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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Incredible! 
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:56 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22205 Location: Places
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
YES!!!!!!!!!!A super freak, this film is. (now please just hold up with actuals!)
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 9:59 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6774
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
actuals will be with 50K of this number. So it has crossed 100M.
I am thinking 13M+ friday which would be enough to beat salt friday.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:07 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Great number. 
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:09 am |
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TrekFan1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am Posts: 287 Location: Virginia
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Outstanding. I hope the actual number isn't too far off. It seems to me that it could make anywhere between $40m and $45m this weekend, with somewhere near the middle of those numbers being most likely. (My prediction: $41.6 million; I probably would have raised it a tiny bit had I known Thursday's estimate.) For the record, if the estimate holds, Inception will be the 50th film to hit the $100 million mark in 7 days or less. Nice, eh? 
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:11 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:14 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Seriously awesome!
If it increases 50%, then a sub-35% drop is happening!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:18 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Proud Ryu wrote: Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch. One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day. 
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:19 am |
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TrekFan1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am Posts: 287 Location: Virginia
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Dr. Lecter wrote: Seriously awesome!
If it increases 50%, then a sub-35% drop is happening! If it increases 45%, there's a very good chance it'll still be a sub-35% drop.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:22 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22205 Location: Places
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
^i was just about to say, they're breaking at 10 AM EST like clockwork.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:22 am |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm Posts: 12333
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
YES!
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 10:33 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5823
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
If it has same Th-2nd Fr ratio as: The Bourne Ultimatum: $46.5m wknd POTC 1: $45.3m wknd POTC 2: $43.1m wknd The Dark Knight: $39.0m wknd Toy Story 3: $38.9m wknd Last Airbender: $35.3m wknd Eclipse: $34.2m wknd
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:08 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Woot woot.
_________________
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:09 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Wow excellent number. This run is purely AWESOME
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:11 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6774
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Alex Y. wrote: If it has same Th-2nd Fr ratio as: The Bourne Ultimatum: $46.5m wknd POTC 1: $45.3m wknd POTC 2: $43.1m wknd The Dark Knight: $39.0m wknd Toy Story 3: $38.9m wknd Last Airbender: $35.3m wknd Eclipse: $34.2m wknd thanks to AA@BOM Best it could possibly do is Sixth Sense IMO: Friday - $15.25m (+78.1%) Saturday - $20.06m (+31.6%) Sunday - $15.99m (-20.3%) 2nd weekend - $51.3m Worst it could possibly do is Charlie and the Chocolate Factory: Friday - $12.05m (+40.8%) Saturday - $14.11m (+17.1%) Sunday - $11.39m (-19.3%) 2nd weekend - $37.55m I like sixth sense kind of increase. 
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:17 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22205 Location: Places
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Look for a 43-45 million, super freaky weekend.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:24 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
redfirebird2008 wrote: Proud Ryu wrote: Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch. One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day.  I know - with the most interesting run since Avatar there must be a lot pressure on WB to get these numbers out asap!
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 11:38 am |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am Posts: 4556
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
INCEPTIONAL drop! Now, I don't want to see "300m is a lock" claims until weekend numbers come out.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:18 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
redfirebird2008 wrote: Proud Ryu wrote: Too awesome. Will be a most interesting Fri # to see, to get an idea of how much IMAX has to do with this. But what a great run to watch. One of the cooler things about it is how early we're getting the numbers every day.  they're just as excited as us 
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:20 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number. http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:45 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
mdana wrote: I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number. http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60Good stuff. I'd recommend Pirates of the Caribbean as a comparison as well. Except for having a Wednesday opening for POTC, the two are quite comparable IMO, both releasing in July, enjoying excellent WOM for an original film, and having similar midweek dailies.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 12:58 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Magception wrote: mdana wrote: I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number. http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60Wow, very in-depth. Good stuff. Though I think the realsitic minimum right now is 250m. You are probably right. It is the combination of underestimating the effect of IMAX on TDK the last time I did it, and the underperformance of so many big films this year. I left the breaks on this week to be safe.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:07 pm |
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Thatguy
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2010 9:07 pm Posts: 435
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Almost flat from from Wednesday, excellent number for Inception. The dream is real! 
_________________The Dark Knight Rises.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:11 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
xiayun wrote: mdana wrote: I projected an $8.4m Thur. as the basis for my Inception weekend prediction. I have another piece posted. It is a combination of my normal weekend predictions with more analysis of Inception's Wednesday number. http://districtvibe.com/index.php?optio ... &Itemid=60Good stuff. I'd recommend Pirates of the Caribbean as a comparison as well. Except for having a Wednesday opening for POTC, the two are quite comparable IMO, both releasing in July, enjoying excellent WOM for an original film, and having similar midweek dailies. I am waiting for the weekend to bring out POTC and perhaps Sixth Sense to set the upper limit. I thought WC would fill the role of POTC, but it is actually keeping pace quite well with WC, at the moment. Much better than I had envisioned on Monday.
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 1:11 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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 Re: Thursday Numbers (Inception breaks 100m+!)
Definitely a better Thursday than I would have ever imagined, though I'm still worried the Friday increase won't be as grand as we're hoping.... Maybe I'm just still in the fetal position after Toy Story 3. 
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Fri Jul 23, 2010 2:03 pm |
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