You know the drill

TF3- 3day= 107.4, 5day=198, 6day=121.4
LC- 3day= 17, 4day=22
MC- 3day=12, 4day=16

I think you meant $221 for 6-day ?

Yeah sorry

Transformers: Dark of the Moon- 205 (six-day)
Larry Crowne- 28 (four-day)
Monte Carlo- 16 (four-day)

Isn't it 6 1/2 day for TF3?

T3 - $100M+ over its first 2.5 days, $115M weekend, $25M 4th of July. $240M over the 6.5 days.

Larry Crowne - $25M 4 day

TF3

Tues (9pm to midnight)-Wed-Thurs 110m
Fri-Mon 140m

Total 250m

Larry Crown - 30m 3-day
MC - who gives a fuck!

#1 of 2011 by Tuesday?

Absolutely!

Transformers - 208 (6 days)
Larry Crowne - 21 (4 days)
Monte Carlo - 15 (4 days)

Before anyone calls me a downer or whatever- I expect TF3 to be very big- I'm surprised at how little I'm hearing about the movie.

As in, it's still not in the top five sellers on Fandango (as of today), and I see zero sellouts (I saw quite a few for TF2 three days out).

I guess we shall see. I admit I am out of touch as I don't know anybody who liked the previous film and who is going to see the third one. I am not going to make a prediction for that reason.

Final Predictions:


Tue - Previews - $20m
Wed - Day 1 - $50m
Thu - Day 2 - $28m
Fri - Day 3 - $38m
Sat - Day 4 - $40m
Sun - Day 5 - $28m
Mon - Day 6 - $30m

3-Day = $106m
5-Day = $204m
6-Day = $234m

I dunno I think the big number guesses for TF3 are a little too optimistic. I think the max for the 6 days is $190-$200m which would be brilliant.

I'm definitely seeing a 6-day gross well under $200 million. Buzz isn't anywhere near as high as 2009 in my opinion, and the added stigma of 3D is going to hurt it more than help it despite the online/fanboy buzz.

This reminds me a lot of Pirates, and though TF3 certainly has more buzz than that film, I think both are more in the shadows of another film than either franchise is used to being.

TF3 will probably struggle to reach the first film's adjusted numbers during the opening (and probably total), IMO.

165M (6.25 days)/290m domestic/500M OS/790M WW.

The last three posts are laughable.

TF3 - 110m (3-day) 235m (6-day)
Larry Crowne - 30m 4-day

We'll see.

I've taken a lot of heat for my predictions on TF3 for months...if it can do numbers like you're suggesting, I'll be the first to eat some delicious crow.

What is shocking is the lack of reviews for TF3. The movie comes out Tuesday night and so far there are just a few reviews and nothing from major critics (especially Variety and HR). Not sure what that means unless the studios aren't allowing them until tomorrow like WB did with GL. As for this weekend, I really don't see a total less than 300 although I still don't see it over 350 because of the second film's stigma.

Transformers 3: 212m (6-day)
Larry Crowne: 23m (4-day)
Monte Carlo: 14m (4-day)

Cars 2: -54%
Bad Teacher: -52%

Either Paramount has pulled the wool over everyone's eyes in a Spidey 3-like fashion and the film is a stinker, or Paramount has seriously screwed up their strategy here because hiding reviews accomplishes nothing positive unless they're very negative reviews.

I lean strongly toward the latter (Paramount screwing up). Wouldn't be the first time this summer, either.

I agree because reviews won't hurt this film OW. I think it mattered more with GL being a new film but the majority of people who will see TF3 OW will not go by the reviews.

Reviews probably won't be great, they never were with Transformers. Even if it gets a barely fresh rating, which would be more than what the original got, that won't help the movie. So to be on the safe side they are holding off on reviews.

I agree. Could it be another case where the expectation was for the film to essentially sell itself? Studios need to realize this is always a gamble, particularly when a prior installment wasn't wholeheartedly embraced.