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 Weekend Estimates 
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KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
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Post Weekend Estimates
1 N Ted Uni. $54,100,000 - 3,239 - $16,703 $54,100,000 $50 1
2 N Magic Mike WB $39,155,000 - 2,930 - $13,363 $39,155,000 $7 1
3 1 Brave BV $34,011,000 -48.7% 4,164 - $8,168 $131,685,000 $185 2
4 N Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection LGF $26,350,000 - 2,161 - $12,193 $26,350,000 $20 1
5 2 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted P/DW $11,815,000 -40.1% 3,715 -205 $3,180 $180,012,000 $145 4
6 3 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter Fox $6,000,000 -63.2% 3,109 +1 $1,930 $29,034,000 $69 2
7 4 Prometheus Fox $4,925,000 -50.3% 1,951 -911 $2,524 $118,262,000 $130 4
8 11 Moonrise Kingdom Focus $4,873,000 +43.6% 854 +459 $5,706 $18,406,000 $16 6
9 5 Snow White and the Huntsman Uni. $4,405,000 -45.5% 2,337 -582 $1,885 $145,591,000 $170 5
10 N People Like Us BV $4,306,000 - 2,055 - $2,095 $4,306,000 $16 1
11 8 Marvel's The Avengers BV $4,215,000 -41.3% 1,757 -473 $2,399 $606,298,000 $220 9
12 6 Rock of Ages WB (NL) $2,730,000 -64.3% 2,405 -1,065 $1,135 $34,912,000 $75 3
- 12 The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel FoxS $1,065,000 -34.6% 534 -207 $1,994 $40,386,000 - 9
- 20 To Rome with Love SPC $750,000 +107.5% 29 +24 $25,862 $1,291,000 - 2
- 14 Battleship Uni. $433,000 -16.6% 308 -175 $1,406 $63,898,000 $209 7
- 13 The Hunger Games LGF $404,000 -35.3% 278 -136 $1,453 $403,776,000 $78 15
- 16 Safety Not Guaranteed FD $380,000 -19.7% 164 +35 $2,317 $1,685,000 - 4
- 21 The Intouchables Wein. $316,000 -8.9% 68 -6 $4,647 $2,583,000 - 6
- 27 Your Sister's Sister IFC $228,000 +13.4% 95 +48 $2,400 $683,000 - 3
- N Beasts of the Southern Wild FoxS $169,000 - 4 - $42,250 $220,000 - 1
- N Take This Waltz Magn. $150,000 - 30 - $5,000 $150,000 - 1
- 25 Dr. Seuss' The Lorax Uni. $149,000 -27.6% 202 -32 $738 $213,213,000 $70 18
- 18 The Dictator Par. $140,000 -63.3% 130 -186 $1,077 $59,082,000 $65 7
- 19 What to Expect When You're Expecting LGF $125,000 -65.7% 203 -208 $616 $40,126,000 $40 7
- 31 The Cabin in the Woods LGF $108,000 -22.1% 149 -47 $725 $41,975,000 - 12
- 24 For Greater Glory ArcEnt $103,000 -58.1% 73 -87 $1,411 $5,313,000 - 5
- 29 Hysteria SPC $80,800 -46.3% 73 -63 $1,107 $1,558,200 - 7
- 35 Peace, Love and Misunderstanding IFC $29,400 -61.0% 42 -22 $700 $508,200 - 4
- 45 Headhunters Magn. $25,000 -34.6% 22 -9 $1,136 $1,042,400 - 10
- N Neil Young Journeys SPC $13,300 - 3 - $4,433 $13,300 - 1
- - Turn Me On, Dammit! NYer $5,200 - 4 - $1,300 $98,600 - 14
- 64 Dark Horse BM&DH $4,200 -67.2% 3 -4 $1,400 $61,600 - 4

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:33 am
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KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Damn Magic Mike. That is a huge drop off. Still an amazing opening.

Ted is a monster. Very healthy IM. 200m seems like near the low end for it.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:35 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
It's hard for me not to be a tad bit disappointed by Magic Mike's opening. ;) I know it's still an AMAZING number, and it was always going to have to endure a hefty Saturday drop, but to fall short of 40 million after a nearly 20m Friday is a bit...distressing. Even Friday the 13th made it to 40 million over three days after a 19.2m start.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:39 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I wonder how many days it will be until Ted 2 is announced.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:41 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Ted played well all day Yesterday and into the night...


Likley held well here in Canada due to the Holiday...

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:42 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Will Ted really be that leggy?

I mean, I want to see it but a lot of my friends that do, want to do so because of its obvious association to Family Guy.

It could be more frontloaded than one would expect. I don't think it's as universal as the Hangover.

But, since it's not out here for another month, it could really just be very funny and be leggy in that way.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:44 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
David wrote:
It's hard for me not to be a tad bit disappointed by Magic Mike's opening. ;) I know it's still an AMAZING number, and it was always going to have to endure a hefty Saturday drop, but to fall short of 40 million after a nearly 20m Friday is a bit...distressing. Even Friday the 13th made it to 40 million over three days after a 19.2m start.


I know it's crazy to be disappointed by this number as it is indeed great but it kind of is after its Friday. To be fair though Friday The 13th had Valentine's Day and President's Day to help soften the blow.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:47 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Oh, and Magic Mike better get to 100 Million. I'm hoping for strong weekdays like SATC had.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:50 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Magic Mike wrote:
Oh, and Magic Mike better get to 100 Million. I'm hoping for strong weekdays like SATC had.

Sadly, I'm not sure it will. Isn't a total around 85-90 million more realistic at this point?

