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 Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club 
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Romosexual!
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Post Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
It's happening :P Get used to it

members:
Rev
bluebomb
TrekFan
soagg
Libs
redfirebird

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Last edited by Rev on Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:46 pm, edited 5 times in total.



Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:08 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
It'll be close. I see a 38-42% drop right now.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:13 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I think Salt will hurt it alot. Enough for it to drop 45-50%.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:26 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
In.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:27 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
In. I'll say a 41% drop, due mainly to Salt.

ftr, though, I reserve the right to bail from this club if daily grosses point to a larger 2nd weekend. ;)


Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:29 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Its more likely to increase by 40% than drop by it.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:00 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
TrekFan1 wrote:
In. I'll say a 41% drop, due mainly to Salt.

ftr, though, I reserve the right to bail from this club if daily grosses point to a larger 2nd weekend. ;)


You're either in or out. No pussy bailing.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:11 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Excel wrote:
Its more likely to increase by 40% than drop by it.


F*$# YEAH!! :thumbsup: Let's all go BJ balls to the wall on this Mofo...

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:13 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Rev wrote:
pussy bailing.


:hahaha: :hahaha:


Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:17 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
This is going to be very very close. I am expecting 44% drop so IN


Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:17 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Rev wrote:
It's happening :P Get used to it

members:
Rev
blueballs
TrekFan

WTF is this? :disgust:

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:22 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Magception wrote:
This club really isn't that daring though. Be a man and make it like 45%+.


you're expecting it to drop sub 30% aren't you?
-40% is daring enough :P

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:24 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Bluebomb wrote:
Rev wrote:
It's happening :P Get used to it

members:
Rev
blueballs
TrekFan

WTF is this? :disgust:


just having fun ;)

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:25 am
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Post Re: Inception +40% 2nd wknd drop Club
nvm

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:37 am
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Do a sub-35%. :)

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:39 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Magception wrote:
^

Wrong thread. And I'm not going by gross, but by draw.

You're too fast. Make a break, go outside, enjoy the sun. ;)

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:40 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Rev wrote:
It's happening :P Get used to it

members:
Rev
bluebomb
TrekFan


Why am I not included. You are very lazy and growing old for this :P


Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:43 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I see a drop right around -35%, so i fear i can't join.

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:51 am
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
no way its dropping 40% or more, just no way.


Last edited by Kenspy on Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Nope I'm OUT !


Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:55 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I'm predicting a 42% drop. I don't like joining stupid box office clubs, though. lol


Last edited by Libs on Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:59 am
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
I think Salt will hurt it a bit, plus it will have strong weekdays which will deflate the weekend a bit (kinda like TDK on a much smaller scale). I'm thinking 42-45% right now.


Mon Jul 19, 2010 11:59 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
Well i did some quick number crunching and that was my result. Monday could be close to $11m and by thursday it'll probably still gross over $8m. Friday jump will be rather small but with such a strong thursday that won't matter.

I could be wrong, though...

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:15 pm
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
If it drops -35% every week on average, that would put it at around $280m, that's right around a 4.5 multiplier. ;)

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Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:25 pm
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Post Re: Inception min -40% 2nd wknd drop Club
The Cinemascore for Inception should be very alarming. Even though under-25 awards it an A-, the over-25 gave it a B-, which points to horrible legs from that demographic. I feel like the WOM and appeal for this movie is really demographic-dependent, with males in my age group and younger almost all loving the movie and will see it multiple times, but for other demographics it's another A.I./Vanilla Sky (bad).

As people who participate in online movie forums and do lots of reading/writing, we are the film's main target audience. This movie also appeals to our circle of friends as they most likely share common interests and possess a similar intellect level. But other groups of people will not like this type of movie will tell their similar-minded friends how confusing and non-enjoyable it is.

Because the older demographics are usually the ones that help the legs of the film, I don't see superb legs for this movie. The legs won't be as bad as Fight Club's, but now having seen the movie, I do not believe it will be able to crossover to enough demographics for a -40% 2nd weekend drop.


Mon Jul 19, 2010 12:27 pm
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