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 November 15-17 Predictions 
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Post November 15-17 Predictions
You know the drill.

The Best Man Holiday - $22 million (can't believe it is the sole opener that weekend!)

Thor: The Dark World - -56%

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Sat Nov 09, 2013 9:26 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
lol I can't believe Wolf was supposed to be released next week.

I'll say 19 for Best Man Holiday, 60% drop for Thor.


Sat Nov 09, 2013 9:33 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Disgraceful that the weekend was wasted like this.

52% drop for Thor

24m Best Man Holiday

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Sat Nov 09, 2013 9:41 am
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Thor -54%
Best Man Holiday 18M


Sat Nov 09, 2013 10:25 am
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The Best Man Holiday - 22


Sat Nov 09, 2013 11:43 am
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The Incredible Hulk

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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
I am getting think like a man Vides from The Best Man 2. The first become a classic for romantic comedy in the urban community and tge reaction to the trailer have been very positive. A 30 million opening would not shock me.


Sat Nov 09, 2013 12:15 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The Best Man Holiday - 25
Thor - 55%


Last edited by Dil on Sun Nov 10, 2013 1:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Nov 09, 2013 12:27 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Yeah I can definitely see $30M for Best Man Holiday.

Nebraska- $35,000 PTA


Sat Nov 09, 2013 12:54 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The Best Man Holiday - $18.2 million

Thor: The Dark World -56.5%
Bad Grandpa -38%
Last Vegas -32%
Free Birds -22%
Gravity -25%

Nebraska - $46,000 PTA


Sat Nov 09, 2013 3:27 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Given the current marketplace, I'd be seriously surprised if The Best Man Holiday came in under $20 million.

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Sat Nov 09, 2013 3:52 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
I feel like its appeal is inherently limited, and won't be helped much by being the only wide release. It's such a weird case though - how often do we get sequels to a film that was only a modest hit over a decade after it opened? It's quite odd.


Sat Nov 09, 2013 7:35 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The Best Man Holiday - 20 million

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Sat Nov 09, 2013 7:38 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
TBMH - $13m

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Sat Nov 09, 2013 8:00 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The market doesn't have to stay at certain level if there is no appealing choice, even for a normally busy month like November. In 2007, we have two consecutive weekends in Nov where the top 12 films grossed less than $100m total.

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Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:31 am
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Thinking sub 55 for Thor 2.

Thinking family will flock t this.

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Sun Nov 10, 2013 11:42 am
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Magnus wrote:
after the IM and breakdown showed a stronger interest with families, a low 50s drop seems right for Thor. I'd actually be somewhat letdown by a drop in the high 50s.


Yeah, I'm thinking the same too. I think the lack of any openers aimed at a wide audience will take at least 5% off the drops of most of the movies. The weekend will still be way down from this weekend and last year, but the holdovers will benefit somewhat.


Sun Nov 10, 2013 12:45 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Best Man: 16
Thor 2: 37

Super hero are just too naturally frontloaded now to avoid a 55% drop even with the help of families, IMO.


Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:08 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =31&p=.htm

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =30&p=.htm

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =19&p=.htm

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =30&p=.htm


Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:15 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Yes, those are all asinine comparisons (in response to your asinine comment bringing up Avengers :P), but Thor 2 is still a sequel and will be more frontloaded than the first. The great internal multiplier is certainly interesting, but in the past, that by itself hasn't been a great indicator of an overall performance out of the norm.


Sun Nov 10, 2013 3:38 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Thor 2 - $31m

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Sun Nov 10, 2013 6:36 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The Best Man Holiday - 21.298 Million


Sun Nov 10, 2013 6:43 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Thor - $38 million

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Sun Nov 10, 2013 6:45 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
Fandango 5

1. Thor: The Dark World
2. Free Birds
3. Hunger Games: Catching Fire
4. Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
5. The Best Man Holiday



A good sign for The Best Man Holiday to be on there, though it's also behind Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs which isn't making much anymore. :P


Mon Nov 11, 2013 8:41 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
The fact that The Best Man 2 is already in the top 5 is a very good sign. My prediction of a Think Like A Man opening is looking good.


Mon Nov 11, 2013 9:10 pm
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Post Re: November 15-17 Predictions
1. THOR: THE DARK WORLD - 42 MILLION (-51%)
2. THE BEST MAN HOLIDAY - 21.298 MILLION (New)
3. FREE BIRDS - 8.33 MILLION (-25%)
4. LAST VEGAS - 7.835 MILLION (-29%)
5. BAD GRANDPA - 7.475 MILLION (-34%)
6. GRAVITY - 6.145 MILLION (-28%)
7. ENDER'S GAME - 5.539 MILLION (-46%)
8. 12 YEARS A SLAVE - 5.4 MILLION (-19%)
9. CAPTAIN PHILLIPS - 4.284 MILLION (-25%)
10. ABOUT TIME - 3.7 MILLION (-22%)


Tue Nov 12, 2013 12:49 am
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