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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 $1b movies of 2016 Well, just 6 months left of 2015, time to look forward...
It was really difficult, to select the movies in the poll, as my list of contenders included 30 movies, but the poll allows only for 20...
The ones I did not include in the poll:
Dead Pool
Peregrine's Home for Peculiars
Christ the Lord
The Jungle Book
Star Trek 3
Pete's Dragon
Gambit
Geostorm
Trolls
Assassin's Creed
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Last edited by mark66 on Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:17 pm |
 
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 I voted for 8.
BvS, Civil War, Ice Age 5, Finding Dory, Star Wars, ID4 2, Alice in Wonderland 2, Apocalypse
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:22 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 I haven't made up my mind yet but I think I will include Kung Fu Panda 3 as a Chinese co-production as well...
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:25 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 I forgot to vote for the Lock, Batman vs. Superman, lol. Voted for Finding Dory, Captain America - Civil War and Star Wars: Rogue One
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 2:48 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21593
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big. Ben-Hur probably not. Zootopia will be a tough sell overseas like most non Disney Princess original animated films. Probably won't do more than Big Hero 6. Batman vs. Superman will probably do it, 400 million domestically should be easy, though it would need to near double MOS's take overseas. I voted for that one. Captain America - Civil War I believe will do something like 150 OW because despite the presence of Iron Man, it's not an Iron Man movie, and people didn't exactly love AOU. I see it just missing. Alice will be big overseas, but much growth would surprise me. Probably will do 250 domestic at absolute best.
X-Men: Apocalypse probably won't get that much of an increase. Warcraft of course not. Finding Dory should pretty easily. Independence Day 2 should also. The BFG has no chance. The Secret Life of Pets won't for the same reason Zootopia won't. Ice Age 5 has to see a decrease overseas by now, so no. Ghostbusters will be big domestically, not overseas. Suicide Squad could maybe do 600-700. Inferno no. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them wil probably do 800-900. Star Wars probably will. Doctor Strange has no chance. Moana should be on thus list considering its the first Disney princess movie after Frozen, which did over 1.2 billion.
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 7:21 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68372
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice, Finding Dory, and Ice Age 5.
Just three for me.
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:19 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Just Batman v Superman and Dory are locks, Captain America and Star Wars have BIG chances though.
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:30 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 People realize ID4 was the #1 film in the world before right??
It's sequel is getting $1 billion. I think people are dramatically underestimating its overseas potential here. Would not be surprised by $1.5 B.
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| Fri Jul 10, 2015 11:34 pm |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 zwackerm wrote: Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big. It will make 400M in China alone, it's very likely to hit 1b WW. _________________
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| Sat Jul 11, 2015 7:45 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68372
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 O wrote: People realize ID4 was the #1 film in the world before right??
It's sequel is getting $1 billion. I think people are dramatically underestimating its overseas potential here. Would not be surprised by $1.5 B. It's just that EVERY aliens-invading-Earth film since has done peanuts. Independence Day is not beloved in the same way that Jurassic Park is. A sequel is more likely to seem as desperate as Terminator Genisys than as awesome Jurassic World. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
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| Sat Jul 11, 2015 9:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 I just don't see how ID4 will differentiate itself from rest of Alien invasion movies. It will do great like $900m but might not get to $1b.
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| Sun Jul 12, 2015 1:48 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 BTW I picked KFP3, BvS, CA: Civil War, Finding Dory and IA5
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| Sun Jul 12, 2015 1:50 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 As we are heading towards the SW7 opening, most summer blockbusters have released their previews - time to bump this one up...
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| Sun Dec 13, 2015 6:16 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail
CA3 should do it with IM in there which will mean a 700+ overseas gross.
X-men can only if it ups the action a lot.
Finding Dory is near locked.
Rouge one should
_________________The Dark Prince 
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| Sun Dec 13, 2015 7:31 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 So ZOOTOPIA is currently at $811.7m - Japan is key for $1b...
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:28 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Mannyisthebest wrote: Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail Fail it is.
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:32 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 If Ice Age increases is OS markets, specially in China where last one did $67m it could do $1b OS.
BvS is sure to miss $1b mark now which is a big disappointment.
Civil War, Dory and Rogue One should still clear $1b. Zootopia would most likely miss this mark now that its China run is winding down. I don't see Alice getting to the mark
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:55 am |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Omni wrote: zwackerm wrote: Kung Fu Panda 3 I could see stay about flat domestically, and get an increase overseas, but it probably won't be that big. It will make 400M in China alone, it's very likely to hit 1b WW. Lol. matatonio wrote: I forgot to vote for the Lock, Batman vs. Superman, lol. LOL! _________________
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 2:13 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 KFP3's OS performance is really disappointing specially in China it should have cleared $200m.
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 3:11 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32625
Location: the last free city
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 _axiom wrote: Mannyisthebest wrote: Batman vs Superman should do a billion or it be a huge fail Fail it is. major major fail 
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 7:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Quote: Warner Bros’ Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice is now looking like it will come in lower with a decline of 50%-55% for $23.1M-$25.65M, which is just shy of the three-century mark with a running cume through its third weekend of $296.4M-$298.9M. Now, Warners wasn’t expecting the Zack Snyder film to cross $300M this weekend, but rather during CinemaCon this coming week. I hear that the magic number internally which will really make Warner execs truly happy is $800M. WB doesn't is not even sure that this will get $800m this week. Its at $723m so it needs a $50m+ OS weekend which might not happen.
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| Fri Apr 08, 2016 10:48 pm |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Jack Sparrow wrote: Quote: Warner Bros’ Batman V Superman: Dawn Of Justice is now looking like it will come in lower with a decline of 50%-55% for $23.1M-$25.65M, which is just shy of the three-century mark with a running cume through its third weekend of $296.4M-$298.9M. Now, Warners wasn’t expecting the Zack Snyder film to cross $300M this weekend, but rather during CinemaCon this coming week. I hear that the magic number internally which will really make Warner execs truly happy is $800M. WB doesn't is not even sure that this will get $800m this week. Its at $723m so it needs a $50m+ OS weekend which might not happen. Newsflash: The word 'truly' has been redefined!
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| Sat Apr 09, 2016 5:14 am |
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Cynosure
The Dark Knight
Joined: Sun Apr 12, 2015 7:30 am
Posts: 768
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 That's just PR. Which company is 'truly happy' just for reaching breaking point ?
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| Sat Apr 09, 2016 6:58 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Warner is so full of shit.
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| Sat Apr 09, 2016 1:32 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: $1b movies of 2016 Given that BvS is barely going to reach $20m domestically I don't see this reaching $800m WW this weekend, I hope they are not happy and do something REAL.
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| Sat Apr 09, 2016 11:12 pm |
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