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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Biggest Opening Day in August?
What August release do you predict will have the largest opening day of the month?
Ricky Bobby is my prediction. An opening of 10-20 million seems possible and the month is so dull that it's possible. SOAP will also have a huge OD of anywhere from 7-14 million.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:38 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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It's just between Talladega Nights and Snakes on a Plane. I'm guessing around $14-15 million for Talladega Nights and $11-13 million for Snakes.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:40 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38018
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Talledega Nights, which I think will get around 16 mil.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:43 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Zingaling wrote: $11-13 million for Snakes.
Hope so as I want it to be a hit and prove once and for all the viability of the internet as a marketing tool. Plus, it doesn't hurt that the movie looks like fun.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:51 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Zingaling wrote: It's just between Talladega Nights and Snakes on a Plane. I'm guessing around $14-15 million for Talladega Nights and $11-13 million for Snakes.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:55 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25020 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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40m for snakes on a plane will be 40% of the films overall gross.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:56 am |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK
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Talledega Nights - 18m
Friday:18m
Saturday:16.2m -10%
Sunday:11.3m -30%
Opening Weekend - 45.5m
Snakes on a Plane - 22m
Friday:22m
Saturday:16.5m -25%
Sunday:11.5m -30%
Opening Weekend - 50m
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 2:58 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it. My prediction for SOAP is somewhere between 22-24 million so I think something like 9 million would bring it to 24 million
Last edited by El Maskado on Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:05 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it matatonio wrote: Zingaling wrote: It's just between Talladega Nights and Snakes on a Plane. I'm guessing around $14-15 million for Talladega Nights and $11-13 million for Snakes.
Just thought I'd take the liberty of quoting these two. You know, just incase. I mean, if it does open as low as some of you are saying (as in, under $20 million weekend), I'll be glad to admit I was wrong, but we've got an offer to eat a sock here!
Last edited by zingy on Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:12 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it
If it makes more than 6 million OD that's still more than it would have made had it been titled 'Pacific Air Flight 121' and thus a successful internet buzz campaign.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:12 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Zingaling wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it matatonio wrote: Zingaling wrote: It's just between Talladega Nights and Snakes on a Plane. I'm guessing around $14-15 million for Talladega Nights and $11-13 million for Snakes. Just thought I'd take the liberty of quoting these two. You know, just incase. I mean, if it does open as low as some of you are saying (as in, under $20 million weekend), I'll be glad to admit I was wrong, but we've got an offer to eat a sock here!
Actually mine is in the low 20s but under 20 million is possible. A 9 million opening would give it a 24 million weekend maybe less
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:15 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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i dont have a OW prediction yet but i have it making less than $40M
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:16 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Zingaling wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it matatonio wrote: Zingaling wrote: It's just between Talladega Nights and Snakes on a Plane. I'm guessing around $14-15 million for Talladega Nights and $11-13 million for Snakes. Just thought I'd take the liberty of quoting these two. You know, just incase. I mean, if it does open as low as some of you are saying (as in, under $20 million weekend), I'll be glad to admit I was wrong, but we've got an offer to eat a sock here!
I expect a video of the sock-eating to appear on YouTube as well.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:18 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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I've also said that under $20 million is definitely possible, but I don't think it'll happen. $9 million would bring in $22 million, IMO. It's definitely getting a terrible IM.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:18 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Zingaling wrote: I've also said that under $20 million is definitely possible, but I don't think it'll happen. $9 million would bring in $22 million, IMO. It's definitely getting a terrible IM.
Which is expected since the hype is in overdrive and has been for a while now. Everyone that wants to see it likely will opening day (I myself plan on seeing it at the 10PM shows on the 17th).
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:19 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Ill eat my sock if SOAP makes over 10 million opening day. Seriously which ever joker got everyone to go along with the high buzz joke ride should be rewarded because people are really falling for it. My prediction for SOAP is somewhere between 22-24 million so I think something like 9 million would bring it to 24 million
Hahaha, start cooking that sock. If it opens to $24 million, its opening day will almost certainly be at $10 million.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 3:53 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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To answer the question:
It'll be between Snakes on a Plane and Talladega Nights, but I give Talladega Nights the edge because of many more theatres and more universal profile.
Talladega Nights - $13.5-15.5 million
Snakes on a Plane - $12.5-13.5 million
SOAP's opening day will make up for around 20% of its total gross.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 4:01 am |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am Posts: 370
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There is no way snakes is going to make 40 million openingt weekend. IT will be lucky to break 25 million. The buzz is internet buzz. The movie looks dumb. Who actually wants to go see it? It's anaconda in the sky.. =p Ricky Bobby should break 10 million. Friday.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:01 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Supafroius wrote: There is no way snakes is going to make 40 million openingt weekend. IT will be lucky to break 25 million. The buzz is internet buzz. The movie looks dumb.
That the movie looks dumb is beside the point. People expect it to be dumb. That's part of the appeal I think. People want a B-movie that is made for the fans which it kind of is with the addition of extra scenes and lines as the request of the public.
Reason enough to see it: How many films actually go back and film extra scenes just to insure an R rating? Not many. Most cut scenes out to get a PG-13. That it goes against the grain in that respect is reason enough to support it because it has done something unique.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:55 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Dr. Lecter wrote: To answer the question:
It'll be between Snakes on a Plane and Talladega Nights, but I give Talladega Nights the edge because of many more theatres and more universal profile.
Talladega Nights - $13.5-15.5 million
Snakes on a Plane - $12.5-13.5 million
SOAP's opening day will make up for around 20% of its total gross.
Not even close. TN buzz on the net is just slightly behind SOAP and its trailer has been better received than SOAP. Not to mention it has the PG-13 edge, a few tie-in products, and wider appeal
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 12:03 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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A few product tie-ins? Heh. You're starting to sound like excel from over a month ago.
And I also don't think the trailer reactions were necessarily better. Maybe from your point of view, but there were tons of reports from X3 where people clapped for Snakes. Big laughs for Nights, claps for Snakes... one isn't significantly better.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 12:56 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21890 Location: Places
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talladega with about 16 million this friday.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:03 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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I'm still onboard with SOAP doing well, but Talladega will easily have the biggest opening day in August, around $17M or so.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:03 pm |
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Bodrul
All Star Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 11:21 am Posts: 4694 Location: Cambridge, England.
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Biggest opening day in August is over $23million isnt it, Rush Hour 2? Nothing will get close to it this year.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:07 pm |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am Posts: 370
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Bodrul wrote: Biggest opening day in August is over $23million isnt it, Rush Hour 2? Nothing will get close to it this year.
Pretty sure hes talking about this year.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 1:11 pm |
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