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 January 17-20 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post January 17-20 predictions
Not really feeling either of these tbh. Hopefully both can hit 30m for the 4-day but I feel like Dolittle will flop.

Bad Boys For Life - 30 (4-day)
Dolittle - 23 (4-day)


Sun Jan 12, 2020 4:01 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Flop and floppier. No one asked for another set of tired retreads.

Bad Boys for Life: $27M 4-day
Dolittle: $21M 4-day

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:21 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Dolittle will flop. BB3 was tracking for a 40 million 4 day. Just Mercy and 1917 should see strong holds


Sun Jan 12, 2020 5:50 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Bad Boys For Life - $40m (4-day)
Dolittle - $28m (4-day)

I don't think either will be a disaster but will underwhelm in comparison to their budgets.

The story of the weekend will be how good 1917 and Just Mercy hold.

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Sun Jan 12, 2020 6:34 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Dolittle doesn't appear to have a storyline... So I can't imagine parents giving their kids the option to see it.

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Mon Jan 13, 2020 11:27 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Bad Boys For Life - 40 (4-Day)
Dolittle - 30 (4-Day)

I'm hoping both do better than expected, but the main story of this weekend will definitely be about how good the holdovers will be for 1917 and Just Mercy.


Mon Jan 13, 2020 2:39 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
the latest spot I saw for Just Mercy basically said "its MLK weekend so you're obligated to see this film about black imprisonment". Which probably will work.

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Tue Jan 14, 2020 1:50 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
We'll see an increase (4-day vs last week) for Mercy. 1917 may see a small decrease - i.e. 10% or is an increase on the cards?

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Tue Jan 14, 2020 8:04 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
As I expected the Monday numbers indicate 1917 won’t have a big percentage effect since it is already earning so much. Plus, it’s nominations were expected based on the globe wins and largely factored into OW. Normally I would have expected about a 70% Monday drop for 1917. Don’t expect more than a 15% difference this weekend. Should still drop at least 20% 3 day.

Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, and even FvF had much better Monday holds since they were earning less.


Tue Jan 14, 2020 9:45 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
I'm just predicting 3-Day.

1. BAD BOYS FOR LIFE - 32.5 MILLION (New)
2. 1917 - 29.6 MILLION (-20%)
3. DOLITTLE - 18.576 MILLION (New)
4. JUMANJI: THE NEXT LEVEL - 10.223 MILLION (-27%)
5. STAR WARS: THE RISE OF SKYWALKER - 9.264 MILLION (-39%)
6. JUST MERCY - 7.576 MILLION (-22%)
7. LIKE A BOSS - 6.407 MILLION (-36%)
8. LITTLE WOMEN - 5.773 MILLION (-26%)
9. FROZEN II - 4.432 MILLION (-25%)
10. SPIES IN DISGUISE - 3.931 MILLION (-24%)
11. KNIVES OUT - 3.768 MILLION (-33%)
12. UNDERWATER - 3.223 MILLION (-54%)
13. PARASITE - 1.833 MILLION
14. UNCUT GEMS - 1.308 MILLION
(-61%)
15. BOMBSHELL - $693,882 (-52%)

Will likely update Parasite when there's an official theater count. Doesn't look like it's seeing a huge expansion this weekend so I'm guessing around 470 theaters.


Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:14 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Awful reviews for Dolittle and decent for Bad Boys for Life, which should win the 4-day weekend with over $35m.


Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:19 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Bad Boys will easily win. PS wise its like 5-6x Dolittle level. I am thinking 4 day weekend of 50m for Bad Boys and low 20's for do little.

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Wed Jan 15, 2020 4:52 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Bad Boys For Life - 50m (4-day)
Dolittle - 20m (4-day)

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Wed Jan 15, 2020 8:32 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
I wonder with those awful reviews how low Dolittle will open. If the reviews were great I think it would have done decent but now I think it will be yet another movie that got dumped in January.


Wed Jan 15, 2020 9:55 pm
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
RDJ + kids film - you'd think it would at least crack $20m 4-day (as awful as that would be). Who knows.

With kids/families having gone to see Frozen/Jumanji/Spies/Star Wars I don't think the appetite exists at the moment. The next family hit will be Sonic.

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Thu Jan 16, 2020 12:43 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
I think there is a good chance it misses $20m 4-day now. Its an original movie and RDJ is not a draw. The difference between him and Depp is that Pirates was a comparatively smaller effort and Depp did other commercial roles in between. RDJ only has super non-commercial "The Judge" since 2012 (Sherlock was before that and I don't think he was household name before the first Avengers). Also it seems he is doing the same Iron Man shtick which can be irritating.


Thu Jan 16, 2020 1:51 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
A lot of theaters around me are playing Weathering With You, wonder how wide it's going. Seeing it tomorrow


Thu Jan 16, 2020 3:30 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Last two Bad Boys had decent multipliers. Reviews are much better for this one and with MLK Day giving it a boost this could hold well next weekend. I think BB3 will be the first $100m grosser of 2020.

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Thu Jan 16, 2020 7:37 am
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Post Re: January 17-20 predictions
Small sample so far, but Bad Boys with a very impressive 96% audience score from previews.

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Fri Jan 17, 2020 10:46 am
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