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 The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release) 
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Killing With Kindness
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Post The Avatar Prediction|Tracking Thread/ (Aug. 27 re-release)
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Release Date: December 18, 2009
Distributor: 20th Century Fox
Production Company(s): Lightstorm Entertainment
Director: James Cameron
Producer(s): James Cameron, Jon Landau
Executive/Associate Producer(s): Colin Wilson, ect.
Screen Writer(s)/ Writing Credits: James Cameron
Music/Composer: James Horner
Genre: Adventure, Sci-Fi, Thriller, Action, More
MPAA Rating: PG-13, for intense epic battle sequences and warfare, sensuality, language and some smoking
Avatar Cast:
Sam Worthington , Jake Sully
Zoe Saldana , Neytiri
Sigourney Weaver , Dr. Grace Augustine
Michelle Rodriguez , Trudy Chacon
Stephen Lang , Col. Quaritch
Giovanni Ribisi , Selfridge
Others
Official Website: Avatar Official Website
Plot Outline: A band of humans are pitted in a battle against a distant planet's indigenous population.

Movie Poster(s): :cool:
Image
Image
Image

Trailer(s):
-Teaser
-Full Length Theatrical Trailer

T.V. Appearances from cast:
-

BJs Official Prediction:
Avatar

Opening Day: 40.77m
2nd Day: 35.44m -13%
Opening Wknd: 106.32m - Fri: 40.77m / Sat: 35.44m -13% / Sun: 30.11m -15%
4-Day: 123.17m - Mon: 16.85m -44%
5-Day: 141.22m - Tue: 18.05m +7%
6-Day: 157.33m - Wed: 16.11m -10%
Opening Wk: 167.77m - Thur: 10.44m -35%
2nd Wknd: 81.64m -23% - Fri: 20.99m +100% / Sat: 31.66m +50% / Sun: 28.99m -8%
11-Day: 270.07m - Mon: 20.66m -28%
12-Day: 286.40m - Tue: 16.33m -20%
13-Day: 299.95m - Wed: 13.55m -16%
2nd Wk: 312.94m - Thur: 12.99m -4%
3rd Wknd: 62.43m -23% - Fri: 26.00m +100% / Sat: 22.10m -15% / Sun: 14.33m -35%
Wk-1: 167.77m - Wknd: 106.32m | Total: 167.77m
Wk-2: 145.17m - Wknd: 81.64m | Total: 312.94m
Wk-3: 84.38m - Wknd: 62.43m | Total: 397.33m
Wk-4: 58.15m - Wknd: 41.80m | Total: 455.48m
Wk-5: 50.30m - Wknd: 29.98m - 4-Day-Wknd: 40.38m | Total: 505.78m
Wk-6: 32.95m - Wknd: 22.75m | Total: 538.73m
Wk-7: 28.90m - Wknd: 18.95m | Total: 567.63m
Wk-8: 28.90m - Wknd: 20.05m | Total: 596.53m
Wk-9: 34.80m - Wknd: 23.10m - 4-Day-Wknd: 28.45m | Total: 631.33m
Wk-10: 26.75m - Wknd: 18.70m | Total: 658.08m
Wk-11: 25.80m - Wknd: 18.00m | Total: 683.88m
Wk-12: 27.00m - Wknd: 18.00m | Total: 710.88m
Wk-13: 33.50m - Wknd: 25.20m - | Total: 744.38m
Wk-14: 22.95m - Wknd: 16.55m | Total: 767.33m
Wk-15: 14.90m - Wknd: 10.45m | Total: 782.23m
Wk-16: 11.20m - Wknd: 6.75m | Total: 793.43m
Wk-17: 7.50m - Wknd: 5.05m | Total: 800.93m
Wk-18: 4.40m - Wknd: 3.25m | Total: 805.33m
Wk-19: 2.75m - Wknd: 2.05m | Total: 808.08m
Wk-20: 1.50m - Wknd: 1.10m | Total: 809.58m
Wk-21: .70m - Wknd: .50m | Total: 810.28m
Wk-22: .35m - Wknd: .25m | Total: 810.63m
Money Made After Wk-22: ~1m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 35
Wks at #1: 6 (consecutive)
Days over 1m 115 (consecutive)
Days to 50m: 2-Days - 76.21m
Days to 100m: 3-Days - 106.32m
Days to 150m: 6-Days - 157.33m
Days to 200m: 9-Days - 220.42m
Days to 250m: 11-Days - 270.07m
Days to 300m: 14-Days - 312.94m
Days to 350m: 16-Days - 361.04m
Days to 400m: 22-Days - 407.37m
Days to 450m: 27-Days - 452.22m
Days to 500m: 33-Days - 500.00m
Days to 550m: 44-Days - 551.90m
Days to 600m: 57-Days - 600.50m
Days to 650m: 66-Days - 650.00m
Days to 700m: 80-Days - 701.85m
Days to 750m: 93-Days - 755.80m
Days to 800m: 118-Days - 800.00m
Domestic Total: 811m
International Total: 1,190b
World Wide Total: 2b

Multiplyer: 7.62

:smile:



Predictions for Avatar

Opening Wknd:
LadiesMan - 35m
Excel - 45m
Jon - 53.3
2001 - 55m
Chip Munkington - 56m
Magnus - 60m
Zingy - 65m
Nebs - 65m
Archangel - 65m
Flava'd - 66m
Kris K - 70m
BJ - 106.32m

