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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Child 44 predictions - April 17
Child 44 is an upcoming American drama thriller film directed by Daniel Espinosa, written by Richard Price, and based on Tom Rob Smith's novel Child 44 (2008). The film stars Tom Hardy, Noomi Rapace, Joel Kinnaman, Gary Oldman, and Vincent Cassel. It opens on a crowded weekend with Monkey Kingdom, Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2, and Unfriended. No real draws. I'll go with an $8m opening. Of course, I'd like to see a trailer first.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:07 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23327 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
The tile is generic but it could be a solid film. Regardless of quality, looks like an April dumpee.
The competition is strong too - Unfriended looks like a breakout ($20m+) and Paul Blart should still be good for about $20m OW even if it gets nowhere near the final gross of the first.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:43 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Around 40 million is the highest I could see it going. Or much lower because it almost reminds me of a film such as Dead Man Down. A strong cast, but no huge name, and a gloomy plot with no immediate easy-sell angle.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 1:56 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
It seems to me like a Gone Girl wannabe.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 2:14 am |
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Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Except it was written four years earlier.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 5:00 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
But it doesn't have to be marketed the same.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 8:24 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
I don't think this will do well. Interestingly this is the second pairing for Hardy and Rapace the first being The Drop which also didn't do gangbusters. That one had James Gandolfini and this one has Gary Oldman ofcourse the later has a bigger draw among the two but not by too much.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 11:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Second pairing of Oldman and Hardy too.
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Wed Jan 21, 2015 11:26 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Though they do not share any scenes in Lawless.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Fri Jan 23, 2015 11:51 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
I was talking about Tinker Tailor..
..didn't even remember Oldman was in Lawless.
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Fri Jan 23, 2015 11:53 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Ah, right.
Oldman has a small role in Lawless as a big-city gangster LaBeouf deals with despite Hardy's objections.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Fri Jan 23, 2015 11:56 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Ah, I remember now!
David, are you looking forward to Triple Nine? I think it has potential despite no real acting draw for me.
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Fri Jan 23, 2015 11:59 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Of course. John Hillcoat is one of my favorite directors.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Jan 24, 2015 12:02 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
This is definitely going to perform poorly at the box office. Audiences will not go for it: the grisly plot, the Russian accents, the dour and wintry vibe in general, etc.
7/15
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Tue Jan 27, 2015 6:14 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Agreed. It looks good, though. But my original $8 prediction is staying. With a total around $20m.
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Tue Jan 27, 2015 7:01 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am Posts: 7041
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
It looks terrible.
Why would you greenlight a project about Russian people in post-WW2 and have them talk English with Russian accents?
Just cast Russian people. Have them speak Russian. Or have Hardy and Oldman speak Russian. I'd watch that.
This just looks like a bit of a joke. The accents are horrible. I mean, it's not like I can tell for sure, but Hardy has used this "foreign" accent before which makes it more of a farce than an actual attempt.
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Tue Jan 27, 2015 10:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68307
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 Re: Child 44 predictions - April 17
Because people would not watch a film where the main actors speak Russian, hence why Russian films make $0 in the US.
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Wed Jan 28, 2015 12:09 am |
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