Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
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 Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates numbers. Quote: 1 (1) Avatar 20th Century Fox Action $9,100,000 +130.66% 3,141 $2,897 $525,900,000 36
2 (new) Legion Sony Pictures Thriller/Suspense $6,850,000 2,476 $2,767 $6,850,000 1
3 (2) The Book of Eli Warner Bros. Action $4,930,000 +141.17% 3,111 $1,585 $49,933,000 8
4 (new) The Tooth Fairy 20th Century Fox Comedy $3,651,000 3,344 $1,092 $3,651,000 1
5 (4) The Lovely Bones Paramount Pictures Drama $2,727,000 +256.61% 2,571 $1,061 $25,551,000 43
6 (new) Extraordinary Measures CBS Films Drama $2,047,000 2,450 $836 $2,047,000 1
7 (5) Sherlock Holmes Warner Bros. Adventure $1,985,000 +172.95% 2,670 $743 $186,434,000 29
8 (3) It's Complicated Universal Romantic Comedy $1,720,000 +121.97% 2,301 $748 $94,180,000 29
9 (8) Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel 20th Century Fox Comedy $1,423,000 +246.81% 2,973 $479 $199,160,000 31
10 (7) The Blind Side Warner Bros. Drama $1,197,000 +152.48% 1,932 $620 $230,709,000 64 Quote: 1 AVATAR Fox · 3141 · $35,000,000 · $11,143 · $551,797,418
2 LEGION Sony · 2476 · $17,000,000 · $6,866 · $17,000,000
3 THE BOOK OF ELI Warner Bros. · 3111 · $15,000,000 · $4,822 · $60,003,223
4 THE TOOTH FAIRY Fox · 3344 · $12,000,000 · $3,589 · $12,000,000
5 THE LOVELY BONES Paramount · 2571 · $8,000,000 · $3,112 · $30,824,441
6 ALVIN AND THE CHIPMUNKS: THE SQUEAKUEL Fox · 2973 · $7,000,000 · $2,355 · $204,736,844
7 SHERLOCK HOLMES Warner Bros. · 2670 · $7,000,000 · $2,622 · $191,448,783
8 EXTRAORDINARY MEASURES CBS Films · 2549 · $6,250,000 · $2,452 · $6,250,000
9 IT'S COMPLICATED Universal · 2301 · $6,000,000 · $2,608 · $98,460,060
10 THE SPY NEXT DOOR LIONSGATE · 2924 · $5,000,000 · $1,710 · $18,960,115
11 THE BLIND SIDE Warner Bros. · 1932 · $4,500,000 · $2,329 · $234,012,266
12 UP IN THE AIR Paramount · 1707 · $4,000,000 · $2,343 · $69,343,526
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Last edited by Keyser Söze on Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:51 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 12:37 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
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Re: Friday Numbers How do they come up with the range 31m-34m? 34m is worst case.
fri: 9.1m
sat: 15m (+65%)
sun: 9.9m (-34%)
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:02 pm |
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Keyser Söze
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Re: Friday Numbers it should make 34-37m depending on its saturday increase.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:03 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
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Re: Friday Numbers Avatar 31-34M. To think of 31M is like it will fail miserably on Saturday and Sunday. 34M will be even which it is doing just ok business. I think 35-36M is a strong possibility
Legion will be second spot for sure. Eli, TF and Bones to follow. I think Bones is doing good and will cross 10M this weekend which is amazing number given the poor performance earlier weeks
Last edited by Jack Sparrow on Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:10 pm |
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Nazgul9
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Re: Friday Numbers Keyser Söze wrote: it should make 34-37m depending on its saturday increase. And sunday drop. _________________
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:10 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
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Re: Friday Numbers Nazgul9 wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: it should make 34-37m depending on its saturday increase. And sunday drop. its sunday drop will be predictable. somewhere in mid to late 20's.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:19 pm |
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BK
Forum General
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Why did BOE drop so hard. Damn it. Affected by Legion of all things.
This year's movies are having really really shitty runs so far.
And Sherlock is at 7? After 9m last weekend?
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Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Actualy, The Book of Eli didn't even drop very hard.
I'm glad Extraordinary Measures flopped somewhat.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:22 pm |
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Harry Warden
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Dr. Lecter wrote: I'm glad Extraordinary Measures flopped somewhat. Why?
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:23 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates It looked all kinds of Hallmark movie of the week terrible.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:24 pm |
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Nazgul9
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Re: Friday Numbers Keyser Söze wrote: its sunday drop will be predictable. somewhere in mid to late 20's. And saturday's isn't? 60-70%? _________________
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:30 pm |
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BK
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates But isn't that drop for BOE above 50%? That isn't good either. It's not a real frontloaded movie and it's supposed to have okay WOM (or I hope at least). I was hoping for Knowing legs.
Hopefully it'll recover next week. I would like EOD to kill Avatar.
