Just realized that four months into the year we still haven't had this one yet.

This is what it currently looks like (not including Iron Man 2 yet):


1. Alice in Wonderland - $936.9 million
2. Clash of the Titans - $430.3 million
3. How to Train Your Dragon - $402.1 million
4. Shutter Island - $290.3 million
5. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief - $224.1 million
6. Valentine's Day - $215 million
7. The Book of Eli - $147.2 million
8. The Wolfman - $138.3 million
9. The Bounty Hunter - $125.6 million
10. Date Night - $110.6 million

Here's my predicted/projected Top 10:


1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I - $1.120 billion

The Harry Potter franchise has been on a constant rise domestically ever since the fourth film. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince became the first Harry Potter movie since the first one to break $300 million in North America. This time, however, the bump will be way bigger due to the 3D factor and the fact that we're entering the final chapter of the series. Also, I still think that the franchise is best left in the holiday season - it will rule November/December this year. Overseas it has been pretty stable with the last entries all making around $600-650 million. Add the 3D bonus and you'll get an easy $700+ million OS grosser. So, yes, I expect it to become the 3rd-biggest movie ever worldwide.


2. Alice in Wonderland - $1.050 billion

The movie is just a phenomenon, 3D or not! It has finished its run in most territories, but in Brazil, Japan and Spain it is still doing terrific numbers, so that it'll easily pass $1 billion and has an outside shot at passing Dead Man Chest's worldwide total.


3. Toy Story 3 - $980 million

Up was the first Pixar 3D movie ad it made $438 million overseas. Pixar's most successful effort overseas to date is Finding Nemo with a $528 million total. Now Toy Story 2 made "only" $239 million back in 1999 and $485 million worldwide. However, Pixar has garnered A LOT of goodwill since then, including numerous Oscar wins for Best Animated Picture and the second ever nomination as Best Picture for an animated film (for last year's Up). Their films are beloved and if early word from Vega sis to be believed Toy Story 3 is as brilliant as most of their work. That means we're in for a huge performance domestically and a tremendous increase over the predecessor overseas (it could double its number).


4. Shrek Forever After - $835 million

Shrek the Third decreased a lot from Shrek 2 domestically, but barely so overseas. Shrek 2 finished with $919.8 million WW and Shrek the Third with $799 million. Shrek the Third's WoM hasn't ben very good as showcased by its legs and its DVD sales. However, the sequel's marketing is very strong. What will also help it immensly overseas is that it'll be the first 3D movie after a long long time since it is not released until July in most of Europe (because of the World Cup). The audiences won't have seen any big 3D movies since Clash of the Titans by the time Shrek Forever After arrives.


5. Iron Man 2 - $750 million

I expect a healthy increase over the original's $585 million and so far it is looking to happen.


6. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $725 million

New Moon made around $710 million, so I expect something similar here again.


7. Inception - $560 million

Being not a sequel or a remake or the adaptation of some popular material, it'll be a rather tough sell, but The Dark Knight had terrific WoM not just in the USA, so I expect it to do well overseas despite the complex subject matter. It won't make much more OS than domestically, though


8. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader - $520 million

The second film made $420 million worldwide, while the first one did $745 million. I don't think this would have broken $500 million WW without 3D, but now that it has been announced to go the three-dimensional route as well, it should see a good increase over the predecessor. I still, however, don't see it getting close to the first film's number (since the first one was also based on the by far more popular book).


9. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $515 million

It'll suffer under the effect of the World Cup, but on the other hand it won't have much direct competition movie-wise. It's just the kind of a movie that international audiences usually eat up, so I think the turnout will be quite big.


10. Little Fockers/How to Train Your Dragon - $470 million

I couldn't decide between the two. I still think Fockers will decrease a bit from the second film, but it'll outgross the original by quite a bit. How to Train Your Dragon is still doing well and has South Korea, Japan and China ahead.


Other movies I see making $400+ million worldwide:

Clash of the Titans (d'uh)
Knight and Day
Sex and the City 2

The Last Airbender, Tangled, Robin Hood and A-Team also have a shot, I suppose.

I can't believe Alice in Wonderland will end up #2.

No, I really hope other movies beat it, but hell, how will they?

Yes, I could defintely see the Narnia franchise getting back on track with Dawn Treader. It's a more marketable, distinctive story than the generic-ness that Prince Caspian looked like (and was), it's got 3D and a return to the Christmas release date. Hopefully we get to see Silver Chair.

