author Message
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20502
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post June 7-9 Predictions
Bad Boys Ride or Die 60m
The Watchers 15m


Fri May 31, 2024 7:48 am
Profile
now we know
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67255
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
Bad Boys $108m :D

_________________

STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA



Fri May 31, 2024 12:11 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11724
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
Seeing mega breakout for Bad Boys 2. $62M in 2020 with inflation and this feels like it's got a prime release date with little competiton. Going to go with $75M for now.


Fri May 31, 2024 12:57 pm
Profile WWW
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6333
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
I am expecting lower opening than BB3. Probably in low 50s.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri May 31, 2024 1:21 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19037
Location: San Diego
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
Forgot the last one opened to 60m+. Wow.

I think anything above 45m would seem solid tbh.


Fri May 31, 2024 1:23 pm
Profile
Devil's Advocate
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 38531
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
Solid 50-60. Not enough young people interest to be a mega breakout.

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Fri May 31, 2024 1:55 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11724
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
I don't think this needs that much young interest to be successful. It's a 29 year old franchise with huge fanbase with 70% of its BB3 OW non-Caucasian.

Also remember that tracking was WAY off on the last film:
83% more than the $40M+ projection that tracking was seeing 1 week earlier for BB3
-46% above the $50M forecast that tracking had for the threequel on Thursday.

Demos for BB3:
-South and the South Central (#1 theater in Atlanta).
-56% male, 58% under 35, largest demo 25-34 at 33%.
-42% African American, 30% Caucasian, 18% Hispanic, and 10% Asian/Other.

This is essentially close to the Fast franchise crowd. Have gotten a fair bit older but 70%+ this weekend could be non-Caucasian.


Fri May 31, 2024 2:15 pm
Profile WWW
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6333
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
So far Presales have lagged the last movie. That came after 2 decades from 1st 2 and so there was nostalgia at play. This is coming after 4 years. Last movie released just before pandemic. Will Smith's equity is unfortunately down from that time as well.

I am expecting a good finish and walkups. Still its going to open lower.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri May 31, 2024 2:28 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11724
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
I don't think his core demographics care about the Oscar slap anymore TBH. I also think him being so low profile since that time will help from a curiosity factor rather than being as much of a turnoff if it came out in 2022.

Also had some movie breakouts in the previous month and a half from a healthier Christmas slate 1917, Jumanji 2, and SW9 (2 $400M+ movies).

We'll be lucky to get ONE $100M+ film in the two months before BB4's release. Think it's going to break out from a tried and true buddy cop formula.

I will give it to BB3 though that it benefitted from MLK weekend (inflated weekend on Sunday especially) but still feel BB4 has some room to surprise on the upside.


Fri May 31, 2024 2:50 pm
Profile WWW
Team Kris
User avatar

Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm
Posts: 1007
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
After the slap heard round the world this will be Will Smith's first true test to see if people still want to see him. I think he is still toxic and this will disappoint or flat out bomb.

25 m

_________________
"You're going to tell me what I want to know. The only question is how much you want it to hurt."
Jack Bauer- Season 5


Fri May 31, 2024 5:50 pm
Profile WWW
Speed Racer

Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm
Posts: 103
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
Bad Boys: 54m
Watchers: 13m


Mon Jun 03, 2024 2:11 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22791
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
This is a bit hard to gauge but probably $60m give or take a few million.

For BO's sake, hope it goes higher.

Watchers should be the biggest horror opener of the year so far - $15m.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Mon Jun 03, 2024 7:52 pm
Profile
Veteran
User avatar

Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3155
Post Re: June 7-9 Predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Forgot the last one opened to 60m+. Wow.

I think anything above 45m would seem solid tbh.



That was right before the pandemic too. Great timing.

_________________
I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.

I was blind, but now I see.


Mon Jun 03, 2024 10:04 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 13 posts ] 

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Bing [Bot] and 10 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.