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 Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club 
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
Pretty simple: BB3 under the $65,807,024 the original made domestic. Unadjusted.

- Time and time again we’ve seen that no one cares about these ancient action franchises
- It’s missing it’s most important element: Michael Bay
- Smith is on a continued downturn career-wise, excluding the anomaly of Aladdin
- Martin Lawrence’s career cratered long ago, but it’s the deterioration of his skills over the past decade that’s the real problem
- Trailers are meh

I think this will be close, but if the film is garbage it’s entirely possible.

IN:

OUT:

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Fri Nov 15, 2019 4:09 pm
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
Netflix should swoop in and grab it. Otherwise, it'll flop.

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Fri Nov 15, 2019 4:25 pm
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On autopilot for the summer
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
I think it looks pretty good, and Smith is still a draw in big films, I think it’ll do around what the second did

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Fri Nov 15, 2019 5:15 pm
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
I have to agree. If Bay were back it might be different, but it probably won’t do much better than Gemini Man.


Fri Nov 15, 2019 10:19 pm
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
I agree with the sentiment but the release date and some nostalgia for the series will help it at least get to $75m or so.

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Sat Nov 16, 2019 8:35 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
I agree with the sentiment but the release date and some nostalgia for the series will help it at least get to $75m or so.

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Sat Nov 16, 2019 8:35 am
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Netflix should swoop in and grab it. Otherwise, it'll flop.



:er:

It can still sell its streaming rights to whomever after theatrical release. The only reason to sell directly to NFLX is if you want to avoid marketing costs but those are already set in at this point so it makes no sense not to release it now.

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Sat Nov 16, 2019 11:43 am
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
Magnus wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Netflix should swoop in and grab it. Otherwise, it'll flop.



:er:

It can still sell its streaming rights to whomever after theatrical release. The only reason to sell directly to NFLX is if you want to avoid marketing costs but those are already set in at this point so it makes no sense not to release it now.


And Rothman slashed Charlie's Angels marketing budget so the same could happen here, too.

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Tue Nov 19, 2019 2:24 pm
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
with regards to this club, I'm OUT though not by much. I currently see it doing 30m 4-day and 70m total. Won't be an outright flop but won't be a big hit.

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Tue Nov 19, 2019 2:58 pm
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Post Re: Bad Boys 3 under Bad Boys unadjusted club
Why isn’t Michael Bay directing this? He has nothing else going on movie wise and I’m pretty sure he never got caught up in a #MeToo scandal. I know directors aren’t usually that important to box office, but getting the whole team back would make this feel like an event rather than a throwaway cash-grab.


Tue Nov 19, 2019 4:06 pm
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