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 Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14) 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Post Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
1 1 Suicide Squad WB $43,770,000 -67.3% 4,255 - $10,287 $222,874,728 2
2 N Sausage Party Sony $33,600,000 - 3,103 - $10,828 $33,600,000 1
3 N Pete's Dragon BV $21,501,000 - 3,702 - $5,808 $21,501,000 1
4 2 Jason Bourne Uni. $13,620,000 -39.2% 3,528 -511 $3,861 $126,782,345 3
5 3 Bad Moms STX $11,450,000 -18.2% 3,188 -27 $3,592 $71,461,293 3
6 4 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $8,840,000 -23.1% 2,958 -459 $2,989 $335,942,075 6
7 5 Star Trek Beyond Par. $6,800,000 -32.2% 2,577 -686 $2,639 $139,679,949 4
8 N Florence Foster Jenkins Par. $6,580,000 - 1,528 - $4,306 $6,580,000 1
9 6 Nine Lives (2016) EC $3,500,000 -44.0% 2,264 - $1,546 $13,550,825 2
10 7 Lights Out WB (NL) $3,220,000 -46.4% 1,652 -929 $1,949 $61,134,818 4

11 8 Nerve LGF $2,650,000 -45.5% 1,777 -761 $1,491 $33,098,395 3
12 9 Ghostbusters (2016) Sony $2,315,000 -50.5% 1,437 -1,108 $1,611 $121,724,002 5
13 10 Ice Age: Collision Course Fox $2,020,000 -53.3% 1,548 -1,190 $1,305 $58,693,271 4
14 11 Finding Dory BV $1,402,000 -28.4% 631 -491 $2,222 $476,815,060 9
15 N Anthropoid BST $1,213,043 - 452 - $2,684 $1,213,043 1

16 12 Cafe Society LGF $910,000 -43.3% 455 -176 $2,000 $8,453,186 5
17 N Hell or High Water LGF $592,000 - 32 - $18,500 $592,000 - 1
18 17 Don't Think Twice TFA $367,500 -1.6% 70 +13 $5,250 $1,212,772 - 4
19 15 Captain Fantastic BST $356,058 -39.6% 175 -188 $2,035 $4,281,191 - 6
36 N Disorder IFC $12,000 - 2 - $6,000 $12,000 1
37 N Ghost Team Orch. $9,205 - 10 - $921 $9,205 1
38 N The Lost Arcade 26 Aries $7,500 - 1 - $7,500 $7,500 1

Full List at BOM:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/ch ... =33&p=.htm


Sun Aug 14, 2016 11:30 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Lights Out will hit over 3 multiplier. Nice feat for a horror in today's market. Deserved it IMHO.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 11:40 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Sub-20% drop for BM is just insane. Its not Bridesmaids but its clearly one of the best female loved movies out there in recent times.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 11:48 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Sausage Pary was not as front loaded as Bad Moms over OW. It should manage 100m with low competition coming up.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 11:56 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
zwackerm wrote:
Sausage Pary was not as front loaded as Bad Moms over OW. It should manage 100m with low competition coming up.

Bad Moms has been having great legs though after the somewhat frontloaded opening weekend because of good WOM. We'll have to see how Sausage Party WOM affects it.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 12:08 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Yeah SP even without competition won't hold as great as BM. With this opening as well I am not sure of $100m total for it.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 12:16 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Sausage Party is definitely not as crowd-pleasing or hilarious as Bad Moms. It won't have those kind of legs. I hope it can hit 100 Million though.

I think Bad Moms has a lot of gas left in the tank. AMAZING hold. Competition next weekend is even weaker so I expect an even better hold.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 12:33 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
_axiom wrote:
Lights Out will hit over 3 multiplier. Nice feat for a horror in today's market. Deserved it IMHO.


Yes. I believe a sequel, like Insidious, will increase over the original.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 12:33 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
I do think it can have good enough WOM for the 3X multiple it needs for 100m. It has better reviews, audience scores and IM than Neighbors, and that did a 3X multiple with much more competition.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 12:46 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Neighbors opened much bigger than SP and R-rated animated movies are still rare. I think Neighbors still got a B but don't remember exactly.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 1:13 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Neighbors opened much bigger than SP and R-rated animated movies are still rare. I think Neighbors still got a B but don't remember exactly.

It did get a B.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 1:16 pm
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Veteran

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
With this kind of drop, BM will certainly pass Spy (110.8) and Trainwreck (110.2) domestically thanks to weak competition for the rest of the month and fantastic WOM.

Despite its R-rating, it managed to have the lowest hold in the top 18!!!! It will pass $100M by the end of the month!!!!!


Sun Aug 14, 2016 1:25 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Really good weekend for the most part. Great start for Sausage Party, and most of the holdovers (Bad Moms, especially) crushed it.

Bad Moms should hit $100M, which means STX Entertainment is officially in the game.

Hell or High Water's opening bodes well for expansion too.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 2:05 pm
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Speed Racer

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Yeah, amazing hold for Bad Moms. It's definitely got the title of "designated-late-summer-leggy-hit" that we didn't really get last year, like The Help, Julie and Julia, We're The Millers, The Butler, etc. Could see it finishing with 110-115M which means we'll probably get a sequel in a couple years..

Awesome for Sausage Party. I'm not sure why so many people think that this will have bad legs? Neighbors dropped 9% on Saturday and it opened in early May. I think the Cinemascore is probably a little misleading as the divisive subject matter probably earned it a low score from a decent amount of people. It would be more helpful to see a spread of what the grades were. So I think the core audience really enjoyed it and will spread good WOM. Plus, little competition for the rest of the summer/September will help. I see it finishing somewhere around 115M as well.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 2:36 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Pets is definitely passing Deadpool to be the #3 movie of the year. Gross.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 3:41 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Pets is definitely passing Deadpool to be the #3 movie of the year. Gross.

I doubt Pets is any worse than some movies that actually won their years.


Sun Aug 14, 2016 4:17 pm
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Pure Phase
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Pete's Dragon's opening is fine, but I honestly thought it would do 10 or even 15m more.

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Sun Aug 14, 2016 4:24 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Star Trek Beyond is going to make over $150m in secret.

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Sun Aug 14, 2016 11:04 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Jason Bourne's run is an odd one, in a way. It will finish with a respectable worldwide total, but it is definitely a non-event. The furor and enormity of Suicide Squad certainly overshadowed it. And there is the fact the common reaction among those who saw it is, "It is solid, but not quite on the level I hoped for" or worse.

A year ago on paper, I thought it might be the franchise's Skyfall or Ghost Protocol. A hot, reinvigorating return.

I wonder how motivated Universal, Damon, and Greengrass will be to do another one.

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Mon Aug 15, 2016 12:31 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Universal weren't even motivated enough to market this one. Doubt they'll care for another.

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Mon Aug 15, 2016 1:43 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Aug 12-14)
Algren wrote:
Star Trek Beyond is going to make over $150m in secret.

Good. It's an enjoyable movie and deserves it.


Mon Aug 15, 2016 4:59 am
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