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 Friday Numbers (BOG) 
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Post Friday Numbers (BOG)
BOG usually has a legitimate source, so we should just start a new thread now:

Watchmen - $24.3 million
Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail - $2.5 million (-47%)
Taken - $2.3 million (-21%)

Slumdog Millionaire - $1.9 million (-41%)
He's Just Not That Into You - $1.3 million (-31%)
Jonas Bros. - $0.85 (-83%)


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:31 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Madea had a really strong hold. Could it actually have a shot at $100M?


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:32 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
ERC Weekend Estimates
1 WATCHMEN Warner Bros. · 3611 · $58,000,000 · $16,062 · $58,000,000
2 TYLER PERRY'S MEDEA GOES TO JAIL Lionsgate · 2151 · $9,000,000 · $4,184 · $76,500,000
3 TAKEN Fox · 3016 · $7,750,000 · $2,570 · $118,500,000
4 SLUMDOG MILLIONAIRE Fox Searchlight · 2890 · $7,250,000 · $2,509 · $126,000,000
5 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2558 · $4,500,000 · $1,759 · $134,000,000
6 HE'S JUST NOT THAT INTO YOU Warner Bros. · 2445 · $4,000,000 · $1,636 · $84,500,000
7 CORALINE Focus · 1959 · $3,500,000 · $1,787 · $66,000,000
8 CONFESSIONS OF A SHOPAHOLIC Walt Disney · 2290 · $3,000,000 · $1,310 · $38,500,000
9 JONAS BROTHERS: THE 3D CONCERT EXPERIENCE Walt Disney · 1278 · $3,000,000 · $2,347 · $17,000,000
10 FIRED UP Sony · 1798 · $2,750,000 · $1,529 · $13,500,000
11 GRAN TORINO Warner Bros. · 1520 · $2,250,000 · $1,480 · $141,750,000
12 THE READER Weinstein Co. · 1175 · $2,000,000 · $1,702 · $30,000,000

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:34 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Question: How many movies this decade have stayed in the Top 3 for SIX weekends straight?


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:35 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
One has to give kudos to Nikki for giving us a accurate number by 4PM PST yesterday.

Watchmen number is good but after all the hype over last week it sounds bad.

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:36 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Jon wrote:
Question: How many movies this decade have stayed in the Top 3 for SIX weekends straight?


Taken was #4 last weekend.


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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
mark66 wrote:
5 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2558 · $4,500,000 · $1,759 · $134,000,000


Okay, so: What was the last wide release to be in the Top 5 in its EIGHTH weekend? Better yet, what was the last wide relase (Not counting limited releases like Slumdog) to make a re-entrance into the Top 5 after THREE weekends outside of the Top 5?


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:45 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Jon wrote:
mark66 wrote:
5 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2558 · $4,500,000 · $1,759 · $134,000,000


Okay, so: What was the last wide release to be in the Top 5 in its EIGHTH weekend? Better yet, what was the last wide relase (Not counting limited releases like Slumdog) to make a re-entrance into the Top 5 after THREE weekends outside of the Top 5?


1) Titanic.

2) Greek Wedding?


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:47 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Does it really matter? The numbers are getting boring again.
Looks like 2009 is the new 2008, great start, fizzles out, will recover, no record, all in a boring year's work.
Big numbers where are you?

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:51 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Captain Metropolis wrote:
Jon wrote:
mark66 wrote:
5 PAUL BLART MALL COP Sony · 2558 · $4,500,000 · $1,759 · $134,000,000


Okay, so: What was the last wide release to be in the Top 5 in its EIGHTH weekend? Better yet, what was the last wide relase (Not counting limited releases like Slumdog) to make a re-entrance into the Top 5 after THREE weekends outside of the Top 5?


1) Titanic.

2) Greek Wedding?


Greek Wedding's Top 5 streak was actually a consistent one (10 weeks long...damn). I was asking about a film that was dropping in the rankings, then made a re-entrance into the Top 5.

