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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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 January 7-9 Predictions Season of the Witch- 8.3
Country Strong- 4.3
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 2:23 pm |
 
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions I'm thinking maybe 19 Million for WITCH  . Advertising has been solid. Box Office Mojo says wide expansion for PHILLIP MORRIS. Wonder if that's still happening. If so I doubt it would be that wide. Maybe 500 theaters. Hopefully it's enough to open here anyway.
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 4:27 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Season of the Witch - 7
Country Strong - 7
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 7:02 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Mike wrote: I'm thinking maybe 19 Million for WITCH . Advertising has been solid. MTC RS rule will decide that on Monday. While I've seen some commericals for it today, it doesn't seem it'll break out due to twitter buzz (most of the time, it's accurate about the bo). Also, it doesn't help that it's release date has been pushed back a few times. Anyways, Season-8 COuntry-5
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 7:09 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Considering how weak Country Strong opened to in 2 theaters last week, I don't expect anything higher than a $2,500 PTA for it next weekend.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 7:28 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions xiayun wrote: Considering how weak Country Strong opened to in 2 theaters last week, I don't expect anything higher than a $2,500 PTA for it next weekend. This is a bit unfair, though. This is a different beast than, say, The Tempest or Made in Dagenham or another mild limited-release performer. This one could do -better- once it expands into more rural areas. I'm sure there's a lot more interest in the south than there is in Manhattan. _________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 7:52 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Still, it's natural for a film to drop 70%+ in PTA when it has that size of expansion. The Lovely Bones is really the only prominent exception to come to mind.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 7:54 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions xiayun wrote: Considering how weak Country Strong opened to in 2 theaters last week, I don't expect anything higher than a $2,500 PTA for it next weekend. I dunno. I don't think we should underestimate a movie about a country singer. Country music is the only type of music that hasn't been especially affected by the downturn in music sales. I would not be shocked if it pulled a Lovely Bones and did significantly better in wide release than expected after poor limited numbers.
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 8:14 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Gunslinger wrote: xiayun wrote: Considering how weak Country Strong opened to in 2 theaters last week, I don't expect anything higher than a $2,500 PTA for it next weekend. This is a bit unfair, though. This is a different beast than, say, The Tempest or Made in Dagenham or another mild limited-release performer. This one could do -better- once it expands into more rural areas. I'm sure there's a lot more interest in the south than there is in Manhattan. I would agree with this. There's quite a bit of talk about it here. Still, I don't expect it to open that well.
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 8:14 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11517
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions I agree with the Country Strong sentiment. Gwyneth Paltrow was on the Country Music Awards, Glee, and awareness is much higher in rural areas.
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 8:59 pm |
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ben114
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jun 25, 2005 11:00 am
Posts: 183
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions While I think Country Strong may do better than some think...remember one of its 2 theaters was in Nashville (where, admittedly, ticket prices are much less than in Manhattan, etc.).
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| Sat Jan 01, 2011 11:30 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Country Strong picked up this weekend, btw:
- - Country Strong SGem $43,000 +148.6% 2 - $21,500 $121,000 $15 2
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| Sun Jan 02, 2011 7:09 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions RS: [SEWTC] high single digits [CSTRN] mid-to-high single digits
Posted by: secretstalker on Jan 02, 17:50
[GHRNT] 30 million (4 day)
[DILEM] Mid-30s (4 day)
[NSATA] mid 20s
[MCHNC] mid single digits
[TRITE] low teens
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| Sun Jan 02, 2011 10:30 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Poor for Witch. Just ok for CS.
Very nice increase for GH. GH and DLM are the only ones with a chance of 100m. NSA is looking good for 60m+ which would be good for it.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:07 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Season of the Witch - $9.6 million
Country Strong - $7 million
True Grit will be #1 with around $16-17 million.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:24 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18878
Location: San Diego
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions wrongturn687 wrote: RS: [SEWTC] high single digits [CSTRN] mid-to-high single digits
Posted by: secretstalker on Jan 02, 17:50
[GHRNT] 30 million (4 day)
[DILEM] Mid-30s (4 day)
[NSATA] mid 20s
[MCHNC] mid single digits
[TRITE] low teens Man, I hope No Strings Attached manages those numbers! For Natalie Portman's sake. What a boring weekend. I don't think Witch will break 7 million, Country Strong will probably do good though.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 1:50 am |
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Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions January 14th is an odd time for the new Ron Howard film to be released - - is it a bad sign?
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 11:04 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions I really have a hard time seeing WITCH going below 10 Million. It has been doing well in polls and some of my friends think it looks really good  . Poll on Coming Soon: Which January release are you looking forward to the most?The Green Hornet 55.2% Season of the Witch 15.3% The Mechanic 11.2% The Rite 4.8% The Dilemma 4.5% No Strings Attached 3.3% Country Strong 3.1% The Company Men 2.7% Total votes: 6939 From Box Office Mojo: What is your top choice to see in January?43.1% The Green Hornet20.9% No interest in January's releases.7.3% Season of the Witch5.7% The Dilemma4.7% The Mechanic4.5% The Way Back4.0% No Strings Attached3.6% Other3.6% Country Strong2.4% The Rite0.2% The Heart Specialist2,233 users polled.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 2:46 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Mike wrote: I really have a hard time seeing WITCH going below 10 Million. It has been doing well in polls and some of my friends think it looks really good . Quote: Given the above list and considering its simple search string its hard to see how this is going to make it to double digits next weekend. With an impending ratio of over 1,000+ and 3,000 to 3,500 tweets likely it should come in with high single digits at best. Cage will have to wait till Drive Angry later in February to try to redeem himself after this impending flop and The Sorcerer's Apprentice's disappointing run last Summer.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:11 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions MTC: 1/7-1/9 (courtesy of notfabio):
Season of the Witch - $9m
Country Strong - $6m
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Last edited by Rolling Thunder on Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:36 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=83455MTC has Season at 9 and Country at 6. It's matching RS.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 3:36 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions You'd think WITCH would do better than DRIVE ANGRY (though this looks better, IMO). DRIVE ANGRY looks too campy to connect with audiences. Probably won't be a total flop though.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 4:14 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions I would be really suprised if Witch does more than $9M. Sure the promotion is everywhere, but that doesn't mean people will go see it. IMO the movie doesn't look that good, but I will probably end up seeing later on cable anyways. As for Drive Angry that movie actually looks fun and I have been hearing alot of positive things about it from advance screenings. I doubt it will be a boxoffice success though.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:06 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Yes DRIVE ANGRY looks very cool, but I'm not sure it's going to be a hit. At best it does 40 Million.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 5:51 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: January 7-9 Predictions Yes DRIVE ANGRY looks very cool, but I'm not sure it's going to be a hit. At best it does 40 Million.
I actually think 40m would be a success for it.
I agree $40M would be a big success for a niche, campy flick like DA, but I seriously don't even see it coming close to that. If Machete and Grindhouse which had respected names like Tarintino and Rodriguez attached couldn't even do $30M then I really can't see DA doing more than $25M MAX. It will hopefully find a bigger audience on dvd though.
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| Mon Jan 03, 2011 6:27 pm |
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