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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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 RV prediction thread (Robin Williams) Release Date: April 28, 2006
Studio: Columbia Pictures
Director: Barry Sonnenfeld
Screenwriter: Lowell Ganz, Babaloo Mandel, Geoff Rodkey
Starring: Robin Williams, Kristin Chenoweth, Jeff Daniels, Tony Hale, Cheryl Hines, Josh Hutcherson, Jojo Levesque
Genre: Adventure, Comedy, Family
Trailer: http://www.apple.com/trailers/sony_pict ... /high.html - attached to PINK PANTHER
.........................
Has a good chance for $100m.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 2:48 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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Does anybody notice this is JoJo's second movie in 2 months. Her first being Aquamarine opening March 3. The funny thing is this was originally supposed to opening in March and Aquarmarine was to open in April.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 4:15 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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The trailer was funny....i see big numbers...
$30,000,000
$110,000,00
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 4:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Coming from one of the few people who said The Pacifier would make $100M last year, I'll say that this is not The Pacifier. It has a trailer that had laughs, but the trailer needs to be seen more. If Pink Panther is big, then it'll attract more viewers.
18/63.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:05 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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I think it looks weak, and I'm guessing they are dumping it. 7m/17m
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:11 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Dumping it at the end of April where no kids films are being released. Yeah what a stupid move, or what a stupid thing to say.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:30 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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getluv wrote: Dumping it at the end of April where no kids films are being released. Yeah what a stupid move, or what a stupid thing to say. Ok.....
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:38 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Well why do you think its a dump?
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:51 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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It looks awful. I see around $40-45M total.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:54 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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getluv wrote: Well why do you think its a dump? Typical date for a movie to be dumped. It doesn't seem like the studio has done anything to build buzz so far. The movie just looks like the type to be dumped.  Compared to just about ever successful comedy, the concept is weak.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 5:59 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Sony has over 10 weeks to go.
These concepts always worked. Yes, its generic and for the most part unfunny. But when it comes to these sorts of movies, the more i hate it, the more it makes.
End of April can't be a dumping ground, when such films like SILENT HILL, FLIGHT 93,
The film went in to post-production just before Christmas. Yet to be rated. Most dumps are often rated many months in advance. Sony saw the oppurtunity to advertise PP, a very likely candidate for #1 this weekend, so it will have exposure. A trailer for WASC wasn't released until after Christmas but it was released in the first week of Feb. Barely 6 weeks.
End of Feb to mid-March sees 4 kids/family movies released. Early May has none. RV is also getting a simulatenous release (same-day to 2 weeks) apart from other countries, films delayed months for international territories indicates a studio/distributor wants to save money by not printing more prints.
And there is no such thing as family films being dumped. They all make money. Every family film is strategically placed on a release date schedule.
Last edited by getluv on Fri Feb 10, 2006 6:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 6:22 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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getluv wrote: Sony has over 10 weeks to go.
These concepts always worked. Yes, its generic and for the most part unfunny. But when it comes to these sorts of movies, the more i hate it, the more it makes.
End of April can't be a dumping ground, when such films like SILENT HILL, FLIGHT 93,
The film went in to pre-production just before Christmas. Yet to be rated. Most dumps are often rated many months in advance. Sony saw the oppurtunity to advertise PP, a very likely candidate for #1 this weekend, so it will have exposure. A trailer for WASC wasn't released until after Christmas but it was released in the first week of Feb. Barely 6 weeks.
End of Feb to mid-March sees 4 kids/family movies released. Early May has none. RV is also getting a simulatenous release (same-day to 2 weeks) apart from other countries, films delayed months for international territories indicates a studio/distributor wants to save money by not printing more prints. Ok, all very good points.
I don't think the trailer shows much commercial potential, but we will see.
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 6:24 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40592
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Seen lots of ads and trailers for it, but I just don't think it looks appealing.
15/39
Big time early May movies will eat away it's legs.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 9:12 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21896
Location: Walking around somewhere
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I like this ones chances, Williams has been absent for a little bit, should do decently.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Fri Feb 10, 2006 9:32 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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It looks generic but I have a hard time betting against these family comedies. It looks like Cheaper by the Dozen for some reason, a good thing for the studio since that film was a big hit. It should also benefit from opening near the summer when people are most likely to go on such vacations. It could also have worked as a Christmas release. It may be nice to see Williams back to doing comedy.
18/60
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 2:11 am |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm
Posts: 20411
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Robin Williams deserves a hit as well.
I like the fact he has made a few indies over the last few years.
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:15 am |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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I actually think it looks good. But then, I love the Vacation movies...
I can see this one being huge! ish!
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 9:22 am |
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zennier
htm
Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:38 pm
Posts: 10316
Location: berkeley
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Surprise hit of the year.
50/200.
Count on it.
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 10:13 am |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
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It kinda looks like a cross between National Lampoon's Vacation and that episode of the Simpsons when Homer bought a crappy RV not wanting to be outdone by the Flandereses.
The good news is, if they take their cue from The Simpsons episode, Robin Williams doesn't even need to be covered in mud to be mistaken for Bigfoot. All he has to do is take off his shirt.
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 10:22 am |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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Quote: Surprise hit of the year.
50/200.
Count on it. Not original and probably not good enough to break out like that. I wouldn't rule out 100 million though.
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 1:17 pm |
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zennier
htm
Joined: Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:38 pm
Posts: 10316
Location: berkeley
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the french man wrote: Quote: Surprise hit of the year.
50/200.
Count on it. Not original and probably not good enough to break out like that. I wouldn't rule out 100 million though. .
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| Sat Feb 11, 2006 11:42 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Tracking is at $25M, and its opening in 3,100+ theaters.
Sounds good to me:
Opening: 22.0
Total: 74.7 (3.40)
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| Thu Apr 20, 2006 5:16 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I'll stick with the original prediction. Ice Age II will be below $10 million next weekend, so really, there's not much competiton for RV. It's tracking well, but then again, The Shaggy Dog tracked at around the same amount and opened with $16 million.
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| Thu Apr 20, 2006 5:18 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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14m/48m
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 5:38 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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21m/70m
Looks kinda hokey, but the trailer has gotten some good laughs. The tracking just might be accurate with this.
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:56 am |
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