Though films in the Top 5 after eight weekends of wide release period are still pretty rare.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 12:55 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Nazgul9 wrote:
My gut says both will open in the 50-60m range.

Congrats to my gut.

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:01 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
BK wrote:
Does it really matter? The numbers are getting boring again.
Looks like 2009 is the new 2008, great start, fizzles out, will recover, no record, all in a boring year's work.
Big numbers where are you?


Uh, this weekend will rather easily beat last year (With the third biggest March opening and one of the biggest R-rated openings ever), and next weekend has the first major kid's release since Coraline, plus the first major horror film since Friday the 13th. After that we have a weekend with THREE potential $20 million openers. After that the next DreamWorks animated film (And the first truly major release to use Real3D). After that, Fast and Furious.

So, yeah, "boring" is a rather silly word to use.

That said, Watchmen probably won't beat Paul Blart or Taken (Assuming legs aren't good) or make back its budget in the U.S. ($150M?), so that's mildly disappointing.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:01 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Jon wrote:
Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail - $2.5 million (-47%)
Taken - $2.3 million (-21%)



So, how many teens were buying tickets for these just to get in the front door so they could then "sneak into" Watchmen? :hahaha:


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:04 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
For Taken it was the other way ;)


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:06 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Jon wrote:
BK wrote:
Does it really matter? The numbers are getting boring again.
Looks like 2009 is the new 2008, great start, fizzles out, will recover, no record, all in a boring year's work.
Big numbers where are you?


Uh, this weekend will rather easily beat last year (With the third biggest March opening and one of the biggest R-rated openings ever), and next weekend has the first major kid's release since Coraline, plus the first major horror film since Friday the 13th. After that we have a weekend with THREE potential $20 million openers. After that the next DreamWorks animated film (And the first truly major release to use Real3D). After that, Fast and Furious.

So, yeah, "boring" is a rather silly word to use.

That said, Watchmen probably won't beat Paul Blart or Taken (Assuming legs aren't good) or make back its budget in the U.S. ($150M?), so that's mildly disappointing.


I meant now. You can't say the last 2-3 weeks have been anything remotely close to exciting.
Watchmen after all hit an expected number, good, but expected. Last year Horton was the only movie in March to do well despite a relatively strong lineup.
Really, at this point, it's not exciting anymore to see Blart and Taken STILL being the only movies there. Great for them but what about everything else. We need more excitement I'm sure you agree.

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:11 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Jon wrote:
BK wrote:
Does it really matter? The numbers are getting boring again.
Looks like 2009 is the new 2008, great start, fizzles out, will recover, no record, all in a boring year's work.
Big numbers where are you?


Uh, this weekend will rather easily beat last year (With the third biggest March opening and one of the biggest R-rated openings ever), and next weekend has the first major kid's release since Coraline, plus the first major horror film since Friday the 13th. After that we have a weekend with THREE potential $20 million openers. After that the next DreamWorks animated film (And the first truly major release to use Real3D). After that, Fast and Furious.

So, yeah, "boring" is a rather silly word to use.

That said, Watchmen probably won't beat Paul Blart or Taken (Assuming legs aren't good) or make back its budget in the U.S. ($150M?), so that's mildly disappointing.


Yeah, what's your deal, BK? You really are a Debbie Downer. At least you're consistent in your constant negativity.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:14 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
BK wrote:
I meant now. You can't say the last 2-3 weeks have been anything remotely close to exciting.


Two weeks ago the latest Tyler Perry film hit FORTY MILLION in its opening weekend. How is that not exciting? From a B.O. viewpoint, anyway.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
BK wrote:
I meant now. You can't say the last 2-3 weeks have been anything remotely close to exciting.
Watchmen after all hit an expected number, good, but expected. Last year Horton was the only movie in March to do well despite a relatively strong lineup.
Really, at this point, it's not exciting anymore to see Blart and Taken STILL being the only movies there. Great for them but what about everything else. We need more excitement I'm sure you agree.

But if everything becomes exciting, exciting becomes ordinary.