I agree with your placings Dr. Lecter, though have slightly different grosses. Also I think Inception will do better than you think. Well let's hope so anyway. I'm being cautious with that movie in particular because it could go both ways.

1) Harry Potter 7: DH Part 1 - $350m + $780m = $1.13bn
2) Alice In Wonderland - $335m + $720m = $1.055bn
3) Toy Story 3 - $430m + $520m = $950m
4) Shrek 4 - $290m + $510m = $800m
5) Iron Man 2 - $405m + $310m = $715m
6) The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $300m + $400m = $700m
7) Inception - $280m + $350m = $630m
8) Narnia 3 - $220m + $390m = $610m
9) Prince Of Persia - $180m + $310m = $490m
10) Little Fockers - $210m + $240m = $450m

danger alert with that avatar

hottttttttttttttttttt

1) Harry Potter 7: DH Part 1 - $370m + $780m = $1.15bn
2) Alice In Wonderland - $335m + $685m = $1.020bn
3) Toy Story 3 - $450m + $530m = $980m
4) Shrek 4 - $290m + $510m = $800m
5) The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $300m + $400m = $700m
6) Iron Man 2 - $350m + $310m = $660m*
7) Inception - $280m + $350m = $630m
8) Narnia 3 - $190m + $370m = $560m
9) Prince Of Persia - $170m + $310m = $480m
10) Little Fockers - $210m + $240m = $450m

* I hope this does cracks 400 million domestically. But I don't think it will.

1. $1250m - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1 ($420m/$830m)
2. $1220m - Tron Legacy ($480m/$740m)
3. $1095m - Toy Story 3 ($420m/$675m)
4. $1035m - Alice in Wonderland ($335m/$700m)
5. $970m - Shrek Forever After ($350m/$620m)
6. $950m - Inception ($365m/$585m)
7. $760m - The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader ($250m/$510m)
8. $720m - The Twilight Saga: Eclipse ($270m/$450m)
9. $690m - Iron Man 2 ($360m/$330m)
10. $510m - Sex and the City 2 ($180m/$330m)

$485m - Clash of the Titans ($165m/$320m)

I actually feel pretty good with 1/3/4/5/7/8/9. Not sure at all with Tron and Inception though.

Updated 2010 Top 10


1. Alice in Wonderland - $980.5 million
2. Clash of the Titans - $464.2 million
3. Iron Man 2 - $456.2 million
4. How to Train Your Dragon - $429.2 million
5. Shutter Island - $294.2 million
6. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief - $224.3 million
7. Valentine's Day - $215 million
8. The Book of Eli - $147.3 million
9. The Wolfman - $138.3 million
10. Date Night - $134.7 million

It's still weird to see Alice on top by more than doubling the #2 movie.

I'd say that is the boon of being a world known story and of course 3D. Clash in 3D did not go that well.

Also the fact that 3 of the Top 5 movies were 3D movies just indicates what is going to be the future.

Add to the fact that other movies that might change this list are HP7, Shrek 4 and Toy Story 3 and guess what they are in 3D too. Which means we probably will have 4 of the Top 5 movies with 3D asterisk beside their name.

This with the fact that we have not even considered Avatar for this year's list which in turn would have made more than any of these movies this year even without a re-release and from what I remember it would have doubled Alice in WW total for this year so far and god knows what it might do with the re-release though I do not have real high hopes for it then

I think Clash making $300+ million overseas IS quite impressive.

Updated 2010 Top 10


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0072 million
2. Iron Man 2 - $561.2 million
3. Clash of the Titans - $481.7 million
4. How to Train Your Dragon - $456.1 million
5. Shutter Island - $294.3 million
6. Robin Hood - $240.7 million
7. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief - $224.3 million
8. Valentine's Day - $215 million
9. Shrek Forever After - $200.3 million
10. The Book of Eli - $152.6 million

