Should be interesting as nothing is a lock for $400M.

My current predictions-

Batman v Superman - $200m/$450m
Civil War - $185/$440M
Dory - $110m/$375m
Rogue One - $95M/$340M
Everything else under $350m

I think Batman v Superman is just going to have a massive opening and hang around if not dominate April.

Don't discount ROGUE ONE, which will have the advantage of a marketing campaign centered around Darth Vader.

Ah yes.

Rogue One will be #1.

1. Rogue One
2. BvS
3. Finding Dory
4. Civil War
5. Suicide Squad

Yes, it will be Rogue One. The actual-episode-versus-spin-off dynamic may become more dramatic in the future as Disney releases a Star Wars movie every year, but this should still be completely and hugely buoyed by Star Wars fever. And Shape says Darth Vader is in it, which will be a major selling point.

The Jungle Book might be in the top four or five.

I'm kinda shocked by the Rogue One support. I originally had it and ID4 in the poll but figured nobody would vote for them. Should I change the poll?

The poll has been reset. Batman had 2 vs 3 for Other in the original.

Rogue One should easily make at least 40% of what VII finishes with. How much more depends on if it's well received.

BvS 400-500m
Rogue One 400-500m

BvS squeaks out by a mill or two.

Is Rogue One really gonna be that big of a deal with Episode 8 looming only 6 months away? I mean I'm gonna see it first day, but how far does it branch beyond superfans?

Jungle Book, ID4, Passengers, Fantastic Beasts, Bourne 5 are dark horses.

Bourne has 9 years of inflation and the last one is at $275 m. Any type of over performance and it could push through $300 m.

ID4 will definitely make the run for #1 worldwide. Still think it can do $1.5 B +.

ID4 maybe. Those other ones are...no no no.

Rogue One by default. It will get flow in goodwill especially over the first two weeks. We'll have more 200m+ grossers than 2015 though.

It's a shame BvS and Civil War are opening so close to each other.

Finding Dory and ID:R have HUGE potential, but whether or not they can live up to their predecessors has yet to be seen. Then again JW was really successful this year, so maybe just being a decent, entertaining, popcorn film is enough to get past $400M+ these days. Also, the nostalgia factor was BIG this year. I could see any of those two taking the top spot or even the top 2 spots of 2016. Then there's BvS and Rogue One. BvS is going to have a massive opening, but will legs be any good ? As for Rouge One it has the Star Wars brand name and will still be riding the TFA hype which pretty much guarantees a solid opening weekend turnout, but where it goes from there is uncertain. If Vader actually has a sizable role in it than that could definitely add an extra $200M to the final gross and probably an OW no lower than $150M if Disney chooses to market the shit out of it.

I'm surprised so many people think BvS will beat Civil War

rogue one, dory and resurgence going to be in a three way battle yo

It is hard to argue against Rogue One with what's just happened to The Force Awakens.

BvS will have all of April to kill it b4 CW opens in May. Plenty gap between them.

General audiences won't know the difference between episodes and non episodes. I think it will easily gross over 500 million.

BvS especially if Reddit review is true. It has no competition for a while before civil war opens. Otherwise Rogue one will take this.

Okay, so of the movies listed, it's going to be Rogue One. But that's no fun. So I'm picking Passengers. I have no idea what the buzz will be and how it will build, but a love story starring Chris Pratt and Jennifer Lawrence set in space has insane potential. So that's my pick. Whether it has any chance will depend on quality and marketing.

I would love for Fantastic Beasts to break out and do this, and that's the one I'm rooting for. But it would have to gross at least 100M more than any of the Potter movies, and that's very unlikely.

Rogue One.