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 Weekend Estimates 
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
Post Weekend Estimates
Ice Age: The Meltdown - $34,500,000 -49.3% $116,428,000
The Benchwarmers - $20,500,000 NEW $20,500,000
Take the Lead - $12,775,000 NEW $12,775,000
Inside Man - $9,174,000 -40.6% $66,056,000
Lucky Number Slevin - $7,130,000 NEW $7,130,000
Failure to Launch - $4,107,000 -36.5% $79,121,000
ATL - $3,750,000 -67.5% $17,255,000
V for Vendetta - $3,365,000 -46.5% $62,257,000
Phat Girlz - $3,100,000 NEW $3,100,000
Thank You for Smoking - $2,400,000 +49.4% $6,284,000
Stay Alive - $2,156,000 -52.2% $20,440,000
She's the Man - $2,149,000 -51.5% $29,790,000
Slither - $1,528,000 -60.6% $6,478,000
Friends with Money - $637,000 NEW (PTA: $22,750) $637,000
Brick - $196,000 +134.5% $314,000


Last edited by zingy on Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:50 pm, edited 3 times in total.



Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:40 pm
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Vagina Qwertyuiop
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Poor Slither... :cry:


Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:46 pm
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Artie the One-Man Party

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Great for my derby.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:52 pm
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No Wire Tampons!

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decent for Friends With Money.

WHERE IS BASIC INSTINCT 2?!?!?! :D

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Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:52 pm
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College Boy Z

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Not too bad for Ice Age II. It'll stabilize next weekend and still make over $200 million total, but over $220 million is unlikely at this point. Still, excellent.

Also, nice surprise for The Benchwarmers. I never would have expected this film of all movies to make $20 million opening weekend. But, it's a nice little comedy so I'm glad it did well. Should make around $60 million total.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:55 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
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Ice Age 2 had the 2nd worst 2nd weekend drop for all animated films to pass $100 m. Toy Story 2 had the biggest 2nd weekend drop with close to 52%, but that had holidays. Any way you look at it, its a great 10 day total, but mixed word of mouth is coming into play. It really didn't have competition this weekend where it could have held onto more of its audience, which happens even for the big animated sequels. Last week's Friday-weekend multiplier also wasn't the best sign. Yes, its the sequel factor, but even for animated films, the sequel factor isn't as bad as it has been playing out w/ Ice Age 2. It could come close to getting under a 3 multiplier. I wonder how Ice Age 3 will do after this...

But regardless, its at a great total, but its rapid erosion is a bit troubling....even if it is a sequel.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 1:08 pm
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Extraordinary
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10 13 Thank You for Smoking FoxS $2,400,000 +49.4% 300 +174 $8,000 $6,284,000 - 4

Was hoping for 10,000 pta, but these are still very good numbers. Better expand north of 500 next weekend if it wants to keep momentum going.

- N Friends with Money SPC $637,000 - 28 - $22,750 $637,000 - 1

Actually, for 28 theatres, that's really good. I wasn't expecting that. Thre's been weak promotion too. I didn't even know it was coming out this weekend.

- 38 Brick Focus $196,000 +134.5% 21 +19 $9,333 $314,000 -

Not very impressive hold. I feel like this should have opened on 800 theatres and then ran with it. It missing the suburban teen audiences that would love it and drive its numbers up.

- 66 The Devil and Daniel Johnston SPC $33,000 +42.3% 12 +7 $2,750 $68,600 -

I want to see this, but its going to have an incredibly short run.

Great for Inside Man. It already overtook V for Vendetta on Saturday.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 1:20 pm
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Horror Hound
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Fantastic total for ICE AGE 2, harsh, expected drop.
Brilliant for BENCHWARMERS, i had it at around $18M.
TAKE THE LEAD did solid.

Phat Girlz and Slevin, weak.

Hills passes $40M :) So deserving.

Nice weekend....


Sun Apr 09, 2006 1:40 pm
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Madoshi
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Very impressive for Thank You For Smoking. IA2 I think shows that CGI is now like everything else - it too has front loaded sequals. The rest of last weeks openers pretty muched tanked on round 2, looks like IA2 is the only one to keep the drop under 60%. Given the R rating and venue count, et al, I think Slevin shows a reasonably nice opening. Everything else seems meh, but better than last year.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:19 pm
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Wallflower
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BENCHWARMERS did better than expected. I doubt it's going to have very good legs though.

TAKE THE LEAD had a softer debut but should have decent legs since WOM is really positive.

Hopefully SLEVIN stays above 7 Million with the actuals.

THANK YOU FOR SMOKING did good but they are crazy to put it in 1,000+ theaters next weekend. They are getting antsy. They should stick with 600+ like they were originally planning.

