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 Weekend Estimates (December 26-28) 
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Sbil

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Post Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
1 N MARLEY & ME Fox $37,000,000 - 3,480 - $10,632 $51,675,000 1
2 N BEDTIME STORIES BV $28,069,000 - 3,681 - $7,625 $38,598,000 1
3 N THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN BUTTON Par. $27,000,000 - 2,988 - $9,036 $39,008,000 1
4 N VALKYRIE UA $21,531,000 - 2,711 - $7,942 $30,024,000 1
5 1 YES MAN WB $16,450,000 -9.9% 3,434 - $4,790 $49,591,000 2
6 2 SEVEN POUNDS Sony $13,400,000 -9.8% 2,758 - $4,859 $39,026,000 3
7 3 THE TALE OF DESPEREAUX Uni. $9,368,000 -7.3% 3,107 +3 $3,015 $27,945,000 2
8 4 THE DAY THE EARTH STOOD STILL Fox $7,900,000 -20.1% 2,402 -1,158 $3,289 $63,615,000 3
9 N THE SPIRIT LGF $6,510,000 - 2,509 - $2,595 $10,352,000 1
10 15 DOUBT Mira. $5,675,000 +733.4% 1,267 +1,228 $4,479 $8,825,000 3

11 5 FOUR CHRISTMASES WB (NL) $5,045,000 -34.5% 2,510 -1,005 $2,010 $111,817,000 5
12 6 TWILIGHT Sum. $4,518,000 -12.9% 1,849 -1,142 $2,443 $167,063,000 6
13 8 SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE FoxS $4,450,000 +45.7% 614 +25 $7,248 $19,661,000 7
14 7 BOLT BV $3,649,000 -12.0% 1,923 -1,045 $1,898 $102,761,000 6
15 18 GRAN TORINO WB $2,440,000 +421.1% 84 +65 $29,048 $4,340,000 3
16 11 MILK Focus $1,830,000 +5.8% 311 -45 $5,884 $13,597,000 5
17 19 FROST/NIXON Uni. $1,472,000 +289.4% 205 +166 $7,180 $3,655,000 4
18 10 QUANTUM OF SOLACE Sony $1,450,000 -29.3% 891 -983 $1,627 $164,347,000 7
19 9 AUSTRALIA Fox $1,125,000 -48.3% 711 -1,501 $1,582 $44,351,000 3
20 12 MADAGASCAR: ESCAPE 2 AFRICA P/DW $917,000 -41.6% 808 -1,199 $1,135 $174,870,000 8
N/A 13 NOTHING LIKE THE HOLIDAYS Over. $300,000 -77.0% 439 -1,232 $683 $7,022,000 3

21 29 THE READER Wein. $671,000 +623.1% 116 +108 $5,784 $1,251,000 3
22 24 THE WRESTLER FoxS $381,000 +87.9% 18 +14 $21,167 $901,000 2
N/A N REVOLUTIONARY ROAD ParV $192,000 - 3 - $64,000 $192,000 1
N/A N LAST CHANCE HARVEY Over. $96,000 - 6 - $16,000 $132,000 1
N/A N WALTZ WITH BASHIR SPC $51,200 - 5 - $10,240 $55,100 1

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =52&p=.htm


Last edited by Libs on Sun Dec 28, 2008 8:36 pm, edited 4 times in total.



Sun Dec 28, 2008 12:34 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (some beginning to roll in)
I went onto HSX, and saw that you informed people of the #'s there are well. :P Where else are you updating at this very moment?

Great #'s all around. Bedtime Stories has been quite consistent, as has Valkyrie. Marley and Me is just a huge smash at this point. A very powerful 4 day opening, where it really outpaced the competition.

Also, Entdata #'s are up:

Rank Film Title Gross Weeks Cume
1 MARLEY & ME 37.00 1 51.7
2 BEDTIME STORIES 28.07 1 38.6
3 THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN.. 27.20 1 39.0
4 VALKYRIE 21.53 1 30.0
5 YES MAN 16.45 2 49.6
6 SEVEN POUNDS 13.40 2 39.0
7 THE TALE OF DESPEREAUX 9.37 2 27.9
8 THE DAY THE EARTH STOOD STILL 7.90 3 63.6
9 THE SPIRIT 6.51 1 10.3
10 DOUBT 5.67 3 8.8


Sun Dec 28, 2008 12:45 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (some beginning to roll in)
O wrote:
I went onto HSX, and saw that you informed people of the #'s there are well. :P Where else are you updating at this very moment?

Great #'s all around. Bedtime Stories has been quite consistent, as has Valkyrie. Marley and Me is just a huge smash at this point. A very powerful 4 day opening, where it really outpaced the competition.