1. Toy Story 3 - 500m/600m/1100m

2. Harry Potter 7 Part I - 350m/725m/1075m

3. Alice in Wonderland - 333m/700m/1033m

4. Shrek 4 - 240m/550m/790m

5. Eclipse - 245m/500m/745m

6. Iron Man 2 - 310m/325m/635m

7. Tron: Legacy - 250m/400m/650m

8. Narnia 3 - 210m/400m/610m

9. Inception - 255m/325m/580m

10. Clash of the Titans - 161m/325m/486m

Updated 2010 Top 10 (June 16th)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0172 billion
2. Iron Man 2 - $596.9 million
3. Clash of the Titans - $488.3 million
4. How to Train Your Dragon - $472.5 million
5. Shutter Island - $294.7 million
6. Shrek Forever After - $289.5 million
7. Robin Hood - $285.5 million
8. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $264.8 million
9. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief - $226 million
10. Sex and the City 2 - $218.1 million

Updated 2010 Top 10 (June 22nd)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0197 billion
2. Iron Man 2 - $604.9 million
3. Clash of the Titans - $490.9 million
4. How to Train Your Dragon - $475.3 million
5. Shrek Forever After - $310.3 million
6. Robin Hood - $296.8 million
7. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $295.2 million
8. Shutter Island - $294.7 million
9. Sex and the City 2 - $248.2 million
10. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief - $226 million


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Shutter Island will just barely miss $300 million...but its overall worldwide performance is amazing!

Robin Hood and Prince of Persia will both cross $300 million during the week.

Clash of the Titans is making a run for $500 million WW!

Amazing how Clash of the Titans is still in the top 3 WW. Its a lock it will be in the top 10 by the end of the year

With six more contenders to come

Narnia
Inception
Eclipse
Shrek Forever After
Toy Story 3
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows - I

I think Clash can round up the Top 10 but then there is a chance that there is a surprise (like Tron Legacy or some animation movie for example) may cross that mark as well if they do better than Clash domestically.

Updated 2010 Top 10 (June 29th)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0218 billion
2. Iron Man 2 - $610.3 million
3. Clash of the Titans - $491.1 million
4. How to Train Your Dragon - $477.6 million
5. Toy Story 3 - $358.2 million
6. Shrek Forever After - $322.6 million
7. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $313 million
8. Robin Hood - $302.3 million
9. Shutter Island - $294.8 million
10. Sex and the City 2 - $265.1 million


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Hmm, How to Train Your Dragon could hit $500 million WW if it overperforms in Japan.

SATC2 is going out of the list very soon. Eclipse will open huge not only domestically but OS as well.

Updated 2010 Top 10 (July 7th)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0229 billion
2. Iron Man 2 - $613.4 million
3. Clash of the Titans - $491.4 million
4. Toy Story 3 - $478.8 million
5. How to Train Your Dragon - $478.5 million
6. Shrek Forever After - $370.2 million
7. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $319.6 million
8. Robin Hood - $305.8 million
9. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $300.3 million
10. Shutter Island - $294.8 million



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Toy Story 3 is climbing fast. It's amazing that at the beginning of July Clash of the Titans is STILL in the Top 3 worldwide!

SATC2 goes out. It seems the next on the radar is Shutter Island. The current Top 10 should be good enough for the whole of July. Still the 1st 2 weeks of Inception have the potential of 300m WW

Updated 2010 Top 10 (July 13th)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0243 billion
2. Iron Man 2 - $615.3 million
3. Toy Story 3 - $567.4 million
4. Clash of the Titans - $491.5 million
5. How to Train Your Dragon - $479.1 million
6. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $463.2 million
7. Shrek Forever After - $457.6 million
8. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $325.2 million
9. Robin Hood - $308 million
10. Shutter Island - $294.8 million



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Toy Story 3 enters the Top 3 and will pass Iron Man 2 next weekend.

Excellent for TS3 though IM2 is the bar after which it should stop. Eclipse should be #4 by this weekend and will definitely cross IM2 is WW gross. It has a good shot to beat IM2 both domestically and OS as well now. With Shrek4 not doing as great this has a very good shot at #4 of the year in WW total

Updated 2010 Top 10 (July 21st)


1. Alice in Wonderland - $1.0243 billion
2. Toy Story 3 - $636.2 million
3. Iron Man 2 - $616.2 million
4. The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $558.8 million
5. Shrek Forever After - $532.5 million
6. Clash of the Titans - $491.6 million
7. How to Train Your Dragon - $479.6 million
8. Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time - $326.7 million
9. Robin Hood - $309.1 million
10. Shutter Island - $294.8 million



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Clash of the Titans quickly fell out of the Top 5...