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 Weekend Estimates 
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Sbil

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
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Post Weekend Estimates
1 OPEN SEASON $23,000,000 New $23,000,000
2 THE GUARDIAN $17,667,000 New $17,667,000
3 JACKASS: NUMBER TWO $14,010,000 -51.7% $51,452,000
4 SCHOOL FOR SCOUNDRELS $9,109,000 New $9,109,000
5 JET LI'S FEARLESS $4,702,000 -55.6% $17,785,000
6 GRIDIRON GANG $4,500,000 -52.4% $33,177,000
7 THE ILLUSIONIST $2,845,000 -14.7% $31,488,000
8 FLYBOYS $2,320,000 -61.4% $9,915,000
9 THE BLACK DAHLIA $2,069,000 -53.5% $20,683,000
10 LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE $2,020,000 -28.4% $53,162,000

11 ALL THE KING'S MEN $1,600,000 -56.4% $6,287,000
12 FACING THE GIANTS $1,389,000 New $1,389,000
13 THE COVENANT $1,300,000 -59.1% $22,239,000
14 THE LAST KISS $1,247,000 -50.3% $10,436,000
15 THE SCIENCE OF SLEEP $1,210,000 +247.8% $1,712,000 ($5,475 PTA)
16 EVERYONE'S HERO $1,115,000 -76.2% $13,240,000
17 INVINCIBLE $1,019,000 -60.0% $56,285,000

N/A N THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND $143,000 New $172,000 ($35,750 PTA)
N/A N THE QUEEN $123,000 New $123,000 ($41,000 PTA)

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =39&p=.htm


Sun Oct 01, 2006 12:27 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Full Estimates.

Solid numbers for Open Season, Jackass and Guardian.

The overall weekend made $85,231,000, well ahead of last year and slightly ahead of last weekend. The gap should get even bigger through October.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 12:42 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates
Libs wrote:
1

N/A N THE LAST KING OF SCOTLAND $143,000 New $172,000 ($35,750 PTA)
N/A N THE QUEEN $123,000 New $123,000 ($41,000 PTA)



Ok. Lets take a guess how many Little Miss Sunshine runs are left this year? I'm guessing at least 4, these being two of them. Yay! This is exciting!

Nice hold for Half Nelson in its 8th week (2,450 pta in 106 theatres). Why couldn't they get this film into at least 250 theatres? I don't think that's asking too much. What a botched distribution.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 12:50 pm
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Vagina Qwertyuiop
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Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


Sun Oct 01, 2006 12:54 pm
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Sbil

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Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


No.

September 14-16, 2001
1 N Hardball Par. $9,386,342 - 2,137 - $4,392 $9,386,342 1
2 N The Glass House Sony $5,738,448 - 1,591 - $3,606 $5,738,448 1


Sun Oct 01, 2006 12:56 pm
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Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


The way the fall schedule was originally lined up, Hugh Jackman had a shot at having the top 3 out of 5 movies at the box office (Prestige, Happy Feet, & Fountain). It's since been spaced out a bit, I think. Not sure which of them moved.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 1:02 pm
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Extraordinary

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Wow, The Queen had a higher PTA than Last King when it only played two days instead of three. It'd translate to $55K over 3 days. Splendid start.

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Sun Oct 01, 2006 1:30 pm
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Vagina Qwertyuiop
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Libs wrote:
Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


No.

September 14-16, 2001
1 N Hardball Par. $9,386,342 - 2,137 - $4,392 $9,386,342 1
2 N The Glass House Sony $5,738,448 - 1,591 - $3,606 $5,738,448 1


I said "actor", not "woman". Women don't take spots on the charts, they gratefully ride on the coat-tails of their more popular male co-stars. Diane Lane's twofer was a freak occurance, whereas Ashton's is down entirely to his raw talent and charismatically manly manliness.

I think it's clear in the case of Lane's two films, audiences flocked to see Keanu Reeves and Michael O Keefe, not Diane Lane.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 1:30 pm
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Even the shitty looking CGI films like Open Season seem to be costing an arm and a leg ( 85m )

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Sun Oct 01, 2006 2:18 pm
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Extraordinary

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Snrub wrote:
Libs wrote:
Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


No.

September 14-16, 2001
1 N Hardball Par. $9,386,342 - 2,137 - $4,392 $9,386,342 1
2 N The Glass House Sony $5,738,448 - 1,591 - $3,606 $5,738,448 1


I said "actor", not "woman". Women don't take spots on the charts, they gratefully ride on the coat-tails of their more popular male co-stars. Diane Lane's twofer was a freak occurance, whereas Ashton's is down entirely to his raw talent and charismatically manly manliness.

I think it's clear in the case of Lane's two films, audiences flocked to see Keanu Reeves and Michael O Keefe, not Diane Lane.