Average Opening Wknd Prediction: 61.80m


Domestic Total:
LadiesMan - 105m | multiplier - 3.00
Chip Munkington - 170m | multiplier - 3.04
Excel - 200m | multiplier - 4.44
Kris K - 210m | multiplier - 3.00
2001 - 230m | multiplier - 4.18
Zingy - 234m | multiplier - 3.60
Nebs - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Archangel - 240m | multiplier - 3.69
Jon - 242.5m | multiplier - 4.55
Magnus - 250m | multiplier - 4.17
Flava'd - 330m | multiplier - 5.00
BJ - 811m | multiplier - 7.62

Average Domestic Total Prediction: 271.875m

Average Multiplyer: 4.165


Other News:
-

Competition:
Nothing, will easily obliterate the lesser films around its release.

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Last edited by BJ on Mon Jul 19, 2010 10:24 pm, edited 9 times in total.



Sat May 31, 2008 5:50 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: The Avatar Predicton | Tracking Thread
:|


Sat May 31, 2008 5:51 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Predicton | Tracking Thread
snack wrote:
:|


Your baffled response baffles me. :unsure:

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Sat May 31, 2008 5:53 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I hope your prediction comes true. ;)

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Sat May 31, 2008 5:54 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Nazgul9 wrote:
I hope your prediction comes true. ;)


it will :yes:

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
It won't crack $300 mil.

:whaa:

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Sat May 31, 2008 6:29 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Munk·E wrote:
It won't crack $300 mil.

:whaa:

you'll be singing a different tune after you see the trailer :thumbsup:

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BJ wrote:
Munk·E wrote:
It won't crack $300 mil.

:whaa:

you'll be singing a different tune after you see the trailer :thumbsup:


As will you.

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Sat May 31, 2008 7:46 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Munk·E wrote:
BJ wrote:
Munk·E wrote:
It won't crack $300 mil.

:whaa:

you'll be singing a different tune after you see the trailer :thumbsup:


As will you.


not in a million ;)

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Sat May 31, 2008 7:48 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
What's Avatar even about?

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
box-2004 wrote:
What's Avatar even about?


The pictures we use when we post on a forum...I don't like that idea already! :P


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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
box-2004 wrote:
What's Avatar even about?

Image


Sat May 31, 2008 9:10 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
BUMP

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
65/234


Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:19 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
I've felt since day one if anything is going to take down Titanic, it'll be another Jim Cameron film.

And with all the references to Dances with Wolves and Pocahontas from Comic Con, I think Avatar has the romance angle covered. The Science Fiction/Fantasy, CGI 3D angle is covered. It's the perfect storm for mega success.


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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
LOL, I'm honestly not even sold on $200m yet. I could see this flopping big time.


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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
December is going to be fun!

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:23 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
You know what will be sad?

If Fox's A&C2 beat this movie.


Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:24 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
LadiesMan217 wrote:
You know what will be sad?

If Fox's A&C2 beat this movie.


Sad, or exciting?

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trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
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Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:26 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
ChipMunky wrote:
LadiesMan217 wrote:
You know what will be sad?

If Fox's A&C2 beat this movie.


Sad, or exciting?


Sad. I like A&C to some degree and was happy that it was hugely successful. A&C 2 will probably do similar business or slightly less but I don't want that to beat Avatar.

But it is the most family friendly movie of december and well it is coming off A&C, which kids absolutely loved.


Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:38 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Aside from I Am Legend, sci-fi has greatly struggled in December for many, many years.

Other than I Am Legend and TDTESS there have been no other sci fi films to open to $24 m or more. I Am Legend had the biggest box office star in the world to help it out.

2008
The Day the Earth Stood Still $79 m

2007
ALIENS VS. PREDATOR - REQUIEM
$42 m ($9.5 m opening day)

2005
Aeon Flux $26 m

2002
ST Nemesis $43 m

1999
Bicentennial Man $58 m

1998
STAR TREK: INSURRECTION $70 m

1996
Mars Attacks $38 m

Since 1992, December has been very difficult for sci-fi films. Even those with huge expectations disappoint (Mars Attacks). Outside of ST Insurrection and I Am Legend, it has been littered with flop after flop of sci fi films. I'm not saying that this will happen to Avatar, but it is important to consider just how unwelcoming the month can be for sci fi films. A $500 m leap is pushing it. A $300 m - 350 m total would be overperforming even more than I Am Legend, $400 m + would be from sweeping the Oscars. But $500 m? One can hope...


Sun Jul 26, 2009 2:39 pm
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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
Since many of Comic Con comments post screening mentioned fantasy elements (flying dragons, floating creatures), maybe you should compare it to fantasy films as well.


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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
It's a sci-fi film.

Not a fantasy film.

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shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
loyalfromlondon wrote:
Since many of Comic Con comments post screening mentioned fantasy elements (flying dragons, floating creatures), maybe you should compare it to fantasy films as well.


There are no flying dragons. Some flying creatures for sure though.

No floating creatures. There are floating mountains.


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Post Re: The Avatar Prediction | Tracking Thread
ChipMunky wrote:
It's a sci-fi film.

Not a fantasy film.


I would say it is more like sci-fi/fantasy/action/adventure/romance


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