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates BK wrote: But isn't that drop for BOE above 50%? That isn't good either. It's not a real frontloaded movie and it's supposed to have okay WOM (or I hope at least). I was hoping for Knowing legs.
Hopefully it'll recover next week. I would like EOD to kill Avatar. What? It was supposed to be frontloaded like most R-rated sci-fi action blockbusters. And WoM is rather mediocre as I heard the ending turns some people rather off. I expected a 55% drop at least. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:33 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates BK wrote: But isn't that drop for BOE above 50%? That isn't good either. It's not a real frontloaded movie and it's supposed to have okay WOM (or I hope at least). I was hoping for Knowing legs.
Hopefully it'll recover next week. I would like EOD to kill Avatar. at this point only movie that will kill avatar is alice. that is bcos it will take away all its imax and most of 3d screens. otherwise it is a juggernaut. no way on earth a mel movie with little buzz will affect avatar. avatar looks like the favorite to win next weekend as well.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:33 pm |
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Riggs
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Nah, Mel will dethrone Avatar next week.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:35 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Riggs wrote: Nah, Mel will dethrone Avatar next week. not a chance  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:43 pm |
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Riggs
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates BJ wrote: Riggs wrote: Nah, Mel will dethrone Avatar next week. not a chance Next week won't be much fun for you, heh.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 1:58 pm |
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Keyser Söze
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates no way on earth eod makes 34m. there is no buzz and early reviews make it to be a drama than action film. i doubt it opens more than mid 20's and that wont be enough to beat avatar.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 2:01 pm |
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Riggs
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Yeah 34m is more of a fanboy prediction but I do think it will beat Avatar.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 2:05 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
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Re: Friday Numbers soagg wrote: Avatar 31-34M. To think of 31M is like it will fail miserably on Saturday and Sunday. 34M will be even which it is doing just ok business. I think 35-36M is a strong possibility
Legion will be second spot for sure. Eli, TF and Bones to follow. I think Bones is doing good and will cross 10M this weekend which is amazing number given the poor performance earlier weeks Keep in mind, Sunday playoffs are two great games, and last weekend was a holiday so I dont think a Saturday increase will be so high (Also that Haitithon wasn't that big, 16 million viewers and 4.3 share). My early pick is 33 million, but I think the range could still be 33-36. _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 2:51 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Why would Sunday playoffs affect Saturday increase ?
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 3:09 pm |
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BK
Forum General
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Keyser Söze wrote: BK wrote: But isn't that drop for BOE above 50%? That isn't good either. It's not a real frontloaded movie and it's supposed to have okay WOM (or I hope at least). I was hoping for Knowing legs.
Hopefully it'll recover next week. I would like EOD to kill Avatar. at this point only movie that will kill avatar is alice. that is bcos it will take away all its imax and most of 3d screens. otherwise it is a juggernaut. no way on earth a mel movie with little buzz will affect avatar. avatar looks like the favorite to win next weekend as well. Okay, is there something wrong with you? When I say kill I mean dethrone which obviously is going to happen before Alice. Stop with all this Avatar fanboyism, I used to think you were a balanced arguer, guess not.
_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 3:38 pm |
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Thegun
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates soagg wrote: Why would Sunday playoffs affect Saturday increase ? It won't. I'm speaking about Saturday increases in general were helped thanks to last weekend being a "go to the movies" holiday weekend. Sunday drop will be higher, probably closer to 30% with a +55% saturday increase _________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 3:38 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates BK wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: BK wrote: But isn't that drop for BOE above 50%? That isn't good either. It's not a real frontloaded movie and it's supposed to have okay WOM (or I hope at least). I was hoping for Knowing legs.
Hopefully it'll recover next week. I would like EOD to kill Avatar. at this point only movie that will kill avatar is alice. that is bcos it will take away all its imax and most of 3d screens. otherwise it is a juggernaut. no way on earth a mel movie with little buzz will affect avatar. avatar looks like the favorite to win next weekend as well. Okay, is there something wrong with you? When I say kill I mean dethrone which obviously is going to happen before Alice. Stop with all this Avatar fanboyism, I used to think you were a balanced arguer, guess not. you said kill and not dethrone. dethrone will happen, though i think it will be no:1 for couple more weeks. regarding fanboyism, its not in my all time top 10 or anything like that. i am just enjoying its run. we have not seen a run like this. plus i liked avatar more than titanic and so i am happy it is crushing titanic.
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 3:48 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
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Re: Friday Numbers and early weekend guesstimates Thegun wrote: soagg wrote: Why would Sunday playoffs affect Saturday increase ? It won't. I'm speaking about Saturday increases in general were helped thanks to last weekend being a "go to the movies" holiday weekend. Sunday drop will be higher, probably closer to 30% with a +55% saturday increase All of the LOTR movies, King Kong, etc. had stronger post-MLK Saturday increases than the pre-MLK Saturday increases. A +55% increase is not happening. Something closer to 70% is more likely.
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| Sat Jan 23, 2010 4:11 pm |
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