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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Actual Friday Estimates
Trickling in from Twitter...
@BoxOffice A MILLION WAYS TO DIE IN THE WEST opened with an estimated $6.1M on Friday. #AMillionWaysToDieInTheWest
@BoxOffice NEIGHBORS took in an estimated $2.4M on Friday. Domestic total now stands at $123.29M. #Neighbors
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Sat May 31, 2014 9:52 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
The lack of legs for Neighbors has been kinda weird. It seemed like WOM has been solid, it's on track for three 44%+ drops in a row. Despite a massive opening it'll finish within the range everyone expected pre-opening ($140-160 million).
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Sat May 31, 2014 9:58 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Quote: GODZILLA took in an estimated $3.31M on Friday. Domestic total now stands at $165.74M. #Godzilla
BLENDED took in an estimated $2.38M on Friday. Domestic total now stands at $23.58M. #Blended Godzilla will be the the first $90+ million opener to fail to make $200 million. Yeesh.
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Sat May 31, 2014 10:05 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Pretty blah opening for Million Ways.
Godzilla's word-of-mouth is either really bad or it's just being hurt by all the competition.
The box office looks like it's time for Slaylene Woodley and The Fault in Our Stars next weekend.
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Sat May 31, 2014 10:17 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Libs wrote: Godzilla's word-of-mouth is either really bad or it's just being hurt by all the competition.
Both. Also, I think it opened above expectations and now pays the price. The amazing marketing just made it more frontloaded.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 31, 2014 10:21 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68265 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
But if the movie had been great, the WOM would have countered that frontloadedness.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 31, 2014 10:23 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22188 Location: Places
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Godzilla doesn't have bad word of mouth. I think folks have complaints about the movie but nobody is saying "Godzilla sucked" or "godzilla was horrible".
so-so wom + competition + always going to be frontloaded + great marketing = horrible legs.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat May 31, 2014 10:54 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
That's awful for Godzilla.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:03 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Because it sucks even when the movie is good.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:07 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7195 Location: Wisconsin
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Magnus wrote: Why is it so hard for people to accept that Godzilla WOM sucks Of the 10 or so people I've talked to at work that saw Godzilla, only 1 said it sucks. That was balanced by the 1 that said it was awesome. The rest were in the okay to good range. A movie like this needs strong consensus that it's a must see in order to break out of it's monster movie fanbase that rushed out OW. This movie just doesn't have that consensus, thus the massive drops.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:10 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Remember the times when a sequel opened to $92m, was disliked by most and still managed to gross $282m?
Oh well, 2003 is eons away...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:20 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
mark66 wrote: Remember the times when a sequel opened to $92m, was disliked by most and still managed to gross $282m?
Oh well, 2003 is eons away... Although that movie also made $144.4 million in its first five days, compared to Godzilla's $107.8 million. From those numbers Godzilla's legs will only be moderately worse (1.95 multiplier vs. 1.76).
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:25 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
$24.25m MALEFICENT
For a while I was worried it would open below DIVERGENT ($22.78m)...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:32 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Quote: MALEFICENT opened with an estimated $24.25M on Friday. #Maleficent
X-MEN: DAYS OF FUTURE PAST took in an estimated $9.4M on Friday. Domestic total now stands at $138.87M. #XMEN #DOFP Very solid opening day number, should finish the weekend somewhere in the middle of everyone's expectations. It also received an "A" from Cinemascore, above Alice in Wonderland (A-) and Oz (B+), which seems like an early strong indicator for WOM. I was hoping for better from X-Men, but considering how frontloaded the franchise has always been I guess that was silly. Also, pretty much everything this month has been ridiculously frontloaded due to the competition from everything. Such dumb scheduling.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:34 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -30&p=.htmPretty much the worst possible numbers I would have thought, for everything. Very depressing weekend. It's hard to call Million Ways a bomb when it's not a $100+m budgeted blockbuster, but it's at the very least incredibly disappointing. I was contemplating a sub $20m opening before, but I didn't think it would sink this low.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:34 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Magnus wrote: Why is it so hard for people to accept that Godzilla WOM sucks The same reason people can't accept that X-Men will never have good legs no matter WOM. They're too blinded by the love/like they have towards those movies.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:42 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
I think the legs on display so far this summer has vindicated CA2's April release as the best scheduling decision in the last few years. I think it would have still held better than ASM2, Godzilla, or X-men if it, say, started off the summer, but it certainly wouldn't have gotten those sub-40% drops that it did. Disney could have muscled their way into the June or July, but instead they played it smart and it really paid off.
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:47 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68265 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
_axiom wrote: Magnus wrote: Why is it so hard for people to accept that Godzilla WOM sucks The same reason people can't accept that X-Men will never have good legs no matter WOM. They're too blinded by the love/like they have towards those movies. Yep. And the sad thing is that this is not a new revelation. This has been going on for decades.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:48 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
_axiom wrote: Magnus wrote: Why is it so hard for people to accept that Godzilla WOM sucks The same reason people can't accept that X-Men will never have good legs no matter WOM. They're too blinded by the love/like they have towards those movies. First Class had surprisingly good legs.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:52 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68265 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
We truly are in a new Disney era.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:53 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Can Maleficent reach 200 million with this type of opening day?
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat May 31, 2014 11:56 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
David wrote: Can Maleficent reach 200 million with this type of opening day? Snow White and the Huntsman had a 2.76 multiplier despite minimal family appeal and unspectacular WOM. If Maleficent can avoid a 55%+ drop next weekend (not impossble), it's in the cards still.
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Sat May 31, 2014 12:03 pm |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 15197 Location: Planet Xatar
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
Excel wrote: nobody is saying "Godzilla sucked" or "godzilla was horrible". That is not true.
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Sat May 31, 2014 12:04 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68265 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
David wrote: Can Maleficent reach 200 million with this type of opening day? Considering the terrible legs this Summer so far, no it definitely can not.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 31, 2014 12:04 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: Actual Friday Estimates
I was interested in answers from reasonable people, Algren. 
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat May 31, 2014 12:09 pm |
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