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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20352
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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 May 29-31 Predictions  San Andreas- 35 Aloha- 18? Could it go even lower? Absolutely no buzz. Tomorrowland -55% Poltergeist -65% PP2 -50% MM:FR -45% AOU -48%
Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Jun 09, 2017 8:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Fri May 22, 2015 11:51 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 51 million
Aloha - 9
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Fri May 22, 2015 11:53 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18882
Location: San Diego
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 27
Aloha - 21
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:02 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Aloha reminds me so much of How Do You Know: blinding star power, no pulse.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:05 am |
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trixie
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:15 pm
Posts: 299
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas-40m (The Rock has a fanbase, plus goodwill from F7 and Tomorrowland isnt going to breakout so this is the only other option for action type movie that GA can see until Jurassic Park hits.
Aloha-13.5m (no real buzz but it has recognizable stars, I see this as a walk-up type film. Its going to appeal to the over 30 crowd.)
Last edited by trixie on Sat May 23, 2015 12:20 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:11 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions  Low teens is the minimum I think.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:12 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 35
Aloha - 18
Starpower alone should propel Aloha to a decent opening. At least I would think. We'll see. It could certainly be How Do You Know 2.0. It really will be inexcusable if Cameron Crowe and Sony actually manage to make a romantic comedy with Bradley Cooper, Emma Stone and Rachel McAdams not a success.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:50 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 36
Aloha - 14
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| Sat May 23, 2015 1:06 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions The buzz on Aloha is absolutely toxic...they better try and pack them in opening weekend.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 2:40 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67047
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas $29m
It'll probably perform just like Hercules did. The Rock isn't a draw, and this has had a muted marketing effort.
Aloha $13m
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| Sat May 23, 2015 4:18 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Around $35 million sounds just about right for San Andreas. Crazy thing is that this same film would have opened to $60+ million a decade ago.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 23, 2015 4:40 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67047
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions The same film DID open with $60m a decade ago. Well, $68m to be precise. And then again in 2009 with $65m. I feel like I've been watching and re-watching rereleases of the same damn movie.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
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| Sat May 23, 2015 4:42 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - $26m
Aloha - $12m
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| Sat May 23, 2015 9:19 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22684
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas 35m
Aloha 15m
I doubt Aloha will open to single digits but its legs will get cut short by Spy.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 11:06 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Magnus wrote: San Andreas doesn't have any signs of a big breakout but...The Rock propelled Hercules to almost a 30m OW, and that was with Lucy opening against it.
Mid 30s seems doable for San Andreas. May drop hard after but it should open well enough. Nah I think Rock works better with certain movies like sequels, supporting roles, and sword sandals(SCorpion King, Hercules,Mummy REturns). Not disaster films. Under 30 million
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| Sat May 23, 2015 11:47 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5705
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas -$60m
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:04 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas seems a big hit to me. And it transcends Dwayne Johnson. I just believe Warner Bros. has run a strong, 2012-style campaign. The whole classic, "Where will you be? Who will you be with? The end is near!" disaster-movie angle.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions David wrote: San Andreas seems a big hit to me. And it transcends Dwayne Johnson. I just believe Warner Bros. has run a strong, 2012-style campaign. The whole classic, "Where will you be? Who will you be with? The end is near!" disaster-movie angle. I agree. I just think the time of these movies has passed. My colleague's first sentence when the credits rolled at the press screening: "1997 called and wants its summer blockbuster back". _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:25 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions Perfect time then for this film to capitalize on nostalgia for the Emmerich/Devlin-style blockbuster.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat May 23, 2015 12:34 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - 34.884 Million
Aloha - 14.1 MillionIt's crazy. Aloha should have been able to open above 20 Million but there doesn't seem to be much buzz at all. Maybe it still could though. Bradley Cooper couldn't be hotter right now and then it has a bunch of other names. Not to mention the trailer seems to be shown with every single movie so I imagine people are aware of it  . But I hear nobody talking about it. And the Facebook page has just under 36,000 likes, which is terrible. That's not much more than The D Train had the week before opening.
Last edited by Magic Mike on Sat May 23, 2015 1:28 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat May 23, 2015 1:19 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions David wrote: Perfect time then for this film to capitalize on nostalgia for the Emmerich/Devlin-style blockbuster. I don't think this nostalgia exists. We'll find out soon enough. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat May 23, 2015 1:24 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions I really hope San Andreas doesn't go below mid 30's next weekend. The advertising is solid and with Tomorrowland/Mad Max not exactly posting spectacular numbers, and Avengers fading the market should be wide open for this to put up some decent numbers. I could even see it reaching $40M, but either way it needs as BIG of opening as it can get before Jurassic World comes out and absolutely creams it.
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| Sun May 24, 2015 2:31 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas is made for OS audience and I don't think domestically people will care enough for it to have a bigger opening than say MM:FF
San Andreas - $29m
Aloha - $11m
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| Sun May 24, 2015 3:25 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas - $31.1 million
Aloha - $15.2 million
Tomorrowland -48%
Pitch Perfect 2 -41%
Mad Max: Fury Road -39%
Poltergeist -60%
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| Sun May 24, 2015 3:46 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: May 29-31 Predictions San Andreas looks perfectly suited for that $30-40 million opening range. Anything above $40 million, I'd consider great for it. Aloha will only open above $10 million thanks to Stone and Cooper being pretty damn big right now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun May 24, 2015 4:04 pm |
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