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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 When will it happen? When will SW7 pass AVATAR (domestic)?
Poll runs for 3 days...
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:27 am |
 
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68233
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: When will it happen? delusional*
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:33 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: When will it happen?
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Nothing Compares 2 U
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 8:41 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32580
Location: the last free city
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Re: When will it happen? Monday the 18th
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:05 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: When will it happen? I chose the 7th of January.
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:27 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? 8th January
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:38 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: When will it happen? Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend.
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:29 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: When will it happen? xiayun wrote: Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend. Are those your calculations, or just a feeling?
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:39 pm |
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Star Lord
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 5:59 pm
Posts: 181
Location: Poland
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Re: When will it happen? 3. January.
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:48 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: When will it happen? mdana wrote: xiayun wrote: Jan 3. That will make a good headline for the next weekend. Are those your calculations, or just a feeling? Was purely based on my rough estimates from last week when posted it initially, now dived into it a little deeper using the most recent numbers, it's definitely looking good to surpass Avatar by then, if not Saturday.
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: When will it happen? Hmm, I'm thinking January 4th.
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 5:20 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: When will it happen? jan 2 or jan 3
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| Sun Dec 27, 2015 6:20 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: When will it happen? Hurry up and vote!
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| Tue Dec 29, 2015 9:01 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? Based on my calculations this will be on 4th Jan now. Surprising that no one picked that up in the poll.
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| Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:34 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: When will it happen? I picked January 3rd as well...
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| Wed Dec 30, 2015 11:47 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: When will it happen? It'll either be 3rd or the 4th at current rate.
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| Wed Dec 30, 2015 12:15 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: When will it happen? Looks like Tuesday to me now...
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| Sat Jan 02, 2016 5:58 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? It will still do $90m this weekend with higher numbers than Avatar. It should do another $8m+ on Monday to take over Avatar's first run though ofcourse it would need another day to reach the re-run total.
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| Sat Jan 02, 2016 6:12 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? Its Sunday it quite close to Avatar's Sunday so I think it will take Wednesday for this to happen which no one picked again.
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| Sun Jan 03, 2016 12:36 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: When will it happen? Wednesday definitely if not on Tuesday. it seems to me like it should be able to avg the next 2 days 10 million a day.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:44 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm
Posts: 3004
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Re: When will it happen? Jack Sparrow wrote: Its Sunday it quite close to Avatar's Sunday so I think it will take Wednesday for this to happen which no one picked again. I was never sure this was counting 1st run only or not. By the time I figured it out the poll closed. It is amazing how many of these daily polls none of has picked the right answer as much as we follow the box office.
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| Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:55 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? Thegun wrote: Wednesday definitely if not on Tuesday. it seems to me like it should be able to avg the next 2 days 10 million a day. Why? Its Sunday is only about $2m ahead of Avatar and that did $8m Monday and $7.3m Tuesday. Why would SW7 do $2m more each day when its Sunday itself is just that big?
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| Sun Jan 03, 2016 11:23 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: When will it happen? Isn't the 4th the day people can start using free passes, coupons, etc. And discount Tuesdays are much better 6 years later. But that's why I said Wednesday definitely. Especially since it also plays better to older audiences and kids than Avatar did. If I'm wrong it'll probably be near 758 on Tuesday.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sun Jan 03, 2016 11:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36948
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Re: When will it happen? Yeah I am not sure about the passes in the states but I do know that the same would have been applicable to all movies and that a lot of movies see a big decline on the first Monday of the year. Tuesday has been strong but we haven't seen the case as of now with SW7, its not holding better than Avatar Tuesday's.
A reasonable projection from $19.4m Sunday (could increase) would be $8.73m Monday (55% drop) and $8.46m Tuesday (3% drop) with about 20% drop on Wednesday.
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| Mon Jan 04, 2016 2:19 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21856
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: When will it happen? So you're saying 757 and I'm saying 758-761. Very trivial. All im saying is there is a chance. But Wednesday is the definitive
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Mon Jan 04, 2016 4:53 am |
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