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 December 18-22 predictions 
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Begging Naked
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Post December 18-22 predictions
Pretty intense weekend up ahead...

Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues - $44.5 million ($65.5 million 5-day)
American Hustle - $15.1 million
Saving Mr. Banks - $9.2 million
Walking with Dinosaurs - $6 million

Dhoom 2 - $2.1 million
Her - $550,000 ($91,667 PTA)

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug -60%
Frozen -33%
Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas -46%
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire -43%


Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:19 pm
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Should be muted as usual for the weekend before Christmas.

Anchorman 2 - 40 (3 days)
American Hustle - 13
Saving Mr. Banks - 9
Walking with Dinosaurs - 8


Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:25 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
(3-Day)

Anchorman 2 - 45
Hustle - 14
Banks - 10
Dinosaurs - 9


Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:32 pm
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Pure Phase
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Three-day.

Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: 38 million
Walking with Dinosaurs: 15
American Hustle: 13.5
Saving Mr. Banks: 11

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Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:52 pm
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: $55m/$88m
American Hustle: $16.5m
Saving Mr. Banks: $12m
Walking With Dinosaurs: $6m


Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:39 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
I'm still baffled by the ANCHORMAN predictions - it looks to me as funny as A MADEA CHRISTMAS...

The first ANCHORMAN had 1,624 admissions in Germany... So there's room to grow here.... ;)

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Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:44 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
I honestly feel a bit overloaded on Ron Burgundy, and the film is not even out yet. ;) Ferrell is everywhere in character right now.

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Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:49 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
idk. I kinda feel like Anchorman is gonna underwhelm.


Sat Dec 14, 2013 7:10 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Regarding Anchorman or Burgundy marketing
I really found it effective in at least awareness of the movie in general. The marketing was clever and appealed to the fanbase. People were talking about the Sportscenter appearance at work for days.
On the flip side the trailers look unfunny and for it to break out of its core audience will be a challenge without a truly funny movie with excellent WOM. Maybe Walmart will buy a block of tickets to inflate the opening man of steel style.
Anchorman 5 day 68


Sat Dec 14, 2013 7:27 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman: 65/90
Hustle: 20

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Sat Dec 14, 2013 8:55 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Excel understands marketing. But 90?
Please tell me your rationale and others as well I invite


Sat Dec 14, 2013 9:29 pm
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now we know
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: $32m
Walking with Dinosaurs: $21m
American Hustle: $15m
Saving Mr. Banks: $15m

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Sat Dec 14, 2013 11:18 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - 47M/62M 5 day
Walking with Dinosaurs - 9M
American Hustle - 16M
Saving Mr. Banks - 13M

Hobbit -48%


Sun Dec 15, 2013 6:17 am
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug -41%

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Sun Dec 15, 2013 6:30 am
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - $39m (3-day)/$50m (5-day)
Walking with Dinosaurs - $15m
American Hustle - $18m
Saving Mr. Banks - $16m

Hobbit - 52%


Sun Dec 15, 2013 8:10 am
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
American Hustle will open better than many are predicting. The hype for it is VERY strong now. Seven Golden Globe noms, amazing reviews and let's not forget, The Fighter and Silver Linings Playbook were beloved films. Jennifer Lawrence's starpower is at its peak and the rest makes for a great ensemble too.

I'm thinking a $19-21 million 3-day weekend.

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Sun Dec 15, 2013 12:42 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
The TV ads for American Hustle have been awesome as well.


Sun Dec 15, 2013 12:44 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
I want to predict higher for American Hustle, it's just that the pre-Christmas frame always seems to be slower than people expect.

I'd love it if it did 20 next weekend, though. That would set it up extremely well for the season.


Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:15 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
American Hustle will open better than many are predicting. The hype for it is VERY strong now. Seven Golden Globe noms, amazing reviews and let's not forget, The Fighter and Silver Linings Playbook were beloved films. Jennifer Lawrence's starpower is at its peak and the rest makes for a great ensemble too.

I'm thinking a $19-21 million 3-day weekend.



Probably since it does have all the right ingredients, but I'd rather go into it with the lowest expectations possible. Older audiences could just as easily decide to wait until the holidays to catch up on it although there are ALOT of movies coming out Christmas Day.

As for Anchorman 2 yes it does feel like marketing overload and seeing Will Ferrell in pretty much every car/sports commercial can get very annoying, but you have to give the studios major props for not slacking a bit on this campaign. They have been going all out since October and I actually thought the Peyton Manning/ESPN interview was hilarious.


Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:17 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - $60M // $90M
Hustle - $20M
Mr. Banks - $12M
Walking With Dinosaurs - $9M

When has a marketing overload ever been a bad thing? Awareness is critical. However, focusing on the racist parts hasn't been the greatest idea and I think that is what's stopping it from $100M.


Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:21 pm
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Libs wrote:
I want to predict higher for American Hustle, it's just that the pre-Christmas frame always seems to be slower than people expect.

I'd love it if it did 20 next weekend, though. That would set it up extremely well for the season.


Yeah, it's also the kind of film whose audience will be willing to wait until after the holiday rush to check it out. I think it'll increase at least 10-15% in its second (wide) weekend, and have really strong holds from there. I'm beginning to feel good about this outgrossing SLP.


Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:27 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Bishop King wrote:
Excel understands marketing. But 90?
Please tell me your rationale and others as well I invite


Anchorman 2 has incredible awareness and the first one is an instant classic. I think my numbers are more towards the high end, but either way, this will be much closer to MEET THE FOCKERS than LITTLE FOCKERS.

Hustle is what Lecter said. Poised to be the crowd pleaser of the Holidays.

Bale is gawd.

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Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:02 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: $43m
American Hustle: $19m
Walking with Dinosaurs: $14m
Saving Mr. Banks: $9m

I think Mr Banks is being over predicted.

I really want American Hustle to break out OW but it will have great legs regardless.

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Last edited by MadGez on Mon Dec 16, 2013 9:07 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:03 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Banks was a film I envisioned doing well early on but I have cooled on since.

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Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:07 pm
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Post Re: December 18-22 predictions
Hussle opened wide here over the weekend at No.1 and the US equivalent gross would be about 20m. Can see that happening.

As for Banks - always thought of it as more of a Finding Neverland. Don't see it breaking out at all.

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Mon Dec 16, 2013 9:09 am
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