Yahoo Review Thread - 2010
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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thats pretty good for The grudge!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:39 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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xiayun wrote: Dropping from C to D+ with 3 more votes is really weird. Even all 3 are F, the average still doesn't work out. What I suspect is that Yahoo is doing clean up of the reviews every 2 hours, so the first hour we see big increase, and then the second hour Yahoo filtered out some of the F's and A+'s, as well as including all the new reviews that came in during that hour, so the total increase for that hour is small and may even be negative, although the grade could change quite a bit.
Makes sense. I hadn't thought of that.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:41 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The ratio for I Heart Huckabees should be smaller to a film with similar theater count. Before today, in limited release, it had 354 reviews with a total gross of $2,905,296 for a ratio of 121.85. I think its ratio today should be similar to Garden State. Still, it needs to at least get to 100.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 6:48 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Grudge 782, +55, B
Surviving Christmas 166, +14, D+
I Heart Huckabees - 394, 40 Friday, +5, B-
Last edited by xiayun on Fri Oct 22, 2004 7:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 7:58 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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xiayun wrote: The ratio for I Heart Huckabees should be smaller to a film with similar theater count. Before today, in limited release, it had 354 reviews with a total gross of $2,905,296 for a ratio of 121.85. I think its ratio today should be similar to Garden State. Still, it needs to at least get to 100.
Before GS went wide it had a total ratio of just over 210. That decreased by about 30% due to the expansion. I Heart Huchabees is having an even more dramatic expansion, but even if the ratio reduction is similar, the new ratio would be about 85 for today. I think that's more or less what we will see from it.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:11 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Wow, ComingSoon.net is going to be pretty close on Surviving Christmas. I think they predicted less than 5 million opening.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:14 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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The Grudge is doing pretty well, it seems.
I can't believe how horrible Surviving Chritsmas is going!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:22 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Grudge 812, +30, B
Surviving Christmas 176, +10, D+
I Heart Huckabees - 399, 45 Friday, +5, B-
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:36 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:41 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday?
DP does it better. 7 hours left, and it doesn't look good for Surviving Christmas. It needs about 20 per hour to get to 300, which I think it will just get to. That translate to 2M with my ratio prediction earlier. However, the grade is horrible, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a ratio of 200 or higher for a 1.2-1.5M opening day.
Basically, if it doesn't have the night increase (30-50 range) to lower the ratio, it's dead in the water.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:49 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday? DP does it better. 7 hours left, and it doesn't look good for Surviving Christmas. It needs about 20 per hour to get to 300, which I think it will just get to. That translate to 2M with my ratio prediction earlier. However, the grade is horrible, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a ratio of 200 or higher for a 1-1.5M opening day. Basically, if it doesn't have the night increase (30-50 range) to lower the ratio, it's dead in the water.
lol! i predicted a $12M weekend!!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:51 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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The Grudge is one of the worst movies i have seen this year.It will open good but the WOM will be bad and it will drop bad.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:08 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am Posts: 9247
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neo_wolf wrote: The Grudge is one of the worst movies i have seen this year.It will open good but the WOM will be bad and it will drop bad.
Wha? Why is it so bad (no spoilers, please)?
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:09 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday? DP does it better. 7 hours left, and it doesn't look good for Surviving Christmas. It needs about 20 per hour to get to 300, which I think it will just get to. That translate to 2M with my ratio prediction earlier. However, the grade is horrible, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a ratio of 200 or higher for a 1.2-1.5M opening day. Basically, if it doesn't have the night increase (30-50 range) to lower the ratio, it's dead in the water.
Thank you.
