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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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 April 7-9 predictions Take The Lead (2800) $19m
Benchwarmers (3100+) $15m
Lucky Number Slevin (1700) $9m
Phat Girlz (1100) $6m
Last edited by getluv on Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:00 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 1:55 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Benchwarmers- $16.5M
Take the Lead- $12M
Lucky Number Sleven- $8.1M
Phat Girlz- $2.3M
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 1:57 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Take the Lead - $15 million
The Benchwarmers - $11 million
Lucky Number Slevin - $6 million
Phat Girlz - $4 million
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 1:59 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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The whole fun of doing insanely early predictions for the next weekend, is to also include the big holdovers from the previous week!
1 Ice Age 2 $39.6 m -45% from $72 m weekend. Ice Age 1 dropped 35% in its 2nd weekend, so I don't think IA2 will have the best holdover animated film wise.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:03 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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Take the Lead - $15 million
The Benchwarmers - $10.5 million
Lucky Number Slevin - $6 million
Phat Girlz - $3.5 million
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:04 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40247
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The Benchwarmers - 13.5 million
Take the Lead - 10.7 million
Lucky Number Slevin - 4.3 million
Phat Girls - 3.9 million
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:05 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Ice Age II won't drop 45%. It's the start of Spring Break for a lot of people next weekend.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:05 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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O wrote: The whole fun of doing insanely early predictions for the next weekend, is to also include the big holdovers from the previous week!
1 Ice Age 2 $39.6 m -45% from $72 m weekend. Ice Age 1 dropped 35% in its 2nd weekend, so I don't think IA2 will have the best holdover animated film wise. I only predict holdovers when their estimates are released.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:06 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Put me among those that think Ice Age 2 will drop 40%+. The original had a pretty meh multiplier, especially when compared to Shrek (6.31) and Toy Story (6.59). Their sequel's multipliers were about two-thirds of these (TS2 4.28, S2 4.09). I don't see this dropping any less then say, 38%.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:22 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Still, Ice Age 2 will hold the record for biggest April weekend gross of All Time easily, beating Anger Management's 42.2M. Has a movie ever done that before?
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Positive Jon wrote: Still, Ice Age 2 will hold the record for biggest April weekend gross of All Time easily, beating Anger Management's 42.2M. Has a movie ever done that before? I think Ice Age II counts as a March film.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:47 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40247
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The 2nd weekend will actually beat the record, I believe that's what he's referring to.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:50 pm |
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Jiffy
Forum General
Joined: Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:27 pm
Posts: 6152
Location: New York
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Positive Jon wrote: Still, Ice Age 2 will hold the record for biggest April weekend gross of All Time easily, beating Anger Management's 42.2M. Has a movie ever done that before? The Passion did it in March.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:55 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Shack wrote: The 2nd weekend will actually beat the record, I believe that's what he's referring to. Yep.
Ah, thanks Jiffy.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:01 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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So is a 2nd mammoth really worth an additional $30 m opening weekend? 
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:06 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35200
Location: Minnesota
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TAKE THE LEAD - 17.2 MILLION
THE BENCHWARMERS - 12.9 MILLION
LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN - 9.5 MILLION
PHAT GIRLZ - 7.1 MILLION
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:29 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ice Age 2 won't drop over 40% with those lame new releases. It will set the standard for Cars to match later on this year.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 4:42 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Take the Lead - 15 mil.
The Benchwarmers - 11 mil.
Phat Girlz(shudder) - 5 million
Lucky Number Slevin- 4 million
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 4:43 pm |
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misterglass
Iron Man
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm
Posts: 678
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After how poorly I did last weekend, I should never make a prediction again, but...
Take the Lead 16 milion
The Benchwarmers 14 million
Lucky Number Slevin 6 million
Phat GIrlz 4 million
_________________
misterglass/NYC
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:34 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Two more small openers. I hate this.
TTL - 11m
Benchwarmers - 12m
Slevin - 6m
Phat Girlz - 
IA2: -34%
ATL: -52%
Slither: -62%
BI2: -79% - Seriously, I think this might drop more then Gigli.
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:56 pm |
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Outatime
Veteran
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:00 pm
Posts: 3413
Location: South Florida
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Take the Lead - $16.7m
The Benchwarmers - $15.5m
Lucky Number Slevin - $8.0m
Phat Girlz - $4.3m
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| Sat Apr 01, 2006 11:48 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32578
Location: the last free city
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Take The Lead $18m
Benchwarmers $12m
Lucky Number Slevin $6m
Phat Girlz $4m
IA2 $38.6m
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:01 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12193
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With the smaller than expected Sat drop, I don't see Ice Age 2 at all beating the drop of the 1st...
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| Sun Apr 02, 2006 12:32 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35200
Location: Minnesota
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*****MY EARLY PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT WEEKEND*****
1. ICE AGE 2 - 42.3 MILLION
2. TAKE THE LEAD - 17.2 MILLION
3. THE BENCHWARMERS - 12.9 MILLION
4. LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN - 9.5 MILLION
5. INSIDE MAN - 9.4 MILLION
6. PHAT GIRLZ - 7.1 MILLION
7. ATL - 6 MILLION
8. FAILURE TO LAUNCH - 4.2 MILLION
9. V FOR VENDETTA - 3.4 MILLION
10. SHE'S THE MAN - 2.9 MILLION
11. THANK YOU FOR SMOKING - 2.7 MILLION
12. SLITHER - 2.4 MILLION
13. STAY ALIVE - 2.1 MILLION
14. THE SHAGGY DOG - 1.9 MILLION
*ON A CLEAR DAY - $50,000
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| Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:33 pm |
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AlexGTX
Speed Racer
Joined: Thu Dec 29, 2005 9:16 pm
Posts: 192
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1- Ice Age 2- 41.7
2- The Benchwarmers- 17.6
3- Inside Man 9.5
4- Take The Lead 7.9
5- ATL- 5.3
6- Failure To launch- 4
7- Lucky Number Slevin- 3.9
8- V for Vendetta- 3.5
9- Phat Girls- 2.7
10- Shes The Man- 2.7
Other 5-
Thank You For Smoking- 2.5
Slither- .9
Stay Alive- 1.2
Basic Instinct 2- .7
The Shaggy Dog- 1.4
Expect Phat Girls and Lucky Number Slevin to perfrom like Slither and Basic Instinct 2 as everyone that I know that has heard of Phat Girls thinks it looks stupid and ATL should keep it from doing any kind of decent bussiness this weekend. As for Lucky Number Slevin there isnt that much appeal and awareness so expect Slither type numbers or Domino type numbers the highest. The Benchwarmers should do the best of the newcomers as appeal is high and many teens will dig into it and everyone is pretty much aware that its coming out. Take The Lead should underperform this weekend I have a big feeling it will do worse than what I predicted, yes i know it sold out its sneakpeaks, but it has to compete with Ice Age 2 for the little kids and as for teens im pretty sure any teenager is going to go see The Benchwarmers over Take The Lead.
_________________
See Hard Candy!
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| Sun Apr 02, 2006 1:55 pm |
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