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 January 2-4 Predictions 
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You must have big rats
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Post January 2-4 Predictions
You know the drill...

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sat Dec 27, 2008 7:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 27, 2008 1:57 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
2003 saw very slim declines. I think we'll see the same, with most films dropping under 30%.


Sat Dec 27, 2008 2:00 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
The weekend is January 2-4.


Sat Dec 27, 2008 2:51 pm
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
Spider-Man wrote:
The weekend is January 2-4.


Ditto.


Sat Dec 27, 2008 5:41 pm
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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
........

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Last edited by DIB2 on Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:34 am, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 27, 2008 6:08 pm
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Let's Call It A Bromance
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
For 3-days

Marley & Me- -20%
Button- -21%
Bedtime- -17%
Valkyrie- -25%


Sat Dec 27, 2008 7:43 pm
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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
DIB2 wrote:
Bride Wars - 23.0m
Not Easily Broken - 10.5m
The Unborn (2009) - 16.0m


EXPANDING
Gran Torino ?
The Reader ?


Yeah... No.

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Sat Dec 27, 2008 7:45 pm
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 1-3 Predictions
DIB2 wrote:
Bride Wars - 23.0m
Not Easily Broken - 10.5m
The Unborn (2009) - 16.0m


They don't open until the following week.


Sat Dec 27, 2008 11:38 pm
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Is there TC loss? Or is there none?

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Sat Dec 27, 2008 11:47 pm
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
so Revolutionary Road still not expanding this weekend.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:54 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
I wish some movies would at least expand a bit.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 2:46 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
I see some TC drops from Four Christmases (Christmas is over), Bolt and The Day the Earth Stood Still (bad PTA). Twilight might hold on to its TC considering it is not a festive movie (doing mediocre on both Thanksgiving and Christmas) and should recover some from Christmas.

We should see some TC increases from Marley And Me, Bedtime Stories, Valkyrie, Yes Man and Benjamin. On the indie side, there may be expansions from The Wrestler, Gran Torino, Frost/Nixon, Revolutionary Road, Milk, and Slumdog.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 10:25 pm
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Do movies usually expand at all that weekend? I can't remember. I didn't think they did very much.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:55 pm
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Mike wrote:
Do movies usually expand at all that weekend? I can't remember. I didn't think they did very much.


Some movies do. For the record, Dreamgirls (2007) and Calendar Girls (2004) expanded wide that very weekend while Finding Neverland (2005) and Brokeback Mountain (2006) added 100+ theaters. But since no major expansions are listed on BOM, I don't think any of the major releases will have substantial increase in TC.


Mon Dec 29, 2008 12:21 am
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
According to Box Office Mojo, Gran Torino is expanding to 2300+ theaters on 1/9. Personally, I wish it were expanding this coming weekend since there's nothing to see while there's a bunch I will be seeing the weekend of the 9th-11 (at least 8 movies!).


Mon Dec 29, 2008 1:13 am
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Early predictions:


1. Marley and Me - $27.7 million
2. Bedtime Stories - $21.5 million
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - $20.9 million
4. Valkyrie - $15.6 million
5. Yes Man - $12.6 million
6. Seven Pounds - $9.8 million
7. The Tale of Despereaux - $7.5 million
8. The Day the Earth Stood Still - $5.2 million
9. Doubt - $4.5 million
10. Twilight - $4 million

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Mon Dec 29, 2008 10:43 pm
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
I wish Gran Torino or Revolutionary Road would expand wide this weekend.


Tue Dec 30, 2008 12:14 pm
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)


Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:04 am
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
That would be awesome for MY BLOODY VALENTINE.


Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:39 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Mahone wrote:
ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)


Wow, guess I was wrong about the 3d thing for My Bloody Valentine.


Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:48 am
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
DP07 wrote:
Mahone wrote:
ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)


Wow, guess I was wrong about the 3d thing for My Bloody Valentine.


The more successful MBV3D is, the happier Hollywood will be.


Thu Jan 01, 2009 5:01 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
Yeah.

Would seem to be a good indication for Avatar. I'm certain the 3D for that movie will be much more eye catching.


Thu Jan 01, 2009 5:40 am
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
OK for the Unborn.
Great for Bride Wars and Bloody Valentine.
Notorious is OK.
Blart just plain fails, I guess I'm not the only one not interested in this at all-DVD included.
Hotel for Dogs was something I'd check out on DVD so yeah.

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Thu Jan 01, 2009 9:17 am
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You must have big rats
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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
I hope The Unborn can open to $15+ million. It actually looks reasonably creepy.


Bride Wars will definitely top 27 Dresses at this point.

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Thu Jan 01, 2009 3:08 pm
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Orphan

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Post Re: January 2-4 Predictions
I kind of hope The Unborn disappoints.


Thu Jan 01, 2009 3:10 pm
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