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 The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL) 
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Post The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
I expect major improvements overseas. The first film made $283,237,076 internationally. New Moon jumped more than 100% over Twilight, I don't think a similar increase is all that unlikely overseas.

Right now I'm thinking $500 million overseas and around $940-960 million worldwide.

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Sun May 19, 2013 7:21 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
So, what's everyone thinking? I'd be shocked if it did less than $500 million. This is going to be a major event.

With a little luck, it could actually crack $1 billion worldwide.

I wonder how it will do here. The free TV-premiere of the first movie had 6.34 million viewers on Sunday (I must say that the film was shown surprisingly soon after its theatrical release, though). The hype is aplpable, the presales are doing very well. I'm thinking 3.2-3.4 million admissions in total at least, but I wouldn't rule out 4 million.

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Wed Nov 13, 2013 5:54 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
There's 0.0 chance of it making $1b.

Overseas it will make around $400m. Nobody seems to give a shit here in China.

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Thu Nov 14, 2013 9:13 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Algren wrote:
There's 0.0 chance of it making $1b.

Overseas it will make around $400m. Nobody seems to give a shit here in China.


It might not make $1 billion worldwide, but as long as it will make $900+ million(and it will), it is crazy to say that there is "0.0" chance. Even if it misses, it is not like it will miss by much.

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Thu Nov 14, 2013 10:29 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Algren wrote:
Nobody seems to give a shit here in China.
12 of the 17 billionaires made it to the mark without China...

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Thu Nov 14, 2013 11:04 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
$2.4m opening day in Brazil...

http://variety.com/2013/film/news/the-h ... 200841961/

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Sat Nov 16, 2013 3:15 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Friday in Brazil was a holiday, Republic Proclamation. It should drop on Saturday-Sunday, but it will should something around 6.5M.


Sat Nov 16, 2013 3:41 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
mark66 wrote:
Algren wrote:
Nobody seems to give a shit here in China.
12 of the 17 billionaires made it to the mark without China...

It's a separate point. See the space.

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Sat Nov 16, 2013 8:34 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
I am not sure that this is a given for $500m OS total. The first movie had a really good WOM domestically but the WOM in Asian markets was just ok. Its not going to see a big increase because the first one is seen as an action movie first than a love story which will prevent its HUGE increase like NM. It could reach $450m OS but I still see its domestic gross being higher than OS gross.


Sun Nov 17, 2013 5:55 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
$6.2m Brazil opening

1st one did $3.15m/$10.15m according to BOM...

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Last edited by mark66 on Sun Nov 17, 2013 12:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Nov 17, 2013 12:52 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Almost twice the first film's opening, I think. This pattern should repeat itself across most markets. I expect particularly large increases in the UK and Russia.

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Sun Nov 17, 2013 12:53 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Hmm that's correct. Its a great opening in Brazil.


Mon Nov 18, 2013 4:23 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
BOM mentioned that the local currency is worth quite a bit less compared to the dollar too, now, which makes it even more impressive in admissions.


Mon Nov 18, 2013 5:28 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Should make around 500 overseas

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Mon Nov 18, 2013 9:34 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
In Brazil it opened to 5.2m. Not that far up from Hunger Games's 3.1m. Based on what I am hearing in China it is set to barely increase over the first one. I think 400m will happen but I am not sure about 500m.


Tue Nov 19, 2013 10:49 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Wasn't is supposed to be $6.2 in Brazil? Did they overestimate?

BTW I never understood the $500m OS predictions on this one. While NM doubled Twilight's OS gross this one had already taken the benefit of awareness and theater miss that some Twilight fanbase brought over for NM.


Wed Nov 20, 2013 3:16 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Wasn't is supposed to be $6.2 in Brazil? Did they overestimate?

BTW I never understood the $500m OS predictions on this one. While NM doubled Twilight's OS gross this one had already taken the benefit of awareness and theater miss that some Twilight fanbase brought over for NM.




yes an overestimate. The real number is 5.2


Wed Nov 20, 2013 3:40 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Good number but now not as impressive. It should also be more frontloaded this time so it needs bigger openings.


Wed Nov 20, 2013 3:49 am
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
No surprise here, previews were much bigger than THG's opening day in Germany...

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Thu Nov 21, 2013 1:36 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
It's still early, but I wouldn't be surprised if CF triples THG's opening weekend in Germany...

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Thu Nov 21, 2013 3:59 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
mark66 wrote:
It's still early, but I wouldn't be surprised if CF triples THG's opening weekend in Germany...

YAY!

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Thu Nov 21, 2013 4:19 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Less than 11 hours till i see it :D


Thu Nov 21, 2013 4:25 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Based on Overseas Trends it will open bigger in all markets but does not look to double in all markets.

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Thu Nov 21, 2013 5:52 pm
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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
Mannyisthebest wrote:
Based on Overseas Trends it will open bigger in all markets but does not look to double in all markets.


Your source?

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Post Re: The Hunger Games: Catching Fire (INTL)
China opening.

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Thu Nov 21, 2013 6:00 pm
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