I'm surprised SLITHER dropped so much. It looks like it will slither to 10 Million if it's lucky. How unfortunate. Normally I would say it will do much better on DVD because that's usually the case, but it's cursed with being from Universal so it won't do so hot there either.

FRIENDS WITH MONEY did really well, which isn't surprising. I'm hoping it eventually expands to my theater since it seems great and I loved Lovely & Amazing.

BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN is just $30,000 away from 83 Million. It should get there soon but I'm just antsy to have it cross that amount.

I wish TRANSAMERICA could get to 10 Million. For now I'm just hoping to see it pass 9 Million though.

ON A CLEAR DAY did disappointing. It looked like it could be a sleeper hit.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:28 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Great for Benchwarmers, I'm surprised it grossed that much , I saw it Friday afternoon in a theater with 5 other people.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:24 pm
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Madoshi
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Felicity Titwank wrote:
decent for Friends With Money.

WHERE IS BASIC INSTINCT 2?!?!?! :D


Mojo has an estimate for it now.

16 10 Basic Instinct 2 Sony $1,000,000 -68.8%


Sun Apr 09, 2006 5:41 pm
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College Boy Z

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Basic Instinct 2 drops 69% in its second weekend.

How appropriate.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 5:47 pm
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The Incredible Hulk

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Eh, some boring weekend,huh?

As for Inside Man, maybe it'll do Along Came Polly numbers. Either it'll fall short of 90m or 95m.

IA2's drop is not as shocking as everyone thought it ought to be, although we live beyond or below our expectations. Should make 200m.

Slither and BI2's drops and numbers were as I expected, but a little bit surprising.

Take the Lead and Benchwarmers were below my expectations of their performances, though I expect their qualities to express some moral preachiness to cover up their flaws. Remember HITCH, starring Will Smith, and a bunch of teen movies? Or Dirty Dancing or other dance movies? Anyway, Benchwarmers should make $65m or $70m total

Did anyone notice that HP4 passed $290m on Tuesday?

V for Vendetta should pass either Kill Bill V.1 or V.2

Thank You For Smoking should make $15m or above while the distributors should slow things down

The rest is not worth mentioning


Sun Apr 09, 2006 9:15 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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IA2, Sunday was larger than friday... Save the planet... .. . .

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Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:55 am
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Indiana Jones IV
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Benchwarmers make a great opening. i'm glad Ice Age 2 makes a good hold. the numbers were nice for this weekend.


Mon Apr 10, 2006 11:55 am
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Sbil

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Variety on the indies of this weekend:

Variety wrote:
Smaller fare

In limited release, "Friends With Money" saw a very strong bow. Jennifer AnistonJennifer Aniston starrer grossed $636,681 at 28 theaters for an average of $22,739. Sony Pictures ClassicsSony Pictures Classics is planning to take the Nicole HolofcenerNicole Holofcener pic wide to about 800 plays in just two weeks, on April 21.

"The national press attention has been so great that we felt it should go wider quicker than normal," said SPC co-prexy Michael BarkerMichael Barker.

Brit import "On a Clear Day" didn't do much for Focus, grossing just $19,329 at five theaters in its debut for a per-play take of $3,866.

Sundance favorite "Brick" did just so-so after a very strong bow. Expanding from two to 28 theaters, high school noir grossed $196,375, or $9,351 per theater. Cume is $313,637. Focus plans to expand pic slowly over the next several weeks.

ThinkFilm's Passover comedy "When Do We Eat?" also had a weak bow, grossing just $146,356 at 48 locations in New York, L.A. and Miami, for $3,053 per play. Indie didn't report grosses for Ray RomanoRay Romano docudocu "95 Miles to Go" on two screens in Gotham and L.A., indicating a poor performance.

IFC's "I Am a Sex Addict" bowed to just $9,819 at two screens for an average of $4,910.


Wide release for Friends with Money on April 21.


Mon Apr 10, 2006 1:40 pm
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Extraordinary

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dolcevita wrote:
10 13 Thank You for Smoking FoxS $2,400,000 +49.4% 300 +174 $8,000 $6,284,000 - 4

Was hoping for 10,000 pta, but these are still very good numbers. Better expand north of 500 next weekend if it wants to keep momentum going.


They are expanding to over 1,000 theaters next weekend. Very good strategy if you ask me.

dolcevita wrote:
- N Friends with Money SPC $637,000 - 28 - $22,750 $637,000 - 1

Actually, for 28 theatres, that's really good. I wasn't expecting that. Thre's been weak promotion too. I didn't even know it was coming out this weekend.


Yeah, I agree the number is wonderful. And same here, I didn't sense high awareness before the weekend.

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Mon Apr 10, 2006 1:43 pm
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