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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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 Early Friday #s
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 3:18 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Friday #s Hope Conjuring does a few mil more than that...
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 3:27 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday #s That would be decent, but not a breakout for anything. Still miles better than the last few shitty weeks.
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 4:00 pm |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: Early Friday #s All of these will probably be off 1-3 million either way. It's way to fucking early. Soon we will get Early Friday # on Wednesday evening.
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 4:06 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday #s Hoping TC2 to go higher specially since it should have bigger night business. Warcraft seems ok with those previews, same for NYSM2
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 8:40 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6139
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Early Friday #s Warcraft might scratch low 30s but that's below what I expected. I guess China will save it.
_________________
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 10:26 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Early Friday #s I saw quite a few evening/night sellouts for The Conjuring 2, so I wouldn't be surprised if the OD was on par with the first. Strangely enough even NYSM2 had one sellout tonight while Warcraft has had none.
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| Fri Jun 10, 2016 11:53 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5705
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Re: Early Friday #s Just realized that two of the openers have Asian directors, while the one that broke records in China was directed by David Bowie's son.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 1:10 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday #s Cinemascore:
Conjuring 2 - A-
NYSM2 - A- (ew)
Warcraft - B+
Deadline's update has Warcraft at 11m Friday and 3-day estimates of 37.1m for Conjuring 2 and 22.3m for NYSM2.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 1:34 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday #s Quote: 1). Conjuring 2 (WB/NL), 3,343 theaters / $16M Fri. (includes $3.4M previews) / 3-day cume: $37.1M/Wk 1
2). Warcraft (UNI/LEG), 3,400 theaters / $11M Fri. (includes $3.1M previews) / 3-day cume: $26.4M/Wk 1
3). Now You See Me 2 (LG), 3,232 theaters / $8M Fri. (includes $1.75M previews) / 3-day cume: $22.3M/Wk 1
4). Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows (PAR), 4,071 theaters / $3.7M Fri. (-70%) / 3-day cume: $13.2M (-62%)/Total Cume:$59.5M/Wk 2
5). X-Men: Apocalypse (FOX), 3,585 theaters (-568) / $3M Fri. (-54%) / 3-day cume: $10.7M (-53%) /Total cume: $137M/Wk 3
6). Me Before You (MGM/New Line/WB), 2,762 theaters (+58) / $3M Fri. (-62%) / 3-day cume: $9.4M (-50%)/Total cume: $37M/Wk 2
7). The Angry Birds Movie (SONY/ROVIO), 3,083 theaters (-401)/ $1.9M Fri. (-27%) / 3-day cume: $7.5M (-27%)/Total cume: $99M/ Wk 4
8). Alice Through the Looking Glass (Disney), 2,898 theaters (-865)/ $1.8M Fri. (-45%) / 3-day cume: $6.2M (-45%)/Total: $63.1M/Wk 3
9). Captain America: Civil War (Disney), 2,101 theaters (-983) / $1.3M Fri. (-36%)/ 3-day cume: $5M (-36%) /Total cume: $397.5M/ Wk 6
10). The Jungle Book (DIS), 1,496 theaters (-494) / $743K Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $2.8M (-37%)/ Total cume: $352.7M / Wk 9
11). Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising (UNI), 1,581 theaters (-836)/ $569K Fri. (-62%)/ 3-day cume: $1.87M (-62%)/Total cume: $52.8M/ Wk 4
12). Pop Star: Never Stop Never Stopping (UNI), 2,313 theaters (+2) / $515K Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $1.7M (-64%)/Total cume: $8.3M/Wk 2
13.) The Nice Guys (WB), 1,147 theaters (-741)/ $459K Fri. (-52%) / 3-day cume: $1.67M (-52%)/Total: $32.2M/ Wk 4
14.) Love & Friendship (AMZ/RSA), 826 theaters (+7) / $396k Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $1.37M (-36%) /Total cume: $9.4M/Wk 5
15.) The Lobster (A24), 560 theaters (0) / $232K Fri. (-42%)/ 3-day cume: $861K (-41%)/Total cume: $5.4M/Wk 5
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 2:10 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23782
Location: Classified
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Re: Early Friday #s Is that a good drop for Civil War? I never thought I'd see the day.
$26m for Warcraft would be pretty weak, but China is saving it.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 2:32 am |
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trixie
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:15 pm
Posts: 299
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Re: Early Friday #s Those Sunday drops look optimistic.
I see a drop in estimates for Warcraft/NYSM2 unless Saturday improves.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 3:38 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: Early Friday #s Barrabás wrote: Warcraft might scratch low 30s but that's below what I expected. I guess China will save it. $91m worth of saving since it opened there on Wednesday!
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 5:34 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday #s One must not forget that it depends on the deal Universal got with China. Not all studios get percentages from the Chinese gross, you all know that, right? Many just get paid a fixed sum and that's it. And if they do, it is no more than 25%.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 5:46 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: Early Friday #s Warcraft is not getting $25m with that Friday number let alone that much. Overall not a bad weekend.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 6:26 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday #s Looks like my initial prediction of Warcraft making around 85-90% of its worldwide gross internationally will come true. If the Friday number holds, it will struggle to $70 million domestically, but should still fly past $500 million overseas.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 6:51 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: Early Friday #s I'd say it's a struggle to $60m. Don't see it having good legs.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 7:21 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Early Friday #s No, it won't, but I think it will open bigger than $25 million. Maybe $27-28 million. We'll know when the final Friday estimates come in.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 7:32 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am
Posts: 16163
Location: Croatia
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Re: Early Friday #s With this Friday estimate $25m is max and its overall multiplier will be barely over 2.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 7:49 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: Early Friday #s Dr. Lecter wrote: One must not forget that it depends on the deal Universal got with China. Not all studios get percentages from the Chinese gross, you all know that, right? Many just get paid a fixed sum and that's it. And if they do, it is no more than 25%. Are these threads for discussing gross box office or studio net profit?
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 8:18 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6166
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Re: Early Friday #s Its quite frontloaded in china as well. saturday looks like grossing 130m yuan versus around 300m yuan on thursday. Looking at pre-sales for sunday its gonna struggle to 50m. So China is going to stop around $200m. Not sure that would be enough for 500m OS.
Anyway since wanda owns legendary they are getting bigger cut for this. So its going to be financially ok. Sequel happening. for sure.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 8:29 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20346
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday #s Strong retention for Conjuring. Okay retention for NYSM. Low end of expectations for Warcraft, but not terrible for a film people thought might do high teens a week ago and is killing it overseas.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 9:40 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday #s Warcraft is flopping as expected and was frontloaded. Great for TC2 to pull away so easily from the other heavily marketed movie and bucking the drastic sequel OW reduction this summer. Good for NYSM2 but the increase in budget from last movie would end this franchise most likely.
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| Sat Jun 11, 2016 11:07 am |
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