Also, Entdata #'s are up:

Rank Film Title Gross Weeks Cume
1 MARLEY & ME 37.00 1 51.7
2 BEDTIME STORIES 28.07 1 38.6
3 THE CURIOUS CASE OF BENJAMIN.. 27.20 1 39.0
4 VALKYRIE 21.53 1 30.0
5 YES MAN 16.45 2 49.6
6 SEVEN POUNDS 13.40 2 39.0
7 THE TALE OF DESPEREAUX 9.37 2 27.9
8 THE DAY THE EARTH STOOD STILL 7.90 3 63.6
9 THE SPIRIT 6.51 1 10.3
10 DOUBT 5.67 3 8.8


The whole universe, O. The universe. :)


Sun Dec 28, 2008 12:47 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Top 10 Total - $173.10 million

Great weekend!


Sun Dec 28, 2008 12:58 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
No holdovers rose?

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:05 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Dr. Lecter wrote:
No holdovers rose?


I'm assuming at least a couple below the top 10 (particularly Slumdog Millionaire) did.

But the theater count losses were so significant and the new competition so strong that I'm not surprised.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:07 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:20 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
It's kinda odd to see a Will Smith film yet to pass $40 m, after two weekends of release, along with Christmas already...


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
I thought someone has posted BOG already...

1 Marley & Me $ 37,000,000 3,480 1 $ 10,632 $ 51,675,000 Fox
2 Bedtime Stories 28,069,000 3,681 1 7,625 38,598,000 Buena Vista
3 The Curious Case of Benjamin Button 27,000,000 2,988 1 9,036 39,008,000 Paramount
4 Valkyrie 21,531,000 2,711 1 7,942 30,024,000 MGM
5 Yes Man 16,450,000 18,262,471 -9.9 3,434 2 4,790 49,569,000 Warner Bros.
6 Seven Pounds 13,400,000 14,851,136 -9.8 2,758 2 4,859 39,026,000 Sony
7 The Tale of Despereaux 9,368,000 10,103,675 -7.3 3,107 2 3,015 27,945,000 Universal
8 The Day the Earth Stood Still 7,900,000 9,890,105 -20.1 2,402 3 3,289 63,615,000 Fox
9 The Spirit 6,506,000 2,509 1 2,593 10,346,000 Lionsgate
10 Doubt 5,675,000 680,948 733.4 1,267 3 4,479 8,825,000 Miramax

Slumdog Millionaire 4,450,000 3,053,760 45.7 614 7 7,248 19,661,000 Fox Searchlight
Bolt 3,649,000 4,146,856 -12.0 1,923 6 1,898 102,761,000 Buena Vista
Milk 1,829,506 1,729,156 5.8 311 5 5,883 13,597,000 Focus
Frost/Nixon 1,472,000 378,052 289.4 205 4 7,180 3,655,000 Universal
Quantum of Solace 1,450,000 2,051,882 -29.3 891 7 1,627 164,347,000 Sony
Australia 1,125,000 2,174,188 -48.3 711 5 1,582 44,351,000 Fox
Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa 917,000 1,569,610 -41.6 808 8 1,135 174,870,000 Paramount
The Reader 671,319 92,790 623.5 116 3 5,787 1,251,000 Weinstein Co.
The Wrestler 381,068 202,714 88.0 18 2 21,170 900,601 Fox Searchlight

Nothing Like the Holidays 300,000 1,305,439 -77.0 438 3 685 7,022,000 Overture
Revolutionary Road 192,000 3 1 64,000 192,000 Par. Vantage
Transporter 3 120,000 682,033 -82.4 135 5 889 31,610,000 Lionsgate
Last Chance Harvey 96,000 6 1 16,000 131,674 Overture

http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend20.htm

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:25 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Kind of disappointing for the family film holdovers, even with the theater loss, and strong competition, because family films have been so resilient over the holidays and gotten a second wind. Despereaux and Bolt really didn't go up as much as I expected they would, but Marley and Me/Bedtime Stories really must have taken most of the family audience. This holiday season has been acting really weird actually overall. Usually Christmas is more subdued and then box office and then surges on the 26th and the weekend, but this year really seemed to have a Christmas rush.

The fact that the openers from last weekend hardly went up despite underwhelming openings tells me that last weekend moviegoers weren't interested in them. We got a lot of spinning last week, and I'm sure weather had something to do with it, but the studios made it out to be much bigger than the real reason, that moviegoers didn't care for last week's movies. If they did, those films would have had better 4day weekends this week.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:35 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
BK wrote:
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.


No, this beats 2007.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:42 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Libs wrote:
BK wrote:
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.


No, this beats 2007.


