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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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 April 1-3 Predictions Hop- 35
Source Code- 17
Insidious- 11
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 12:40 pm |
 
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Hop- $30M
Source Code- $16M
Insidious- $12M
Last edited by Dil on Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 12:59 pm |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Why are the predictions for Hop so high?
Source Code 21
Hop 17
Insidious 13
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:07 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions BK wrote: Why are the predictions for Hop so high?
Don't underestimate the power of the Easter Bunny!
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:13 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32635
Location: the last free city
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Hop- 25m
Source Code- 15m
Insidious- 8m
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:15 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Why are the predictions for Hop so high?
Well there hasn't been anything BIG on the market for famlies and kids to go to since Gnomeo and Juliet. Mars was a HUGE bomb and Rango doesn't really count since it skewed older and wasn't exactly a kid friendly movie in the first place. Besides the marketing for it has been great and honestly were talking about a movie thats about the fucking Easter Bunny here. Kids will eat it up.
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:16 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions ^ Agreed even though the movie does not look as great this is a cute adorable pet we are talking about that kids will eat-up. On a side note though the breakout of this movie would definitely hurt chances of Rio.
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 1:42 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Hop- $40M
Source Code- $18M
Insidious- $12M
_________________
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http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 5:22 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Hop - 33
Source Code - 16
Insidious - 13
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| Sat Mar 26, 2011 8:09 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions i think source code is being unpredicted. I know adults have had their share of realistic sci-fi thrillers (Ajustement Bureau, Limitless, even Battle LA) but this has been well marketed, tracked very well on twitter, and is getting solid reviews. Plus I believe Duncan Jones really put together a solid movie so it'll be leggy. I'm predicting something like 23/79m.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 4:27 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Michael A wrote: i think source code is being unpredicted. I know adults have had their share of realistic sci-fi thrillers (Ajustement Bureau, Limitless, even Battle LA) but this has been well marketed, tracked very well on twitter, and is getting solid reviews. Plus I believe Duncan Jones really put together a solid movie so it'll be leggy. I'm predicting something like 23/79m. I would normally agree with all of these points, except Jake Gyllenhaal is the lead. I doubt he can open this to $20m+.
_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 7:35 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Michael A wrote: i think source code is being unpredicted. I know adults have had their share of realistic sci-fi thrillers (Ajustement Bureau, Limitless, even Battle LA) but this has been well marketed, tracked very well on twitter, and is getting solid reviews. Plus I believe Duncan Jones really put together a solid movie so it'll be leggy. I'm predicting something like 23/79m. I would normally agree with all of these points, except Jake Gyllenhaal is the lead. I doubt he can open this to $20m+. Maybe if the film were being sold on his starpower, which it's not so far.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 11:37 am |
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BK
Forum General
Joined: Sun May 13, 2007 8:30 am
Posts: 7041
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Libs wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Michael A wrote: i think source code is being unpredicted. I know adults have had their share of realistic sci-fi thrillers (Ajustement Bureau, Limitless, even Battle LA) but this has been well marketed, tracked very well on twitter, and is getting solid reviews. Plus I believe Duncan Jones really put together a solid movie so it'll be leggy. I'm predicting something like 23/79m. I would normally agree with all of these points, except Jake Gyllenhaal is the lead. I doubt he can open this to $20m+. Maybe if the film were being sold on his starpower, which it's not so far. I too think the premise here is the draw not Jake.
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 11:40 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions BK wrote: Libs wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Michael A wrote: i think source code is being unpredicted. I know adults have had their share of realistic sci-fi thrillers (Ajustement Bureau, Limitless, even Battle LA) but this has been well marketed, tracked very well on twitter, and is getting solid reviews. Plus I believe Duncan Jones really put together a solid movie so it'll be leggy. I'm predicting something like 23/79m. I would normally agree with all of these points, except Jake Gyllenhaal is the lead. I doubt he can open this to $20m+. Maybe if the film were being sold on his starpower, which it's not so far. I too think the premise here is the draw not Jake. The marketing is definitely based around the premise, and I can see it doing well. I just know I've received some groans when I mentioned who was in it.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 12:02 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Well, Summit was able to open their sci-fi/disaster film Knowing to 24 million despite being headlined by Nicolas Cage, whose recent track record was just as spotty as Jake Gyllenhaal... But global apocalypse tends to sell better than contained disasters. Still, I do think Source Code has the potential to go high. Older audiences seem to be dominating this spring, and I doubt the trend will change this weekend. Hop and Insidious are both wild cards too... That and I haven't slept tonight thanks to heavy-duty procrastination, so I don't feel like predicting precise numbers...
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 3:27 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Insidious' advertising may be too vague for major success of any kind. No discernible characters and no Big Scare moments. Just lots of quick flashes of assorted creepiness.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 3:29 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions The predictions for all the movies seem high here. I'm not really sure where they'll go, but I don't see Hop breaking $30m and Insidious breaking $10m.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 4:41 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions RS 3/27
Posted by: Phatcat on Mar 27, 13:43
Hop: low 30s
Source Code: high teens
Insidious: low double digits
FUTURE
Soul Surfer: high single digits
Your Highness: low 20s
Rio: mid 30s
Scream 4: low 50s
Arthur: mid teens
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 4:59 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions wrongturn687 wrote: RS 3/27
Posted by: Phatcat on Mar 27, 13:43
Hop: low 30s
Source Code: high teens
Insidious: low double digits
FUTURE
Soul Surfer: high single digits
Your Highness: low 20s
Rio: mid 30s
Scream 4: low 50s
Arthur: mid teens Looking good for Your Highness, Rio, and Scream 4, even if RS can obviously be taken with a grain of salt. I have a really good feeling about April, the movies look appealing and I think we're going to see some strong weekends.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:11 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions What is your top choice to see in April?
22.5% Scream 4
19.1% Fast Five
-BOM
This is another great sign for Scream 4.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:18 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions It's going to be real interesting to see how Hop affects Rio. If Hop does bigger numbers than expected and has great legs to boot it could seriously take a toll on Rio's breakout potential. Still those are some very strong numbers for the April slate eventhough I think YH is being overestimated.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:20 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions It would be kind of funny if the last 3 weekends of April did see $40M+ openings back-to-back-to-back after it has yet to happen a single time this year. Don't want to jinx it, though.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 5:24 pm |
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Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Yeah i don't see where that Your Highness number is coming from. I literally haven't seen a single piece of marketing for it yet outside of a few small ads on the corner of Rotten Tomatoes or Box Office Mojo.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 6:05 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions Michael A wrote: Yeah i don't see where that Your Highness number is coming from. I literally haven't seen a single piece of marketing for it yet outside of a few small ads on the corner of Rotten Tomatoes or Box Office Mojo. I have seen ads everywhere, especially during the March Madness games. They have showed a lot of adds during the games that figures because it is the target audience.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 6:14 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: April 1-3 Predictions There are ALOT of spots during Monday Night Raw on USA too and then when you factor in that both Natlie Portman and James Franco are coming fresh off of Oscar buzz then you obviously get BIG results like this.
Last edited by Dil on Sun Mar 27, 2011 7:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Mar 27, 2011 6:36 pm |
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