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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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 Thursday Numbers Hangover 2 - 31.66M
KFP2 - 5.8M
THOR: $934,000 -14%
Rango $35,000 $121,354,483
Source Code $20,224 $53,110,488
The Beaver $15,289 $659,548
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Last edited by Keyser Söze on Fri May 27, 2011 1:52 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 2:39 am |
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Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3028
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Good number for Hangover 2. I thought KFP 2 would do better than that given that it's in 3D. I don't buy that KFP 2 will only make 50m for the 3-day weekend. It should make around 60-70m.
Last edited by Bluebomb on Fri May 27, 2011 2:58 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 2:56 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I predicted an 11 Million Thursday for KFP2. Guess that isn't happening. Should certainly see a large increase over the weekend though.
That number for The Hangover is really disappointing since it includes midnights. I guess Nikki was right about a 20 Million Thursday.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 2:57 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Its a Thursday guys, these films will do well over the 5-days. Panda is on the low side, but again its Thursday. If anything 3D is now hurting films BO.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:00 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Even if it is Thursday The Hangover should have been able to do better. Looks like it might be extremely front-loaded.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:01 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki The First Avenger wrote: Its a Thursday guys, these films will do well over the 5-days. Panda is on the low side, but again its Thursday. If anything 3D is now hurting films BO. I strongly agree with that. You will see the same with XM-FC, GL, Cars 2, TF3, HP7.2 and Cap Am.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:04 am |
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Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 3028
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Hmm... KFP 2 breakdown: Thursday: 6m Friday: 18m (+200%) Saturday: 31m (+72%) Sunday: 26.66m (-14%) Monday: 24.26m (-9%) Mike wrote: Even if it is Thursday The Hangover should have been able to do better. Looks like it might be extremely front-loaded. If anything, it looks like people will wait for the weekend to see it.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:06 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I know about May, kids still in school, Shrek 2, blah blah blah, but $6 million is STILL lower than I would have imagined it'd get. It'll have a great increase today, but realistically I can't see more than 150% and that would still be "just" $15 million.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:12 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I still wouldn't be shocked if the # for Thursday is a few million bigger than this estimate.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:26 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Wow looks like Panda2 could be on the way to $65-70m for 5-day which TH2 will make in almost 2 days. If that really happens then it will be disappointing for KFP2 no matter what and HUGE win for tracking 
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:28 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki It sure does.
Even if PANDA 2 opens a bit soft it really doesn't have much competition until CARS 2 so it will have great legs.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:46 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki They somehow think that $6m OD for KFP2 is solid
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:56 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Didn't one of the Shreks open relatively mildly on a weekday, then the weekend came and it EXPLODED?
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| Fri May 27, 2011 3:59 am |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Keyser Söze wrote: The First Avenger wrote: Its a Thursday guys, these films will do well over the 5-days. Panda is on the low side, but again its Thursday. If anything 3D is now hurting films BO. I strongly agree with that. You will see the same with XM-FC, GL, Cars 2, TF3, HP7.2 and Cap Am. X-Men: First Class is in 2D, and Harry Potter 7.2 is such a fan-driven film that people will run to it in droves, even if they have to pay the surcharge.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 4:21 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki So TH2 also got an A- cinemascore according to Nikki. WOM should be pretty strong indeed, but I wonder how much it will decrease today. I don't see it dropping too much considering alot of people will play catch up today. I might even see it if I have the time.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 6:56 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Gunslinger wrote: Didn't one of the Shreks open relatively mildly on a weekday, then the weekend came and it EXPLODED? Yes. Kung Fu Panda's opening day being slammed as "disappointing" brings back vivid memories of Shrek 2, where the exact same thing happened. Granted, the opening day is supposedly about half of Shrek 2's Wednesday debut, but still. Don't count it out yet.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 8:04 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Well, to be fair, we don't know yet whether the exact same thing will happen (even though I think it is likely)...
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| Fri May 27, 2011 8:06 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I dont know why the Shrek 2 example is pooh poohed - its very valid.
KFP2 will rebound nicely. Sure it probably wont go over $100m but its still good.
TH2 is on track for a HUGE weekend. It wont be that frontloaded because its main audience isnt teens.
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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| Fri May 27, 2011 8:16 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Hangover also has the fact that it's likely to sell out late shows (i.e. 10-11-midnight) working in its favor, which means whatever early estimates come in are probably low.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 8:28 am |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am
Posts: 13299
Location: Vienna
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I'm really hoping for a Shrek 2 rebound for Panda 2 and I think it can manage that.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 9:01 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm
Posts: 7951
Location: Hyrule
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Kung Fu Panda 2 is being hurting by Pirates 4 and vice versa
great for The Hangover 2
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| Fri May 27, 2011 9:01 am |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm
Posts: 1461
Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki Riggs wrote: I'm really hoping for a Shrek 2 rebound for Panda 2 and I think it can manage that. It was 6 years ago and everything is much more frontloaded nowadays. And it's a week later into summer and Thursday instead of Wednesday.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 9:08 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki almost famous wrote: Riggs wrote: I'm really hoping for a Shrek 2 rebound for Panda 2 and I think it can manage that. It was 6 years ago and everything is much more frontloaded nowadays. And it's a week later into summer and Thursday instead of Wednesday. shrek 2 released 7 year ago. Another thing notfabio mentioned is that it was moved to wednesday at the last moment. KFP2's release date was set months ago. Plus just bcos something crazy happened long back does not mean it will keep happening again. Plus CGI flicks are not as niche as they were in 2004. Shrek 2 had no competition at all. Now we had 4 CGI flicks in spring and few more releasing in summer.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 27, 2011 9:16 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki WB's official Thursday estimate for Hangover II is $31.66 million. So, $21.3M without the midnight number added in. http://twitter.com/#!/giteshpandya
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| Fri May 27, 2011 10:07 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: Hangover/KFP2 OD - Nikki I would say a 100% Fri Increase for KFP2 is about right. That would be the increase for Shrek 2 if it had opened Thu and 2/3 of its Wed+Thu gross had been on Thu. Then a 50% Sat increase.
In Hangover news:
"Fandango reports that 'The Hangover Part II' boasts the top pre-sales and opening day ticket sales for any comedy in the company's 11-year history."
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| Fri May 27, 2011 10:17 am |
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