Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Sun Feb 16, 2020 8:16 pm



Reply to topic  [ 27 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
 February 14-17 predictions 
Author Message
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 15799
Location: San Diego
Post February 14-17 predictions
Welp. I think Sonic is gonna open well.

Sonic - 43 (4-day)
Fantasy Island - 15 (4-day)
The Photograph - 10 (4-day)
Downhill - I've never seen a trailer for this...

Hopefully Birds has a solid hold.


Fri Feb 07, 2020 4:00 pm
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 4844
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic PS looks good to me. Its gonna break out. I would say 50m over 4 days. Fantasy island does not even have much of previews(only 4 shows at AMC and none at cinemark). Dont see it doing well.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:18 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 20955
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic will dominate. Over 50m+

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:33 pm
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8299
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic - 55 (4-day)
Fantasy Island - 15 (4-day)
The Photograph - 10 (4-day)

Yeah I think Sonic is breaking out big time. I wouldn't be surprised if it did closer to $50M over the three day portion alone and ended up closer to $60M over the entire 4-Day weekend.


Fri Feb 07, 2020 7:46 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30727
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Well the market is still open for a breakout and the goodwill from design change plus family appeal makes it look like Sonic will benefit hugely


Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:07 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10799
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Paramount has done a very good job marketing Sonic after the design change.
I think it will breakout also.
50m 4 day looks real good now.


Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:37 pm
Profile WWW
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33379
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
The Photograph is being underestimated. I think it should do around 20 Million 4-Day.

_________________
Image


Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:19 am
Profile
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 56469
Location: The District
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Photograph is the only straight up romance film next weekend. It should have a super strong Friday to carry it to at least 15m 4-day.

_________________
MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sat Feb 08, 2020 9:15 am
Profile
Homo Dperious
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14039
Location: Everywhere
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic - 42m 4 day
Fantasy Island 20m 4 day
Photograph - 15m 4 day

BOP - -50% 3 day


Sun Feb 09, 2020 8:42 pm
Profile ICQ
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 56469
Location: The District
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic 50m 4-day feels wrong but also feels so right.

_________________
MadGez wrote:
Listen to Magnus he knows his shit.
Darth Indiana Bond wrote:
Magnus is right
trixster wrote:
magnus is my hero
Loyal wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Magnus is the fucking voice of reason.
That's scary.
bABA wrote:
fuck Magnus
zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Sun Feb 09, 2020 9:00 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30727
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Yeah with BoP doing muted numbers a much bigger Sonic opening feels weird.


Sun Feb 09, 2020 9:26 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 20955
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
My kids have been wanting to see Sonic for a while now and they had no idea who he was (I barely cared and I grew up in the Sonic era). The online goodwill is there and the market is ripe for it. I think $50m 4-day is a good bet but even $40m 4-day would still be very good.

At $50m 4-day it will end up somewhere near Detective Pikachu total.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Sun Feb 09, 2020 9:55 pm
Profile
Homo Dperious
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14039
Location: Everywhere
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic’s legs probably depend on how many kids see it without knowing who he is. If a lot do it could play more like a family movie than a video game movie.


Sun Feb 09, 2020 10:15 pm
Profile ICQ
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 20955
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Yes good point. I think its a bit of both but let's see which way it leans. It could play more like an Alvin & the Chipmunks than a Pikachu.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Mon Feb 10, 2020 12:55 am
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8299
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
I feel Sonic will play really well with older audiences as well as families though, especially those who grew up during the 80's and 90's. With the massive success of BBFL it really does seem as if 90's nostalgia is a thing again.


Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:13 am
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 4844
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
OD PS is super strong. i am thinking 50m+ 3 day and 65m over 4 day weekend for Sonic.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Tue Feb 11, 2020 12:42 am
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 16266
Location: Classified
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
My 6-screen theater is giving this two of them! It’s topping Detective Pikachu.


Wed Feb 12, 2020 12:47 am
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33379
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
***4-Day Predictions***

SONIC THE HEDGEHOG - 61.383 MILLION
THE PHOTOGRAPH - 19.515 MILLION
FANTASY ISLAND - 15.178 MILLION
PARASITE - 5 MILLION
DOWNHILL - 5 MILLION

_________________
Image


Wed Feb 12, 2020 1:32 am
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 4844
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Also photograph also has good OD PS. I would say 4-day > 20m at this point. Fantasy Island does not have thursday release(except 3 AMC theaters I saw !!!). that is the only one which looks like underperforming.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Wed Feb 12, 2020 2:41 am
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 16266
Location: Classified
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Sonic reviews are good too. Another case of a studio hiding good press for some reason but I don’t think it will matter as much as last week.


Thu Feb 13, 2020 12:34 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33379
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
At least Sonic was already looking like it was going to do killer before reviews. Harley Quinn could have used those early reviews.

_________________
Image


Thu Feb 13, 2020 2:57 pm
Profile
Hold the door!
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 15079
Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
I think this will do 60m 3 day and 75-80 for the 4 day.

_________________
Image


Thu Feb 13, 2020 5:57 pm
Profile
Wallflower
User avatar

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 33379
Location: Minnesota
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
zwackerm wrote:
I think this will do 60m 3 day and 75-80 for the 4 day.


That would be insane. The Box Office could certainly use this kind of hit right now.

_________________
Image


Thu Feb 13, 2020 7:07 pm
Profile
Why is the rum gone???
User avatar

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 30727
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Yeah I think this will breakout all signs are pointing out for a breakout. I can see doing BBFL numbers over 3-day.


Thu Feb 13, 2020 7:12 pm
Profile
Forum General

Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8299
Location: Houston, Texas
Post Re: February 14-17 predictions
Yeah Sonic is going to be BIG as I expected, but it's also looking like I really underestimated The Photograph as well. Based on Keyser Soze's PS data it looks like it could very well pull an upset over Fantasy Island over the weekend which is something I definitely wasn't expecting. That's what you fucking get when you hide reviews.


Thu Feb 13, 2020 9:57 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 27 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 10 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.