KFP4 previews $3.5M according to Charlie.

Even with earlier showings, that seems great. Sat/Sun matinees should be strong. Maybe can pull $50M.

That points to 50m how?

If it followed Migrations multiplier it would miss 30m.

Migrations was pre christmas. Eve fell over the weekend affecting the IM. KFP seem to be walkup driven and so should have strong IM this weekend.

It's not apples to apples, but a comparison for reference could be Avatar 2's 4th weekend.

Wed Jan. 4 $7.5M
Thur Jan. 5 $6.8M -8.6%

Dune 2 Wed $6.7, Thur $6.4M

Approximate $45,838,986 4th weekend for Avatar could be the floor for Dune. Avatar was already seen by nearly $446M worth of people up to its 3rd weekend. Dune still has a backlog for premium showings.

That weekend Avatar also faced M3Gan which Imaginary could have been if it had a bit more virality.

Per Deadline

KFP4 - 52 mil
Dune 2 - 41 mil

Wow. Pretty strong for KFP. Should get to $150m+ with such a weak slate.

Imaginary doing 10m with a 10m budget also sounds pretty solid.

Was hoping for better for Dune I won't lie. I guess $300M isn't happening anymore. Hopefully it can get to $250M.

They don’t give a Friday number. So who knows what they’re basing 41m off of.

Supposedly $12.5m

It should avoid a 50% drop with 12.5m

Charlie is saying ~$14.75M FRI for KFP4, $18.5M opening day. $53-58M weekend.
Dune: $12.5M. $45M weekend. (-61.2% Friday).

Even with inflation, KFP4 may not be far off from KFP1's OW/total. Solid chance for $200M+ with Spring break and Easter. I do wonder how frontloaded the Friday is though with Spring Break starting. For context, KFP3 went up 73.7% on its first Sat in late January. If this one followed the same multiplier it would be at $73.1M which isn't likely so there must be frontloadedness.

For Dune, that Friday drop puts $300M out the window. Still will reach a big total but should stabilize with lots of fans driving last Friday's business.

Monster weekend for Panda.

Very disappointing for Dune even though its still technically good. This movie should be having Avatarian leges.I didn't think it was guaranteed to $300M but $260-280M seemed reasonable. Now? Dunno.

Empire has Dune 2 at $13M+ for Friday so hope it keeps going up!

Wow I'm pretty surprised by KFP. Thought it was a nobody asked for this movie.

This is the biggest animated opening post 2020 besides Spiderverse right...? Good for DreamWorks.

Don’t forget about Mario

Oh yeah lol

And Minions 2….

KFP4 proves that a severe lack of family product does indeed help. There may also be a bit of nostalgia in play (similar to Minions).

Dreamworks better start thinking about Shrek Returns.

It’s shocking that Shrek 4 and Puss in Boots 3 haven’t been fast tracked after the success of the Last Wish

Apparently the budget for KFP is only 85m

Lisan Al-Gaib!

I guess they wanted to avoid 100m+ for getting the rest of the previous cast. Good for them I guess although I didn't really think the film was strong. The next Shrek should be as good as the last Puss in Boots

KFP4 will be one of the biggest successes of the year. Biggest shocker, families aren't driving it!!!

-Possible $200M+ total (Sat $24M, $43M 2day total). Chance to be the biggest KFP film unadjusted.
-First 3 movies had budgets $130M-150M. The new film had half the budget ($85M).
-KFP4 will be higher than KFP3 adjusted for inflation and just below KFP2 from 13 years ago ($67M).
-DW has rebooted Croods, Puss In Boots (inevitably Shrek), Panda while reducing budgets.
-Puss In Boots 2 also had a lower budget than the original as well as KFP.
-Demographics: 58% male, 67% 13-24 (huge with teens/early 20s that grew up with KFP).
-18-24 at 48% of the audience. Had more youth appeal than Dune 2.
-44% Latino/Hispanic, 18% Asian, 11% Black and only 22% Caucasian.
-6% PLF ticket sales, 17% 3D. West/South had strong results with El Paso the top grossing theater.

Diverse GenZ males drove KFP4 as a success. Family audiences aren't the biggest driver here with <33%. Very in sync with the Minions Gentleman trend. This tells me there will be a bit of a rush out this weekend but it should be balanced over the next few weeks by family audiences.

Kudos to Universal for cost controls and delivering strong box office (Puss 1 $130M to Puss 2 $90-110M budget, KFP1 $130M/KFP2 $150M/KFP3 $145M to $85M budget). They also somehow managed to keep Mario at a $100M budget).

KFP2 only adjusts to 219 million despite coming off 315 mil adjusted original and being an awesome movie. It's crazy KFP4 could challenge that.