I think they may have meant for the year. Unfortunately, the pre-Christmas December box office was downright terrible, that I think we'll end this weekend with about $9554, with three days left in the year. The 2007 tally topped $9663.7, which we are $109.7 m away from. It seems like we will barely pass the 2007 total, but ticket prices went up nearly 4% this year, so if we were looking in 2007 dollars, we're nearly $400 m behind last year.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:51 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Libs wrote:
BK wrote:
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.


No, this beats 2007.


I think he means that the overall 2008 will still lost to the overall 2007 box office.

It looks like 2008 will come just short of 2007.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:52 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Fox is now at about $983.2 m for the year, and has three days left to top $1 billion.

Disney has about $989.5 m for the year, and has three days left as well.

Good to see them both past $1 billion, but they certainly are cutting it pretty close...


Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:55 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
GRAN TORINO $2.44m (3 days) in 84 theaters, $3.18m (4 days)

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 2:46 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
Twilight and Four Christmases is up now at BOG as well:

Four Christmases 5,045,000 7,701,375 -34.5 2,510 5 2,010 111,817,000 Warner Bros.
Twilight 4,518,000 5,189,319 -12.9 1,849 6 2,443 167,063,000 Summit

Decent hold for Twilight considering the theater loss. It's avg is up 40.8% from last weekend. The gap between it and Madagascar is now $8 m.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 2:54 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
mark66 wrote:
GRAN TORINO $2.44m (3 days) in 84 theaters, $3.18m (4 days)


Deservedly so...great film! Somewhat formula, but his character is the PERFECT capper to his career. Highly recommend this one! :thumbsup:

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 5:48 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
First posted updated with BOM.

I'm so happy for Marley & Me's success. The movie was as good as I had hoped and did the book justice. It's nice to see Owen Wilson and Jennifer Aniston each have a big success like this, as they have both been called box office poison in the past.

Bedtime Stories is still a winner, it did about what I expected. Incredible weekend for Benjamin Button considering its premise and running time. Valkyrie is excellent.

Acceptable holds for Yes Man, Seven Pounds and Despereaux.

Poor opening for The Spirit. Decent but not much better expansion from Doubt.

Four Christmases held decently considering Christmas is over.

Slumdog is still fabulous.

Gran Torino is looking like a breakout hit early on.

Massive PTA for Revolutionary Road but let's see how it does when it expands.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 8:42 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
It seems to me that the Christmas Day numbers relative to the 3 day numbers are very high. I have to admit to some surprise by the front-loadedness across the board. I suppose the sheer magnitude of compelling and diverse movies to see starting Thursday created a lot of this effect.

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Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:17 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
Libs wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
No holdovers rose?


I'm assuming at least a couple below the top 10 (particularly Slumdog Millionaire) did.

But the theater count losses were so significant and the new competition so strong that I'm not surprised.


I think also it has to do with what should be good holds next week as the holidays as still in effect. So, it makes sense that the difference should come from some weekend. The daily pattern wasn't quite set for big increases this week anyway.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:19 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
O wrote:
It's kinda odd to see a Will Smith film yet to pass $40 m, after two weekends of release, along with Christmas already...


Yeah, but 90m seems sure. That's great for any drama of this type.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:21 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
BK wrote:
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.


I didn't think it made that much of a difference last week. I mean Boston was down a shocking 80%, but that's still less than 1% of the country.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:23 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
O wrote:
Libs wrote:
BK wrote:
Eh. I think we'll still lose to 2007 right?
Holdovers should have increased because then last weekend's "bad weather" excuse fails.


No, this beats 2007.


I think they may have meant for the year. Unfortunately, the pre-Christmas December box office was downright terrible, that I think we'll end this weekend with about $9554, with three days left in the year. The 2007 tally topped $9663.7, which we are $109.7 m away from. It seems like we will barely pass the 2007 total, but ticket prices went up nearly 4% this year, so if we were looking in 2007 dollars, we're nearly $400 m behind last year.


Yeah, although some could make a case based on the economy. Although this trend has been happening for a few years. The holds are great compared to music sales at stores.

I think given the shift towards DVD and other options it's a good hold.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:33 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (December 26-28)
Proud Ryu wrote:
It seems to me that the Christmas Day numbers relative to the 3 day numbers are very high. I have to admit to some surprise by the front-loadedness across the board. I suppose the sheer magnitude of compelling and diverse movies to see starting Thursday created a lot of this effect.


You think it was a cumulative thing?

Only BB seems kind of frontloaded. But then I think it has strong appeal towards its audience. Well, the Spirit is frontloaded, but that was always going to be the case.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:36 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (Christmas weekend)
O wrote:
Fox is now at about $983.2 m for the year, and has three days left to top $1 billion.

Disney has about $989.5 m for the year, and has three days left as well.

Good to see them both past $1 billion, but they certainly are cutting it pretty close...


It's just a psychological barrier, but yeah, interesting to watch the race.


Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:41 pm
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