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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
BK wrote:
Jon wrote:
BK wrote:
Does it really matter? The numbers are getting boring again.
Looks like 2009 is the new 2008, great start, fizzles out, will recover, no record, all in a boring year's work.
Big numbers where are you?


Uh, this weekend will rather easily beat last year (With the third biggest March opening and one of the biggest R-rated openings ever), and next weekend has the first major kid's release since Coraline, plus the first major horror film since Friday the 13th. After that we have a weekend with THREE potential $20 million openers. After that the next DreamWorks animated film (And the first truly major release to use Real3D). After that, Fast and Furious.

So, yeah, "boring" is a rather silly word to use.

That said, Watchmen probably won't beat Paul Blart or Taken (Assuming legs aren't good) or make back its budget in the U.S. ($150M?), so that's mildly disappointing.


I meant now. You can't say the last 2-3 weeks have been anything remotely close to exciting.
Watchmen after all hit an expected number, good, but expected. Last year Horton was the only movie in March to do well despite a relatively strong lineup.
Really, at this point, it's not exciting anymore to see Blart and Taken STILL being the only movies there. Great for them but what about everything else. We need more excitement I'm sure you agree.


Well BK, just remember, we didn't say before Paul Blart, the next 2-3 weeks are going to be huge at the box office and start a streak that runs on for a long time. The fun of tracking the box office so far this year has been seeing very unexpected films massively overperform. Watchmen was already pegged as a blockbuster, so even with an $80 m opening weekend, it would pale in comparison with Taken or Paul Blart's unexpected blockbuster success imo. We can't peg what will be exciting, it just happens. A big opening from Watchmen wasn't going to be that exciting anyhow, as we already knew it would probably be the biggest opening of the year up until this point. What will be exciting is the unexpected stuff. Like seeing something other than Monsters Vs Aliens and Fast and Furious open big, because we already know they will. Watchmen's weekend was going to be boring anyhow even with a $80 m opening because it was already pegged to be big. I would be more interested in seeing Witch Mountain overperform than Watchmen, because Witch Mountain didn't have as high expectations.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:22 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
BOM has WATCHMEN at $25,135,000

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:33 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Dude, an R-rated, 160-minute superhero movie nailed a $25 million opening day in March. It's certainly not a breakout (in fact, it's a couple notches below expectations), but it's also not boring.

And so what if Paul Blart and Taken are still holding up really well? Apart from Jonas Brothers, everything in the top 10 is holding pretty well. Going by those estimates, Madea is the only other holdover headed for a drop over 40% (though Slumdog is very close).

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:35 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
mark66 wrote:
BOM has WATCHMEN at $25,135,000


Variety confirms $25.1m
http://www.variety.com/article/VR134000 ... 1&nid=2854

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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
I agree with BK, working at a movie theater is pretty boring right now. Looking at these numbers is rather boring. Madea's breakout was awesome, but then it dropped 60% and JB bombed. And then with a totally empty market place Watchmen failed to ignite and will settle for expected numbers. Boring.
At my theater we sold about 250 tickets for Watchmen last night (may sound bad but the male college/young adult is by far are worst demographic) and we sold less than that to all other movies combined. So yes, I would call this and especially last weekend dull.
I can only hope that RTWM will ignite where watchmen failed to.

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Sat Mar 07, 2009 1:44 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
Slumdog's drop surprises me a bit. Sure last weekend was inflated a little bit, I'd still think it would drop around 30% though.

Ouch on Jonas Brothers, wow.

Right in line to what I was thinking for Watchmen. Saturday is the big question now. 10% drop? or up to 30% drop?? I'm sticking with 20% to lead into a $59 million weekend.


Sat Mar 07, 2009 2:00 pm
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Post Re: Friday Numbers (BOG)
At least Jonas Bros were destroyed. Further proof CORALINE needs to get back in those 3D screens.
Idiotic cinemas, maybe they'll do something right for once next week. Coraline still has gas in the tank.
Yes, it has Witch Mountain but its 3D has been really fantastic so I don't think it'll be affected at all.
2 more weeks and the demise of the J-bros. Couldn't be any better if that happened.

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