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:52 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Stripper dudes got bitch slapped by a teddy bear

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 10:52 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
If the point-two holds (or if it goes higher), Magic Mike will be the largest opening of Soderbergh's career, just topping Ocean's Twelve's $39,153,380.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:01 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Brave - $33M -50% yikes. Mad 3 might beat it after all.

4 Tyler Perry's Madea's Witness Protection $26,500,000 -- 2,161 -- $12,263 $26,500,000 1 Lionsgate
5 Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted $11,500,000 -42% 3,715 -205 $3,096 $179,696,522 4 Paramount / DreamWorks
6 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter $5,500,000 -66% 3,109 1 $1,769 $28,534,193 2 Fox
7 Prometheus $4,500,000 -55% 1,959 -903 $2,297 $117,836,848 4 Fox
8 Snow White and the Huntsman $4,300,000 -47% 2,337 -582 $1,840 $145,485,920 5 Universal
9 Marvel's The Avengers $4,200,000 -41% 1,757 -473 $2,390 $606,283,073 9 Disney
10 People Like Us $4,100,000 -- 2,055 -- $1,995 $4,100,000 1


Ted :shock: Still shocking that this broke out so huge. McFarlane power bests shirtless Tatum by majority decision. One of the more impressive openings ever.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:03 am
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KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I'm going to be AFK for a few hours so if a mod wants to update the initial post when more estimates come in that be cool.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:06 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
I regret giving Ted eight dollars. ;)

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:11 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Ouch for People Like Us. Couldn't even get a 2k per-theatre-average.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:12 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Still a terrific opening, but DAMN. That's a huge drop on Saturday for Magic Mike. I still see $100m, though.

What an awesome opening for Ted, though. $54m?! That's INSANE.


Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:41 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
This is a great end to the good, if unspectacular June that we had. The weekend Top 10 aggregates to 186m+ which is around what TF3 weekend did last year. Never thought we'd have a weekend this huge and led by two non-sequel, R-rated comedies.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 11:55 am
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Rev wrote:
Stripper dudes got bitch slapped by a teddy bear


:2thumbsup:

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:09 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Yes, a real man's man manly man movie won. Women should now return to the kitchen with their heads bowed.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:16 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Indeed.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:18 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
BMP is hungry for a sammich.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:20 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Great openings for Ted and Magic Mike. Eventhough Magic Mike was REALLY frontloaded wom seems decent and it should still be able to cross $100M, but probably not much more. Overall June was a solid month for movies, but now we move on to hopefully one of the biggest July's ever and strong holdovers from this weekend can definitely help out this month ALOT.


Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:22 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Look like Magic Mike is truly all about Friday night for the ladies, even more so than SATC. It will probably continue to see Fri-to-Sat drops throughout its run (but better Fri increases as well ).

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:26 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
This is Wahlberg's fifth hit in a row and will be his highest grossing film.

He's almost the perfect A-list star. Other than the occasional dip into David O. Russell territory (which won't happen again after their falling out), he doesn't have the Redford/Clooney urge to alternate between artistic and populist films. He seems perfectly pleased on the populist side of the fence. He has the intensity and physicality to play action roles, but can just easily headline a romantic comedy. And though there was the unfortunate incident where he beat and blinded an older Vietnamese gentleman while screaming, "Vietnam fucking shit," he hasn't done anything truly awful, such as join the Church of Scientology or yell at the writer of Basic Instinct.

Dude's on the top of the world.

I wonder how much he gets paid per picture.

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Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:31 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
So Universal's top film of the year will potentially be about a foul teddy bear?

Regardless, Ted came out at the perfect time for them (after BS flopped).

The Hangover dipped 10% on its second day in early June, so still too early to say how lengthy Ted's run will be. A 13.5% drop in late June is reasonable though. It only needs a 3.7 multiplier to get to $200 m.

This was the 12th biggest weekend ever. It also had the lowest #1 movie out of all of the top 25 weekends ever, showing how spread out the grosses were.

1 Dec. 25–27, 2009 52 $259,901,856 29,807 $8,719 4 Avatar $75,617,183 29.1%
2 Jul. 18–20, 2008 29 $253,586,871 32,822 $7,726 3 The Dark Knight $158,411,483 62.5%
3 Jul. 15–17, 2011 28 $251,645,075 29,547 $8,517 2 Harry Potter / Deathly Hallows (P2) $169,189,427 67.2%
4 Nov. 20–22, 2009 47 $250,014,893 27,050 $9,243 3 New Moon $142,839,137 57.1%
5 May 4–6, 2012 18 $249,722,108 28,660 $8,713 1 The Avengers $207,438,708 83.1%
6 May 27–29, 2011 21 $216,205,440 27,760 $7,788 2 The Hangover Part II $85,946,294 39.8%
7 Nov. 18–20, 2011 46 $214,952,266 28,353 $7,581 3 Breaking Dawn Part 1 $138,122,261 64.3%
8 Jul. 7–9, 2006 27 $209,881,552 28,080 $7,474 1 Dead Man's Chest $135,634,554 64.6%
9 Jan. 1–3, 2010 1 $209,232,557 29,939 $6,989 0 Avatar $68,490,688 32.7%
10 Mar. 23–25, 2012 12 $203,811,164 24,938 $8,173 2 The Hunger Games $152,535,747 74.8%
11 May 25–27, 2007 21 $199,216,618 22,023 $9,046 2 Pirates of the Caribbean 3 $114,732,820 57.6%
12 Jun. 29–Jul. 1, 2012 26 $196,885,000 30,677 $6,418 4 Ted $54,100,000 27.5%


Sun Jul 01, 2012 12:39 pm
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