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 Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!) 
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Incredible! :noway:

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:56 am
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
YES!!!!!!!!!!

A super freak, this film is. :D

(now please just hold up with actuals!)

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:59 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
actuals will be with 50K of this number. So it has crossed 100M.

I am thinking 13M+ friday which would be enough to beat salt friday.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:07 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Great number. :D


Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:09 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Outstanding. I hope the actual number isn't too far off. It seems to me that it could make anywhere between $40m and $45m this weekend, with somewhere near the middle of those numbers being most likely. (My prediction: $41.6 million; I probably would have raised it a tiny bit had I known Thursday's estimate.)

For the record, if the estimate holds, Inception will be the 50th film to hit the $100 million mark in 7 days or less. Nice, eh? :)


Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:11 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:14 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Seriously awesome!

If it increases 50%, then a sub-35% drop is happening!

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:18 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Proud Ryu wrote:
Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch.



One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day. :noway:


Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:19 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Seriously awesome!

If it increases 50%, then a sub-35% drop is happening!


If it increases 45%, there's a very good chance it'll still be a sub-35% drop.


Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:22 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
^i was just about to say, they're breaking at 10 AM EST like clockwork.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:22 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
YES!


Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:33 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
If it has same Th-2nd Fr ratio as:
The Bourne Ultimatum: $46.5m wknd
POTC 1: $45.3m wknd
POTC 2: $43.1m wknd
The Dark Knight: $39.0m wknd
Toy Story 3: $38.9m wknd
Last Airbender: $35.3m wknd
Eclipse: $34.2m wknd


Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:08 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Woot woot.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:09 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Wow excellent number. This run is purely AWESOME


Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:11 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Alex Y. wrote:
If it has same Th-2nd Fr ratio as:
The Bourne Ultimatum: $46.5m wknd
POTC 1: $45.3m wknd
POTC 2: $43.1m wknd
The Dark Knight: $39.0m wknd
Toy Story 3: $38.9m wknd
Last Airbender: $35.3m wknd
Eclipse: $34.2m wknd


thanks to AA@BOM

Best it could possibly do is Sixth Sense IMO:

Friday - $15.25m (+78.1%)
Saturday - $20.06m (+31.6%)
Sunday - $15.99m (-20.3%)

2nd weekend - $51.3m

Worst it could possibly do is Charlie and the Chocolate Factory:

Friday - $12.05m (+40.8%)
Saturday - $14.11m (+17.1%)
Sunday - $11.39m (-19.3%)

2nd weekend - $37.55m

I like sixth sense kind of increase. :ninja:

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:17 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Look for a 43-45 million, super freaky weekend.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:24 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
redfirebird2008 wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch.



One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day. :noway:


I know - with the most interesting run since Avatar there must be a lot pressure on WB to get these numbers out asap!

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:38 am
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
INCEPTIONAL drop! Now, I don't want to see "300m is a lock" claims until weekend numbers come out.


Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:18 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
redfirebird2008 wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch.



One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day. :noway:


they're just as excited as us :D


Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:20 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number.

http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:45 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
mdana wrote:
I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number.

http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60


Good stuff. I'd recommend Pirates of the Caribbean as a comparison as well. Except for having a Wednesday opening for POTC, the two are quite comparable IMO, both releasing in July, enjoying excellent WOM for an original film, and having similar midweek dailies.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:58 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Magception wrote:
mdana wrote:
I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number.

http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60


Wow, very in-depth. Good stuff. Though I think the realsitic minimum right now is 250m.



You are probably right. It is the combination of underestimating the effect of IMAX on TDK the last time I did it, and the underperformance of so many big films this year. I left the breaks on this week to be safe.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:07 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Almost flat from from Wednesday, excellent number for Inception. The dream is real! :yes:

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:11 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
xiayun wrote:
mdana wrote:
I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number.

http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60


Good stuff. I'd recommend Pirates of the Caribbean as a comparison as well. Except for having a Wednesday opening for POTC, the two are quite comparable IMO, both releasing in July, enjoying excellent WOM for an original film, and having similar midweek dailies.


I am waiting for the weekend to bring out POTC and perhaps Sixth Sense to set the upper limit. I thought WC would fill the role of POTC, but it is actually keeping pace quite well with WC, at the moment. Much better than I had envisioned on Monday.

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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:11 pm
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Post Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Definitely a better Thursday than I would have ever imagined, though I'm still worried the Friday increase won't be as grand as we're hoping.... Maybe I'm just still in the fetal position after Toy Story 3. :sweat:


Fri Jul 23, 2010 2:03 pm
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