Lol!


Sun Oct 01, 2006 2:33 pm
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Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


Didnt Greg Kinear do it just a month ago with Invincible and Little Miss Sunshine.

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Sun Oct 01, 2006 2:35 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Open Season should do more than 23 million
Why do they think Open Season is only going to have a 6.7 million Sunday? It's Friday was 6.2 and then Saturday was 10.1... it could have a 8 million Saturday if it follows Over the Hedge or Madagascar.

Just think that there's a chance it could do more... anyone agree???


Sun Oct 01, 2006 3:13 pm
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That's a solid opening for Open Season, but as someone said before if it had opened a year or two ago, it'd have easily passed $30 million. Nowadays there are just way way way too many CGI animated flicks. Still if the estimateshold up, it'll be the biggest opening for an animated film since Cars and with practically nothing in its way, it'll be the reigning family flick in the marketplace until Flushed Away/The Santa Clause 3 arrive. I expect $90+ million for the total. It's like Shark Tale that was exceptionally leggy due to no competition throughout October. The film picked a great release date.

Jackass: Number Two held even a bit better than expected, considering it is a frontloaded sequel with a fanbase. It is heading north of $75 million right now.

The Illusionist...wow. This is unstoppable. They really should have gone 2,000 theatres with it. Should now make it to $40 million, maybe a tad more.

Little Miss Sunshine will have to fight its way to $60 million, but with awards buzz it will make that.

Invincible's chances to pass Friday Night Lights are dead for good now. It'll top out with around $59 million or so. Close, but not quite above FNL. Still good, especially for Wahlberg. With Four Brothers, Invincible and The Departed he'll have three solid hits in a row.

The Queen
has an incredible PTA, just astounding for two days! Yes, this year's Capote might just sound right.

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Libs wrote:
Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


No.

September 14-16, 2001
1 N Hardball Par. $9,386,342 - 2,137 - $4,392 $9,386,342 1
2 N The Glass House Sony $5,738,448 - 1,591 - $3,606 $5,738,448 1


Another weekend comes to mind.

June 26-28, 1998

Doctor Dolittle - 29.0m
Mulan - 17.0m

Both had Eddie Murphy.

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Sun Oct 01, 2006 4:11 pm
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Vagina Qwertyuiop
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Thegun wrote:
Snrub wrote:
Is this the first time an actor's taken the top two spots on the charts with two new movies?


Didnt Greg Kinear do it just a month ago with Invincible and Little Miss Sunshine.


Technically, no.

Little Miss Sunshine wasn't an opener, it had been in expansion for a number of weeks And it was at number 4 the week Invincible hit number one. Also I'm pretty sure Greg Kinnear's a woman. Which makes the entire discussion moot.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 4:40 pm
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Yeah Eddie Murphy was in a similar situation - animated and live action. But that was with one being a holdover...

What about Ian Mckellan - he did it over the Memorial Day weekend this year with X3 and DVC.

Also DiCaprio did the double too in 1998. Man in the Iron Mask opened to No.2 on March 13-15 while Titanic was in its 13th week at No.1.

Again all the above have one film being a holdover. Dont know of any that opened two films to 1/2 on the same weekend though.

Good grosses this week. October should make about $200-250m+ on last year which will be needed to help counteract the big three holiday films last year (Goblet/Narnia/Kong).

Looks like Gridiron Gang will have to settle for $45m or so and miss out on $50m.

Solid for Open Season - not bad for a non Pixar, non IceAge/Shrek film.

The Guardian did way more than i ever expected. Costner hasnt had an opener this big since Waterworld. I think this will hold up decently too - it has an A- cinemascore. $55-60m looks good.

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Sun Oct 01, 2006 7:29 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

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Chris Rock had Madagascar and Longest Yard, which were the Top 2 both in their 2nd weekends.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 8:07 pm
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Extraordinary

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Wouldn't it be interesting if the best actor and best actress winners both had their films open the same weekend in limited release? :biggrin:


Sun Oct 01, 2006 8:48 pm
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xiayun wrote:
Wow, The Queen had a higher PTA than Last King when it only played two days instead of three. It'd translate to $55K over 3 days. Splendid start.



Yeah, but being "tied" to the opening of the film festival helped it. I mean, if the festival had started on Friday, than yes, I agree the pta would have been closer to 55K, but if The Queen had opened on a regular weekend without the festival, it would be performing maybe 45K for the weekend. But I'm just guessing. It got alot of coverage here as the opener or the festival which, as we noticed on wednesday is in contrast to how people were scratching their heads at how unaware they were Last King was even opened (here anyways).


Sun Oct 01, 2006 9:41 pm
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Forest Whitaker will win, but it will be for Supporting Actor.


Sun Oct 01, 2006 10:10 pm
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