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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21451
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 March 24-26 Predictions John Wick Chapter 4- 77m
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| Fri Mar 17, 2023 8:30 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32573
Location: the last free city
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions It'll do 70m 
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| Fri Mar 17, 2023 10:16 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35190
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions 70+ I'm very much regretting my 52 Million prediction in the March contest. 
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| Fri Mar 17, 2023 11:15 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32573
Location: the last free city
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: 70+ I'm very much regretting my 52 Million prediction in the March contest. I changed mine to 70m after reading that deadline article  :fingerscrossed:
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| Fri Mar 17, 2023 12:41 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68214
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Has to be doing $75 million.
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| Fri Mar 17, 2023 6:09 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6703
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions its breaking out for sure. presales are great as are reviews.
In fact D&D which has early shows starting tomorrow has really good presales for shows tomorrow. I am expecting even that to hit 40m OW now. I regret putting 19m for that in monthly contest. Back then presales had not started :-) and we did not get early review/reactions from SXSW.
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| Sat Mar 18, 2023 11:00 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23246
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Yeah - this is going $70m+. Hopefully more.
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| Sun Mar 19, 2023 6:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6703
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions I am thinking OW could be as high as 90m !!!!
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| Tue Mar 21, 2023 2:19 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Keanu needs $91,774,413 to become his top OW of all time (not counting Toy Story sequel).
It would be utterly crazy for a 4th movie to have an OW that large when the original movie 9 years earlier opened to $14,415,922.
Fast of course is another franchise that has had a string of increasing grosses way after the original but can you think of another franchise who's biggest movie of the franchise opened 9 years after the original? Rocky IV (pre-Creed III unadjusted of course).
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| Tue Mar 21, 2023 2:30 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25163
Location: Classified
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions My closest theater has six screens total and they are giving three of them to John Wick. During a pretty crowded March at that. Makes me wonder how high it could go. Is $100M possible or is that just crazy talk? I thought the runtime wouid be issue, but it looks like those concerns are balanced out by reports of this being the last one (with Keanu anyways.)
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| Tue Mar 21, 2023 3:04 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19359
Location: San Diego
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Ooof if John Wick does 90m+ and D&D does 40m+ makes Shazam look even worse. Gonna go with 64% drop this weekend.
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| Tue Mar 21, 2023 5:45 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions I love that the third biggest OW of this month is still at $44M once JW4 opens. If D&D overperforms it's going to push Shazam to 5th for the month with a $30M OW.
For comparison's sake in 2022's 4 weekends, we only saw 2 movies do $20M+ and 3 movies do $10M+ OWs (Jujutsu Kaisen, Batman and Lost City).
An A-list led romcom probably could have fit in to considering how many action movies came out this month. There was still room to make even more. And of course, the month could have easily handled a family movie in the first two weeks.
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| Wed Mar 22, 2023 12:05 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35190
Location: Minnesota
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Previews are estimated to be 9.5 Million.
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 12:35 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Deadline has $8M but hope it goes to $9.5M.
JW3 got $5.9M in previews for a $22.6M opening and $56.8M 3day. If hypothetically JW4 follows that (likely more frontloaded), would be at $30.64M opening day and $77.0M opening weekend based on an $8M preview tally.
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 2:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68214
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Why does Universal keep reporting on Violent Night? It's making peanuts but it seems important to them to tell us that it dropped two theatres this week and it made 480 dollars on Wednesday, lol.
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 5:06 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21451
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions 9.5 would put it on pace for at least 80
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 7:37 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21855
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions O wrote: Keanu needs $91,774,413 to become his top OW of all time (not counting Toy Story sequel).
It would be utterly crazy for a 4th movie to have an OW that large when the original movie 9 years earlier opened to $14,415,922.
Fast of course is another franchise that has had a string of increasing grosses way after the original but can you think of another franchise who's biggest movie of the franchise opened 9 years after the original? Rocky IV (pre-Creed III unadjusted of course). Austin Powers _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 1:21 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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Re: March 24-26 Predictions Thegun wrote: O wrote: Keanu needs $91,774,413 to become his top OW of all time (not counting Toy Story sequel).
It would be utterly crazy for a 4th movie to have an OW that large when the original movie 9 years earlier opened to $14,415,922.
Fast of course is another franchise that has had a string of increasing grosses way after the original but can you think of another franchise who's biggest movie of the franchise opened 9 years after the original? Rocky IV (pre-Creed III unadjusted of course). Austin Powers Technically there were only 3 Austin Powers and 5 years but still indicative of a growing franchise.
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| Fri Mar 24, 2023 1:37 pm |
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