| Author |
Message |
|
Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
|
 By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Here's the thing: I really wish this movie to be a success. I like what Abrams has done and I was a big Trek fan back when they were good (up to and including First Contact), but I think expectations are just wildly overblown. I am assuming the tracking is correct and Star Trek will open between 50 and 60. Everything depends on the multiplier. There's no way it'll have a Undiscovered Country IM of 4.0. The best it can hope for is 3.2 (the Insurrection number), so Best Case Scenario would be 192 Million. But this time there are two things to consider. The opening will be more frontloaded than ever. Trekkies are nuts in their own right, but combine it with the Abrams cult following and you have a massive frontloaded movie.
Cloverfield had an IM of 2.0 even though it was well received. The last Trek movie Nemesis had an IM of 2.3. So I don't think it is unrealistic to calculate with an IM of 2.5 which would put the movie at under 150 with tracking. This club might not win but it'll be closer than all the other nuts Star Trek clubs when all is said and done
Members:
Bradley Witherberry
El Murato
shawman
Proud Ryu
SolC9
Mr. Green
baumer
Half-Member:
Dr. Lecter
Last edited by Levy on Wed Apr 29, 2009 4:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 4:29 pm |
|
|
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Will only happen if swine flu breaks out...
_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 4:32 pm |
|
|
|
Bradley Witherberry
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 1:13 pm
Posts: 15197
Location: Planet Xatar
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Ensign Witherberry reporting for duty.
Permission to come aboard Club ST<150, Captain Levy, sir?
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 4:38 pm |
|
|
|
El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Im in
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 4:42 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club I'm 50/50 at the moment. I'm thinking something around $140-170 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 5:06 pm |
|
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club In for sure. Trek is the most over predicted movie at KJ. Almost reminiscent of wall-e last year when things got crazy.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 5:32 pm |
|
|
|
Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club AT KJ? Brandon Gray currently has it at 230m! We aren't alone my friend.
Thanks for the club levy, I of course don't come close to joining, but it provides interesting counter-debate.
_________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 5:36 pm |
|
|
|
WarMaster506
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2009 2:38 am
Posts: 92
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club We will soon find out.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 6:29 pm |
|
|
|
Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Count me in!
The only point that I disagree with is Cloverfield being well-received. I think it's partially true only to the extent that it was polarizing, so plenty of people liked it (like internet geeks) and plenty hated it, but I don't think a lot of people loved it.
I can absolutely see a sub 2.5 mult.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 6:30 pm |
|
|
|
STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club This movie looks like ass and nothing like what Star Trek is supposed to look like.. It's Star Teek Mini-Babies with Pine trying desperately to do a William Shatner impersonation in the TV Spots and it isn't there.. Nevertheless, the curiosity factor is there and it'll do well from that alone..
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 7:23 pm |
|
|
|
SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club In. I want this movie to be awesome, but even if it is, it only has a chance at
crossing 150M. Much better chance at < 150M IMHO.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 9:37 pm |
|
|
|
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6786
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club MR. GREEN wrote: This movie looks like ass and nothing like what Star Trek is supposed to look like.. It's Star Teek Mini-Babies with Pine trying desperately to do a William Shatner impersonation in the TV Spots and it isn't there.. Nevertheless, the curiosity factor is there and it'll do well from that alone.. Are u in or out?
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 9:47 pm |
|
|
|
Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Out, but possible.
$165 million.
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 9:50 pm |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22214
Location: Places
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club I really hope not.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
| Tue Apr 28, 2009 10:46 pm |
|
|
|
critch
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 10:36 am
Posts: 124
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club No way. 200 Minimum.
As usual, the only people that are hating on it are the ones that haven't read any reviews or seen any footage. Sorry Mr. Green, you're completely incredibly wrong.
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 12:09 am |
|
|
|
STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club critch wrote: No way. 200 Minimum.
As usual, the only people that are hating on it are the ones that haven't read any reviews or seen any footage. Sorry Mr. Green, you're completely incredibly wrong.
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:04 am |
|
|
|
STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club shawman wrote: MR. GREEN wrote: This movie looks like ass and nothing like what Star Trek is supposed to look like.. It's Star Teek Mini-Babies with Pine trying desperately to do a William Shatner impersonation in the TV Spots and it isn't there.. Nevertheless, the curiosity factor is there and it'll do well from that alone.. Are u in or out?
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 8:06 am |
|
|
|
baumer
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu Apr 24, 2008 2:48 pm
Posts: 343
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club I'm in by the way...I know i only visit here once in a while, but i want to join this club. I think it will open to about 45 mill and close with about 130.
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 9:51 am |
|
|
|
Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club baumer wrote: I'm in by the way...I know i only visit here once in a while, but i want to join this club. I think it will open to about 45 mill and close with about 130. open to 45m? lol. The only way this club succeeds is bad legs, it won't miss 50m OW no matter what. _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 12:07 pm |
|
|
|
baumer
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu Apr 24, 2008 2:48 pm
Posts: 343
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club John Savage wrote: baumer wrote: I'm in by the way...I know i only visit here once in a while, but i want to join this club. I think it will open to about 45 mill and close with about 130. open to 45m? lol. The only way this club succeeds is bad legs, it won't miss 50m OW no matter what. You have a crystal ball?
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 3:49 pm |
|
|
|
El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club John Savage wrote: baumer wrote: I'm in by the way...I know i only visit here once in a while, but i want to join this club. I think it will open to about 45 mill and close with about 130. open to 45m? lol. The only way this club succeeds is bad legs, it won't miss 50m OW no matter what. Your track record on successful clubs isnt too good either
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 4:51 pm |
|
|
|
nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11016
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club Out.
The reviews coming in are pretty good. A radio show that has a daily entertainment reporter call in gave it 4/4 and he isn't even a fan of Star Trek but he just loved it. I think it's turning into a real event film and will blow past this petty under 150 total. That would be distressing if that happened.
_________________
2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion
Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00
[b]FREE KORRGAN
45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP
#MAGA #KAG!
10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 5:47 pm |
|
|
|
Michael A
Joined: Sat Dec 27, 2008 4:48 am
Posts: 6245
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club El Murato wrote: John Savage wrote: baumer wrote: I'm in by the way...I know i only visit here once in a while, but i want to join this club. I think it will open to about 45 mill and close with about 130. open to 45m? lol. The only way this club succeeds is bad legs, it won't miss 50m OW no matter what. Your track record on successful clubs isnt too good either ohh bringing up the record, ouch!  _________________Mr. R wrote: Malcolm wrote: You seem to think threatening violence against people is perfectly okay because you feel offended by their words, so that's kind of telling in itself. Exactly. If they don't know how to behave, and feel OK offending others, they get their ass kicked, so they'll think next time before opening their rotten mouths.
|
| Wed Apr 29, 2009 6:37 pm |
|
|
|
Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm
Posts: 11637
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club LOL yeah it is looking good for like 200-225 right now.
|
| Mon May 11, 2009 2:12 pm |
|
|
|
2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
|
Re: By Popular Demand: Star Trek below 150 Million Club I would have joined this before, but had things to do away from the Internet. I had it at 54m/140m for months.
Even if A&D does a tDVC and T4/NatM2 combo do like 200m+ 4-day, it may still not happen.
|
| Mon May 11, 2009 2:27 pm |
|
|
