Author |
Message |
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
|
 Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
It's happening  Get used to it members: Rev bluebomb TrekFan soagg Libs redfirebird
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:46 pm, edited 5 times in total.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:08 am |
|
 |
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
It'll be close. I see a 38-42% drop right now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:13 am |
|
 |
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I think Salt will hurt it alot. Enough for it to drop 45-50%.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:26 am |
|
 |
Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am Posts: 3028
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
In.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:27 am |
|
 |
TrekFan1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am Posts: 287 Location: Virginia
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
In. I'll say a 41% drop, due mainly to Salt. ftr, though, I reserve the right to bail from this club if daily grosses point to a larger 2nd weekend. 
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:29 am |
|
 |
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22210 Location: Places
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Its more likely to increase by 40% than drop by it.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:00 am |
|
 |
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
TrekFan1 wrote: In. I'll say a 41% drop, due mainly to Salt. ftr, though, I reserve the right to bail from this club if daily grosses point to a larger 2nd weekend.  You're either in or out. No pussy bailing.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:11 am |
|
 |
mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Excel wrote: Its more likely to increase by 40% than drop by it. F*$# YEAH!!  Let's all go BJ balls to the wall on this Mofo...
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:13 am |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:17 am |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
This is going to be very very close. I am expecting 44% drop so IN
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:17 am |
|
 |
Bluebomb
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am Posts: 3028
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Rev wrote: It's happening  Get used to it members: Rev blueballsTrekFan WTF is this? 
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:22 am |
|
 |
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Magception wrote: This club really isn't that daring though. Be a man and make it like 45%+. you're expecting it to drop sub 30% aren't you? -40% is daring enough 
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:24 am |
|
 |
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Bluebomb wrote: Rev wrote: It's happening  Get used to it members: Rev blueballsTrekFan WTF is this?  just having fun 
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:25 am |
|
 |
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
|
 Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
nvm
_________________
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:37 am |
|
 |
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Do a sub-35%. 
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:39 am |
|
 |
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Magception wrote: ^
Wrong thread. And I'm not going by gross, but by draw. You're too fast. Make a break, go outside, enjoy the sun. 
_________________
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:40 am |
|
 |
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Rev wrote: It's happening  Get used to it members: Rev bluebomb TrekFan Why am I not included. You are very lazy and growing old for this 
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:43 am |
|
 |
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I see a drop right around -35%, so i fear i can't join.
_________________
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:51 am |
|
 |
Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
no way its dropping 40% or more, just no way.
Last edited by Kenspy on Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am |
|
 |
Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Nope I'm OUT !
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am |
|
 |
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I'm predicting a 42% drop. I don't like joining stupid box office clubs, though. lol
Last edited by Libs on Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:59 am |
|
 |
redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I think Salt will hurt it a bit, plus it will have strong weekdays which will deflate the weekend a bit (kinda like TDK on a much smaller scale). I'm thinking 42-45% right now.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:59 am |
|
 |
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Well i did some quick number crunching and that was my result. Monday could be close to $11m and by thursday it'll probably still gross over $8m. Friday jump will be rather small but with such a strong thursday that won't matter.
I could be wrong, though...
_________________
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:15 pm |
|
 |
Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
If it drops -35% every week on average, that would put it at around $280m, that's right around a 4.5 multiplier. 
_________________
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:25 pm |
|
 |
Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5824
|
 Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
The Cinemascore for Inception should be very alarming. Even though under-25 awards it an A-, the over-25 gave it a B-, which points to horrible legs from that demographic. I feel like the WOM and appeal for this movie is really demographic-dependent, with males in my age group and younger almost all loving the movie and will see it multiple times, but for other demographics it's another A.I./Vanilla Sky (bad).
As people who participate in online movie forums and do lots of reading/writing, we are the film's main target audience. This movie also appeals to our circle of friends as they most likely share common interests and possess a similar intellect level. But other groups of people will not like this type of movie will tell their similar-minded friends how confusing and non-enjoyable it is.
Because the older demographics are usually the ones that help the legs of the film, I don't see superb legs for this movie. The legs won't be as bad as Fight Club's, but now having seen the movie, I do not believe it will be able to crossover to enough demographics for a -40% 2nd weekend drop.
|
Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:27 pm |
|
|