How will the box office end up for the big Oscar movies?

Here's what best picture currently looks like.

Barbie $636.2M
Oppenheimer $327.0M
Killers of the Flower Moon $67.4M
Poor Things $20.7M
The Holdovers $18.8M
Past Lives $11.0M
American Fiction $8.1M
Anatomy of a Fall $4.0M
The Zone of Interest $1.6M
Maestro N/A

Oppenheimer could pick up another $5-10M, while Poor Things looks like it could be primed for an extended run if it holds well. $50M+.

American Fiction is still up in the air. Anatomy of a Fall and Zone of Interest would definitely benefit as well.

With the complete lack of big movies until Dune, and the return of small and mid size film appeal to moviegoers, would be cool to see some lucrative box office.

I think American Fiction could do well.

Barbie $636.2M +<1m
Oppenheimer $327.0M +5m
Killers of the Flower Moon $67.4M +<1m
Poor Things $20.7M +30m
The Holdovers $18.8M +2m
Past Lives $11.0M +<1m
American Fiction $8.1M +25m
Anatomy of a Fall $4.0M +2m
The Zone of Interest $1.6M +10m
Maestro N/A

Theater counts for Oscar movies this weekend

Poor Things 2,300 +890
American Fiction 1,702 +852
The Holdovers 1,267 +1,140
Oppenheimer 1,262 +1,008
Killers of the Flower Moon 941 +925
The Color Purple 503 -278
Spider-Man 157 -309
Barbie - TBD
Zone of Interest - TBD
Anatomy of a Fall - TBD

Feels like Poor Things will have a good weekend.

Oppenheimer is getting a China re-release as well as Dune 1. They are opening the same day but a few million there, domestic, JP and the path to $1B is still there!

HOLY FUCK! missed the news it topped $600 million and beat both TLJ and Avengers

Here are the top grossing best picture winners domestic (unadjusted). Oppenheimer looks to pass Forrest Gump as the #3 highest grossing BP winner ever if it wins BP.

1 Titanic $674,292,608
2 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $379,427,292
3 Forrest Gump $330,151,138
4 Oppenheimer* $329,103,570
5 Gone with the Wind $200,882,193
6 Gladiator $187,683,805
7 Dances With Wolves $184,208,842
8 Rain Man $172,825,435
9 A Beautiful Mind $170,708,996
10 Chicago $170,687,518

Here's adjusted for inflation:

1 Gone with the Wind $2,286,948,724
2 The Sound of Music $1,610,867,901
3 Titanic $1,532,459,665
4 Ben Hur $1,108,470,240
5 The Sting $1,007,805,976
6 The Godfather $892,259,139
7 Forrest Gump $889,032,546
8 Around the World in 80 Days $730,510,073
9 The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King $696,868,265
10 My Fair Lady $679,033,822

A Beautiful Mind at $170M has to be the bigfest benefactor from the award. Maybe King's Speech for second?

Definitely made $$$ from the Oscars but I feel like being Russell Crowe's Gladiator follow up certainly helped it become a mega blockbuster.

Chicago meanwhile I felt got a huge advantage from Moulin Rouge getting musicals in vogue again with audiences and critics. It rode the Oscar train well.

Oppenheimer just needs $43 million to cross a BILLION!!!
Hopefully the best picture win will get it over the hump

The King’s Speech feels like the last samurai for being obvious Oscar bait making it more popular