Where do you see SW Ep. 7 landing on the all time adjusted chart? I'm currently at #8. I think it will pass $1 B but may not get to $1.068 B to pass Jaws.

1 Gone with the Wind MGM $1,685,052,200 $198,676,459 1939^
2 Star Wars Fox $1,485,517,400 $460,998,007 1977^
3 The Sound of Music Fox $1,187,744,200 $158,671,368 1965
4 E.T.: The Extra-Terrestrial Uni. $1,183,065,200 $435,110,554 1982^
5 Titanic Par. $1,129,857,100 $658,672,302 1997^
6 The Ten Commandments Par. $1,092,540,000 $65,500,000 1956
7 Jaws Uni. $1,068,177,300 $260,000,000 1975
8 Doctor Zhivago MGM $1,035,289,700 $111,721,910 1965
9 The Exorcist WB $922,397,100 $232,906,145 1973^
10 Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs Dis. $909,060,000 $184,925,486 1937^

Number seven.

#9. While I think it will get to $1 bil, I don't think it will get much more.

#1

#5 or #6

I'm rooting for a billion. That number is just even now it's unfathomable. Ungodly. Unreal.

I think though it may end up around Exorcist.

9. One Disney in, one Disney out.

This is quite the depressing thread.

Even if we take 3D and all that into account it will sell around 90-100 million tickets

I would wait for 8th Jan to see where it is going. I am not 100% sure it will get to $1b but an all time Top 10 should be guaranteed.

Yeah, the fact that it's blowing past all the other sequels/prequels in admissions is the most impressive thing. That and trouncing Avatar by such a wide margin w/o as much of a 3D boost.

#7 or #6

#9 with around 950-960m $ ( I can't believe we are even having this thread. This is such a incredible result for TFA )

You realize that it will most likely pass $900 million before January 22, right?

I think it won't hold that well after holidays.

It will have to make 255M+ to reach 1 billion.

Lecter is hoping that SW7 will be a mini-Avatar level grosser.

Assuming a 4th weekend in the high 40's (with a 45%+ drop from a 90M+ weekend), it will be not much above 800M and would need a 5x multiplier to get the billion.
This weekend falling many millions under the 100M mark likely locked a position under #8.

Let's say $90 million this weekend, which puts it at $742 million by the end of the weekend. If it made $34.5 million on Saturday and drops around 40% on Sunday, it will have a $20.7 million Sunday. Looking back at 2010, it should have a Monday drop no worse than 60% to $8.3 million. Even in the worst case, following Sherlock Hoömes' drops, it should make $28 million Mon-Thu for a $770 million after 21 days. Let's assume the worst and say it drops 50% on its fourth weekend. Considerig its only competiition are an R-rated survival drama and a horror movie, I strongly doubt that will happen, but let's say it will. That means a $45 million weekend and $815 million after 24 days. During days 25-28 it should make at least another $15 million (again worst-case), leading to $830 million after four full weeks.

Its fifth weekend is the MLK-weekend. It will also be the weekend after the announcement of the Oscar noms, where I strongly believe The Force Awakens will score a BP nod. Avatar rose over the 4-day MLK-weekend by 8%. Sherlock Hoömes dropped 27%, The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey dropped 17% over the 4-day MLK-weekend. I think that with Oscar noms in the bag, TFA will drop no more than 15%, but let's go out on a limb and say it loses 25% over four days. From a $45 million 4th weekend, that is a $34 million weekend, giving it a $864 million total by the end of its fifth (long) weekend. During Tue-Thu it should collect another $7-8 million, for a $871-872 million total after five full weeks. In its sixth weekend, it should drop no more than 40-45% from its (3-day) 5th weekend, meaning a $16-17 million 6th weekend and a total around $890 million by the end of its sixth weekend.

Now I have only used the very worst-case-scenario for this, but this still means passing $900 million before the end of January with the Presidents Day weekend ahead. I am very certain that its holds will be better than I have described above.

The biggest problem with BOM's Adjusted Charts is that it is so unreliable...

Here are just some of the mistakes:

1) GWTW: for this movie actual admission numbers are used even though most of the other movies are indeed adjusted
2) SW had major re-relases in 78, 79, 81 and 82 but BOM lumps them all together
3) TSOM had a major re-release in 73, but BOM lumps all numbers together
6) dito T10C (60, 66, 72)
7) dito JAWS (79)
8) dito ZHIVAGO (71)
9) dito EXORCIST (76, 79)
10) dito SNOW WHITE (44 52 58 67 75)

and THE BIRTH OF A NATION is missing completely...

Is there a more accurate chart?

you know where to find it...

Ah, out of habit, I usually ony check the German box-office-sections of the website (and the starpower rankings)

Wait the worse it can do 4th weekend isn't 50%. Lots of movies outside of Avatar had 50%+ drops in 2010. Now I am not saying that SW7 will infact do less but its definitely not the worst. And in SW7's case a small percentage could mean millions in difference.

I kinda doubt the Oscars' impact on SW box office.

Watching SW for watercooler discussion >>>> box office from Oscar attention

I can't think of anyone that is going to say "I'm only going to watch SW because it got nominated for best picture." It's going to make $1 B! I'd think the need to see something that everyone else has and to stay in the conversation is more important to folks than who the Academy decides to support. The Oscars will maybe have barely 1 or 2% impact on its gross.

With social media today, I'd argue with everyday folks they remember more and more what happened at the Golden Globes which tells you a lot about how far the Oscars have drifted.

2% means $20 million in its case, which would be pretty good.