Man, that's pretty darn bad! I mean this movie has some stars and it opened in 2750 theatres and it is probably going to make like $4 million this weekend and around $10 million in total!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:17 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday? DP does it better. 7 hours left, and it doesn't look good for Surviving Christmas. It needs about 20 per hour to get to 300, which I think it will just get to. That translate to 2M with my ratio prediction earlier. However, the grade is horrible, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a ratio of 200 or higher for a 1.2-1.5M opening day. Basically, if it doesn't have the night increase (30-50 range) to lower the ratio, it's dead in the water.
hehe xiayun, I haven't been right more often then you in the past. Don't be so humble. :wink:
Anyway, with a lower theater count then I thought it was getting, I still have the same ratio projection due to the TC being offset by the grade. So, I'd say about 2.2-2.3 with 340 reviews. However, xiayun is right, it could be well under 2m due to the grade. However, the genre doesn't tend to have the highest ratios, so 3m might just be possible as well. In other words, I think this movie is somewhat difficult to predict.
The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m
I expect I Heart Huckabees to get 105 reviews with good increases into the night. That would be about 1.24m Friday. Maybe I'm wrong about the ratio reduction though. It could be over 100, with a number of about $800,000.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:21 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Xiayun, you are a pro at that, so tell me, how much will SC make on Friday? DP does it better. 7 hours left, and it doesn't look good for Surviving Christmas. It needs about 20 per hour to get to 300, which I think it will just get to. That translate to 2M with my ratio prediction earlier. However, the grade is horrible, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a ratio of 200 or higher for a 1.2-1.5M opening day. Basically, if it doesn't have the night increase (30-50 range) to lower the ratio, it's dead in the water. hehe xiayun, I haven't been right more often then you in the past. Don't be so humble. :wink: well. In other words, I think this movie is somewhat difficult to predict. The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m
It might get a $35 million weekend then!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:23 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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makeshift_wings wrote: neo_wolf wrote: The Grudge is one of the worst movies i have seen this year.It will open good but the WOM will be bad and it will drop bad. Wha? Why is it so bad (no spoilers, please)?
It didnt scare me one bit,It bored me almost to tears.I took my 12 year old sister and she also said it was crap,The film tried to hard to get scares.
SPOilers!!!!!
One thing that really annoyed me was that in the supposed scary parts the director cuts away to fast in some scenes,and he uses Catboy to damn much.Everyone in the theatre starting laughing when the annoying groul started.The film consisted in this:
1.Catboy mewoing
2.The dead woman spirit crawling around
3.A couple of flashbacks
4.The grouling
In the security camera scene everyone started laughing(most anyway),One lady next to me said that it looked lkike the ring(and i cant blame her,the scene did look like the ring).
Its the third worst film ive seen this year.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:24 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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I think the ratio for the Grudge will be at the high end of its genre. I'm still looking at a 10M opening day. So the average prediction of 25M looks to be right on target.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:28 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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DP07 wrote: The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m
You can't be serious. I would die if that were true.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:28 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Looks like The Grudge might turn out as this year's The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:29 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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micasey300 wrote: DP07 wrote: The Grudge should get about 1450 reviews. With a ratio of around 100-130 that would be 11m-14.5m You can't be serious. I would die if that were true.
Yeah, it could be at the higher end of the genre. Still 175 or so is about as high as I think it could go. That would still be 8.3 with 1450 reviews.
I'm going with a bit of a frontloaded pattern in predicting 1450. It could be easily 1600.
We will see but it seems to be doing very well.
Last edited by DP07 on Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:32 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10909
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Looks like The Grudge might turn out as this year's The Texas Chainsaw Massacre.
Your avatar scares me!
Its 1,000,000.00 more scary than the grudge.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:32 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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neo_wolf wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Looks like The Grudge might turn out as this year's The Texas Chainsaw Massacre. Your avatar scares me! Its 1,000,000.00 more scary than the grudge.
I was actually looking forward to The Grudge...the trailer looks very freaky and Ring-ish.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:34 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Grudge 927, +115, B
Surviving Christmas 201, +25, D+
I Heart Huckabees - 406, 52 Friday, +7, B-
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 9:34 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Grudge 1028, +101, B
Surviving Christmas 220, +19, D+
I Heart Huckabees - 415, 61 Friday, +9, B-
Two great increases in a row for The Grudge, and we should expect 3 more hours of 100+ increase. 10M is looking more and more likely.
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Fri Oct 22, 2004 10:35 pm |
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