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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 December 18-22 predictions
Pretty intense weekend up ahead...
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues - $44.5 million ($65.5 million 5-day) American Hustle - $15.1 million Saving Mr. Banks - $9.2 million Walking with Dinosaurs - $6 million
Dhoom 2 - $2.1 million Her - $550,000 ($91,667 PTA)
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug -60% Frozen -33% Tyler Perry's A Madea Christmas -46% The Hunger Games: Catching Fire -43%
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:19 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Should be muted as usual for the weekend before Christmas.
Anchorman 2 - 40 (3 days) American Hustle - 13 Saving Mr. Banks - 9 Walking with Dinosaurs - 8
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:25 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
(3-Day)
Anchorman 2 - 45 Hustle - 14 Banks - 10 Dinosaurs - 9
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:32 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Three-day.
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: 38 million Walking with Dinosaurs: 15 American Hustle: 13.5 Saving Mr. Banks: 11
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 1:52 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: $55m/$88m American Hustle: $16.5m Saving Mr. Banks: $12m Walking With Dinosaurs: $6m
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:39 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13057 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
I'm still baffled by the ANCHORMAN predictions - it looks to me as funny as A MADEA CHRISTMAS... The first ANCHORMAN had 1,624 admissions in Germany... So there's room to grow here.... 
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:44 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
I honestly feel a bit overloaded on Ron Burgundy, and the film is not even out yet.  Ferrell is everywhere in character right now.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 5:49 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19448 Location: San Diego
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
idk. I kinda feel like Anchorman is gonna underwhelm.
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 7:10 pm |
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Bishop King
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun May 19, 2013 2:05 pm Posts: 354
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Regarding Anchorman or Burgundy marketing I really found it effective in at least awareness of the movie in general. The marketing was clever and appealed to the fanbase. People were talking about the Sportscenter appearance at work for days. On the flip side the trailers look unfunny and for it to break out of its core audience will be a challenge without a truly funny movie with excellent WOM. Maybe Walmart will buy a block of tickets to inflate the opening man of steel style. Anchorman 5 day 68
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 7:27 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman: 65/90 Hustle: 20
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 8:55 pm |
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Bishop King
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun May 19, 2013 2:05 pm Posts: 354
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Excel understands marketing. But 90? Please tell me your rationale and others as well I invite
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 9:29 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68388
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: $32m Walking with Dinosaurs: $21m American Hustle: $15m Saving Mr. Banks: $15m
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Dec 14, 2013 11:18 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7196 Location: Wisconsin
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - 47M/62M 5 day Walking with Dinosaurs - 9M American Hustle - 16M Saving Mr. Banks - 13M
Hobbit -48%
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 6:17 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68388
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug -41%
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 6:30 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - $39m (3-day)/$50m (5-day) Walking with Dinosaurs - $15m American Hustle - $18m Saving Mr. Banks - $16m
Hobbit - 52%
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 8:10 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
American Hustle will open better than many are predicting. The hype for it is VERY strong now. Seven Golden Globe noms, amazing reviews and let's not forget, The Fighter and Silver Linings Playbook were beloved films. Jennifer Lawrence's starpower is at its peak and the rest makes for a great ensemble too.
I'm thinking a $19-21 million 3-day weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 12:42 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
The TV ads for American Hustle have been awesome as well.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 12:44 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
I want to predict higher for American Hustle, it's just that the pre-Christmas frame always seems to be slower than people expect.
I'd love it if it did 20 next weekend, though. That would set it up extremely well for the season.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:15 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote: American Hustle will open better than many are predicting. The hype for it is VERY strong now. Seven Golden Globe noms, amazing reviews and let's not forget, The Fighter and Silver Linings Playbook were beloved films. Jennifer Lawrence's starpower is at its peak and the rest makes for a great ensemble too.
I'm thinking a $19-21 million 3-day weekend. Probably since it does have all the right ingredients, but I'd rather go into it with the lowest expectations possible. Older audiences could just as easily decide to wait until the holidays to catch up on it although there are ALOT of movies coming out Christmas Day. As for Anchorman 2 yes it does feel like marketing overload and seeing Will Ferrell in pretty much every car/sports commercial can get very annoying, but you have to give the studios major props for not slacking a bit on this campaign. They have been going all out since October and I actually thought the Peyton Manning/ESPN interview was hilarious.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25433 Location: Classified
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman - $60M // $90M Hustle - $20M Mr. Banks - $12M Walking With Dinosaurs - $9M
When has a marketing overload ever been a bad thing? Awareness is critical. However, focusing on the racist parts hasn't been the greatest idea and I think that is what's stopping it from $100M.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:21 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Libs wrote: I want to predict higher for American Hustle, it's just that the pre-Christmas frame always seems to be slower than people expect.
I'd love it if it did 20 next weekend, though. That would set it up extremely well for the season. Yeah, it's also the kind of film whose audience will be willing to wait until after the holiday rush to check it out. I think it'll increase at least 10-15% in its second (wide) weekend, and have really strong holds from there. I'm beginning to feel good about this outgrossing SLP.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 1:27 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Bishop King wrote: Excel understands marketing. But 90? Please tell me your rationale and others as well I invite Anchorman 2 has incredible awareness and the first one is an instant classic. I think my numbers are more towards the high end, but either way, this will be much closer to MEET THE FOCKERS than LITTLE FOCKERS. Hustle is what Lecter said. Poised to be the crowd pleaser of the Holidays. Bale is gawd.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:02 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues: $43m American Hustle: $19m Walking with Dinosaurs: $14m Saving Mr. Banks: $9m
I think Mr Banks is being over predicted.
I really want American Hustle to break out OW but it will have great legs regardless.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
Last edited by MadGez on Mon Dec 16, 2013 9:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:03 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Banks was a film I envisioned doing well early on but I have cooled on since.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Dec 15, 2013 5:07 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: December 18-22 predictions
Hussle opened wide here over the weekend at No.1 and the US equivalent gross would be about 20m. Can see that happening.
As for Banks - always thought of it as more of a Finding Neverland. Don't see it breaking out at all.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Mon Dec 16, 2013 9:09 am |
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