As always, trickling in...http://www.boxoffice.com/statistics/bo_ ... e/2014-1-5

The nasty drops for those Xmas openers (47 Ronin, Mandela, Walking w/Dinosaurs) make Grudge Match's hold all the more impressive.

And great hold for Her!

I'm really curious to see how it expands this week now. WOM would have to be pretty good for that kind of increase with no theater change, yes? I guess more mainstream audiences might be more perplexed (it seems like a B-/C+ Cinemascore movie), but it's picking up fans, and after next weekend are the Oscar nominations where I expect it to do well (Picture, Directing, Writing, a tech nod or two). WB has been handling it brilliantly.

mark66 ain't gonna like this.

Go Her!

Paramount had three films make more than $10 million this weekend. I guess none of the films are maxing out on their potential, but they're all doing pretty solidly (and PA:TMO and AM2 are already greatly profitable, while Wolf eventually will be with overseas grosses).

I do think the storms and cold hurt movies this weekend a bit. PA probably would have done 20 otherwise. We haven't had snow yet but it's freezing here. I want to see The Marked Ones but didn't feel like going out in this cold if I didn't have to.

A Madea Christmas should be able to get to 55 Million. Legs were pretty good for a Tyler Perry movie. But it is still an underwhelming total overall.

Gravity is $300 K away from passing The Blind Side to become Sandra Bullock's biggest movie ever! Just a 1.6% drop! This movie really needs an Oscar expansion.

Believe may not pass $7 m at this rate.

Her is doing great. The marketing is very effective, and much better than that "Simone" movie with Al Pacino a few years ago which had a slightly similar theme. Would not be shocked by $10 m + next weekend.

Philomena is doing great. $20 m from a small release not passing 850 theaters.

Madea's Christmas has made a lot more than I expected post Christmas. It had $34 m up until the 25th and could end up with $56 m ish. I can't recall a Christmas themed movie that made this great a share of its box office gross after the holiday.

Grudge Match had the best hold in the top 10. Theater count will be an issue, but looks to recoup its budget.

Hunger Games is just $500 K from topping its predecessor and $1.5 m from IM3. Looks set for about $425 m and will get to #10 of all time. Will be only the second time that I can recall in the last 20 years that a non-major studio gets a film in the top 10 of all time list (joining New Market's TPOTC). Though LG is close to becoming a major if it comes up with another non-HG/non-Twilight franchise...

Mitty is having a quiet run but could get to $85-90 m. A good MLK holiday bump up could keep $100 m open, but its a bit of a stretch now.

SMB looks set for $100 m + and will be Tom Hanks leggiest movie since Forrest Gump! Two back to back $100 m movies and his career is fully back on track.

AM2 is having a solid run (finally saw it last night and the theater was packed). $138 m ish sounds about right, but a good MLK hold could push it further.

AH is having a phenomenal run so far and awards season isn't even fully in effect yet. Tentatively see $155 m for it now.

Wolf had a great hold and now looks set for $105-110 m.

The Hobbit didn't have a great hold but its comparable to its predecessor. Looks set for about $262 m. Could finish #8 for the year, as I see Gravity getting an Oscar bump up to pull ahead. It will be the first LOTR movie to not place in the yearly top 5.

PA had a decent opening considering how cheap it was to make. But not helping the franchise brand much. Looks like it will struggle to get to $45 m.

Lastly, Frozen returns to #1 in its 6th weekend! One comparable I can find is Something About Mary, which took 8 weeks to reach #1. But as I mentioned a few months back, Frozen was going to follow an Aladdin like run. Aladdin only reached #1 in its 6th weekend (also the first weekend of the new year). It faced Home Alone 2 though so needed to wait to get to #1.

Here was Aladdin's run up until January 1993 (adjusted and wide):
$37,416,200, $21,173,500 -43.4%, $14,371,200 -32.1%, $14,014,700 -2.5%, $25,957,700 +85.2%, $30,415,100 +16.9%, $16,395,100 -46.1%, $21,234,000 +29.5%, $14,464,100,
$12,288,700 -15.0%

Frozen's weekends so far:
$67,391,326, $31,616,230 -53.1%, $22,568,138 -28.6%, $19,642,107 -13.0%, $28,596,319 +45.6%, $20,722,000 -27.5%

Not apples to apples, but somewhat similar runs. Frozen is showing all the signs of out of this world wom, so I think it will still hold well until at least MLK weekend. $350 m is very possible, and if it has a significant weekend bump up over MLK weekend or a 20% hold next weekend, it may make a run for DM2 for top animated movie of 2013.

I'm giving it $355 m total now. The winner of the holiday season without a doubt, and arguably the year in terms of best runs. I just don't think its run is close to wrapping up yet as its album is picking up steam and could reach #1 on the album charts in its 8th week, some of the biggest Christmas toys sold were Frozen related, there's an empty marketplace, and a chance for some awards buzz as well.

45 Million? I think The Marked Ones will struggle to get to 40 Million.

Inside Llewyn Davis has done very solid considering it hasn't reached more than 161 theaters.

Also continuing to do fairly strong is The Book Thief. Might get to 22 Million or close to it. Audiences responded to it much more warmly than critics. They should have just opened this in 2,000+ theaters off the bat.

You're probably right! $40 m is probably a stretch, but I was being slightly optimistic.

I'll agree on Walter Mitty that my $85 m is optimistic. Its playing a bit as a family movie though so with the lack of family films aside from Frozen/SMB I thought it might hold a bit better.

SMB is getting to $100 m imo. It's already at a 5.9 multiplier from 3 weekends, and still has MLK weekend, light marketplace, Disney's backing, and awards buzz to come. It's 3rd weekend is almost as much as its 1st weekend. I agree that my Mitty and PA estimates are over optimistic, but feel SMB's track record so far, it will still do well post holidays.

I'll be so glad if Her breaks out

I can't stand how Hobbit keeps having harsher drops than the other movies around it. I mean what the fuck. The only good news is that AUJ made 40m more from here from a similar weekend so maybe DOS can do that and finish with 270m

GM is having good legs but have anybody realized how much the TV spots are focusing on Kevin Hart and not the two main stars. I am really interested in seeing how well Ride Along does.

I'd love if Mitty got $90m. I have it in a box office draft. I need AM2, AH, and Mitty to reach $390m combined. Probably not happening but a boy can dream.

Yeah, I would not project too high a multiplier from this weekend on. Once holiday is over, Jan dailies will be weak, and next weekend most films will drop over 40%.