In the biggest movie of January/February other than Mean Girls poll only MadGez got it right in Bob Marley and the big favorite Argylle crashed and burned. Let's try April which looks unpredictable.

Civil War

Civil War is definitely looking at 20m OW. That unfortunately should be sufficient to win the month.

I think Civil War also. I'm hoping for a mid 20's OW but it may not get that high.

Wow if Civil War does 20m+ opening. Would love to see more bigger budget A24 films.

Although I don't really see it being huge, Challengers had some potential to do well if it's well received.

6-0 for Civil War so far and I was leaning towards it too... will anyone NGNG to take something else?

Civil War

because America has been in that state of mind since 2016 unfortunately

Probably CW but I'll go with Challengers to mix it up.

I reckon The First Omen will surprise.

The obvious pick took this one

It's sad that no other April movie has yet to pass $25M TOTAL. Though Challengers and Monkey man will pass that it's been an attrocious month but wonderful for the March holdovers.

April has sucked for the box office, bring on may!

April monthly total $429,923,916. That ranks at #25. Taking out 2020/21 due to Covid, that's the worst April in 27 years since 1997. Though tickets are 125% higher now. Horrendous!

And most (haven't seen Ungentlemenly Warfare or Abigail yet) of the movies delivered. Sure, Civil War was a bit disappointing, but it's still a spectacle worthy of being seen on big screen. Monkey Man is niche to be sure, yet there was about $150M+ of John Wick fans who decided to stay home. Challengers was just awesome and hopefully will have the legs to show it.

Challengers is going to end up at maybe 75% of CW. It was a resounding success but yay for Challengers for finding an audience. Sorta feels Zendaya won April. And probably May at the rate things have been going.

This hasn't dated well at all!

More like bring on second half of June? Cautiously more optimistic.

Let's just pretend the stretch from early September to October with Beetlejuice, Transformers and Joker is the real May/early June

You're spot on. My most anticipated films are pretty much in that corridor with Beetlejuice, Joker, Venom 3, and Gladiator. Some interesting films like Wild Robot and A Real Pain with tried and true Transformers, and massive upside potential in Wicked.

If Mufasa misses, the October/November/March corridor (and probably July) will save the year.

Horizon randomly making $200M each would also be a nice surprise even though its a long shot would help the box office immensely.

It's less a long shot and more an impossibility. They won't even combine for $200m worldwide.

Horizon’s trailer just doesn’t seem like a big movie to me.

It feels like a TV show which is what I think will appeal to the fans of Yellowstone. That is the audience they need to show up for it to be a hit, not mainstream moviegoers really.

The only issue with that though is a lot of people could watch Horizon, but at home like a streaming mini series.

Apparently it's boring as fuck, so it won't do shit at the box office. Might be best if the marketing targeted insomniacs.

Best case for Horizons is to pull in the SOF crowd but it's probably the biggest coin toss of the summer after Twisters.

I took Horizon in the Draft as a bit of a gamble. Sort of like Wonka last year. Just not that confident in it right now. There certainly is a market for it but that is probably $100m big not $200m+ big.