Joker is a 99% a sure bet IMO with DP3 a close second so don't think it should be mentioned in the same sentence as some of those others. Critical acclaim, $1B+ gross, strong multiplier, box office smash, Lady Gaga, pent up demand waiting 5 years, I think Joker and Spiderverse are probably the most critically acclaimed comic movies out there and think its safe from this MCU / DCU mess. Joker could very well go up from the last one.

The 1% is just because they say its a musical but considering Wonka, Color Purple might do gangbusters doesn't seem like people are as cool to musicals as they used to be. TGS and A Star Is Born really opened this generation to those where the quality and hype is there for movies people want to watch.