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 Early Transformers OD Guesstimates 
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Post Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
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WEDNESDAY 9:45 PM: It's now a rock-em, sock-em summer! Sources tell me that Paramount's Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen today has shattered the Wednesday opening record set by Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix in 2007: $55+M to $44.2M. The robot sequel grosses from 4,234 North American theaters are $10M more than Paramount was expecting. That puts the sci-fi actioner on track for at least a $170M five-day opening and probably more like $175M-$180M despite overwhelmingly lousy reviews. But this sequel is reviewer-proof.


Bitchin'.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:03 am
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
100 million weekend here we come... :funny:

This is making me laugh for some reason..

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Last edited by Mandeep on Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:06 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:05 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
5 day should be right round 200.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:06 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
$55m is fantastic, but I wouldn't be surprised to see it higher tomorrow.

It beat the old Wednesday record by $10m. Wow.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:07 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
So, Transformers is going to beat BKB's predicted summer winner, Land of the Lost, in one day.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:09 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
55 is the start, with such large numbers it will fall in between 55-60 million.

WAY WAY higher then any normal prediction.

The film is over performing now and come Sunday the 5-day will be something we will look back at and we will be shocked.

The film has just started, the weekend is yet to come.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:10 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
$175m over 5 days looks about right.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:18 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
55 opening
25 Thursday (AT WORST!)
100 Weekend

180 EPIC!!!

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:20 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Funny how two days ago people said this movie had lite hype and would not make more then 160 and would get bad wom. Now look at it. The move still has an A- with almost 3,000 reviews and making a killing.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:33 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Its because there has not been a gigantic tent pole release film so far. So I think people fill flock to this.

Even by the reviews being bad, I think this is way way above Spider Man 3.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:39 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
guys, hate to break it to everyone here, but the public wom among its target audience (15-20 year old males) is nothing short of excellent. Their eating this shit up, even a lot of my girlfriends love it. We all may hate it, but this is going to get fine WOM and have legs closer to DMC than SM3.
55m+ Wed= at least 180m 5-day. It won't be as frontloaded as you may think, a lot of 25+ are waiting for the weekend, look for a 40% increase friday.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 2:03 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Mandeep wrote:
Even by the reviews being bad, I think this is way way above Spider Man 3.


That's because Spider-Man 2 set the bar high with almost universal love from critics and a really good WOM. TF2 was supposed to be kind of dumb for the beginning. It's understandable and expected. SP3 needed a good story and character development. TF2 just needs freaking robots and explosions.


Last edited by Lotan on Thu Jun 25, 2009 3:21 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Jun 25, 2009 3:19 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
hahah i love it! Hope this shatters the DMC/Shrek 2 totals!

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 3:20 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Speevy wrote:
So, Transformers is going to beat BKB's predicted summer winner, Land of the Lost, in one day.



:funny:

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 3:57 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
I hope it beats TDK, which was pretty shit.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 5:19 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
snackxster wrote:
I hope it beats TDK, which was pretty shit.


:rofl:


Thu Jun 25, 2009 5:46 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
John Savage wrote:
guys, hate to break it to everyone here, but the public wom among its target audience (15-20 year old males) is nothing short of excellent. Their eating this shit up, even a lot of my girlfriends love it. We all may hate it, but this is going to get fine WOM and have legs closer to DMC than SM3.

That's the critical point. Shit sells these days. Never underestimate the market for shit among young boys. The stupider the better.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 5:58 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Lotan wrote:
snackxster wrote:
I hope it beats TDK, which was pretty shit.


:rofl:

:shock:


Thu Jun 25, 2009 6:22 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Speevy wrote:
So, Transformers is going to beat BKB's predicted summer winner, Land of the Lost, in one day.



Yes, but in the end, Land of the Lost will end up becoming a stoner cult classic on DVD.. Transformers 2 will have been forgotten in about 2 weeks..


Thu Jun 25, 2009 6:25 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
curtis20 wrote:
Funny how two days ago people said this movie had lite hype and would not make more then 160 and would get bad wom. Now look at it. The move still has an A- with almost 3,000 reviews and making a killing.


Dude, it was expected to open well so why this is so surprising is really baffling.. Let's see how this goofy movie holds up in 2 weeks time on very mixed reviews... Let's see if this can achieve the so called 475 Million Domestic number that's floating around the forum so I can ridicule them when it doesn't hold up, much like you all did with me predicting LOTL would be the summer winner(even though it'll achieve cult status on DVD before Transformers 2 does).. And Transformers 2 has an astounding 21% ROTTEN on the RT chart.. :funny:


Thu Jun 25, 2009 6:29 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Mandeep wrote:
55 is the start, with such large numbers it will fall in between 55-60 million.

WAY WAY higher then any normal prediction.

The film is over performing now and come Sunday the 5-day will be something we will look back at and we will be shocked.

The film has just started, the weekend is yet to come.


Is Michael Bay paying you cash on the side to pimp this film?

I just can't get that excited about the box office for such a poorly made film. Ya it's gonna do huge business this week. We got it.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 8:09 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
^ No one cares about your peeves.

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 8:56 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
look, the next biggest thing to a big weekend this year will be Hp6 and that will be lucky to get near 150 million for the 5-day.



So nghtvsn, I think its very interesting the opening of TF2. We have not see a film so open so big initially and then get a huge weekend. It will be interesting to see what it does over the opening weekend. I think the 5-day will be nice and big.

Plus I am not a hater that much, (okay I hate Spiderman 3).

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Last edited by Mandeep on Thu Jun 25, 2009 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Jun 25, 2009 9:18 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
Guru has posted the same number in his twitter. Its the earliest he has posted any number.

giteshpandya$55M early est. for opening day of Transformers 2 on Wed, incl. Tue post-midnite and Imax sales. Will be 3rd or 4th best of all-time!about 2 hours ago from web

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Thu Jun 25, 2009 9:43 am
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Post Re: Early Transformers OD Guesstimates
MR. GREEN wrote:
Speevy wrote:
So, Transformers is going to beat BKB's predicted summer winner, Land of the Lost, in one day.



Yes, but in the end, Land of the Lost will end up becoming a stoner cult classic on DVD.. Transformers 2 will have been forgotten in about 2 weeks..



Yeah and Land of the Lost's rotten tomatoe score of 28% is SO fabulous.

Puhleeze.

This shit is not going to be any sort of cult classic.

And certainly won't sell more than a million dvds.

And you can't say anything about TRANSFORMERS 2's total gross unless it stalls under $300M.

Your LOTL prediction was the most laughable of the year and it's the biggest bomb of the summer.


So...be gone.


Thu Jun 25, 2009 10:30 am
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