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 It's 5th Weekend BEGINS!! 7.1M+ 
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Commander and Chef

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Post It's 5th Weekend BEGINS!! 7.1M+
Yup.

I'm gonna continue supporting this. I'll be the first to admit that even though i thought it had a chance at a good WOM, i never thought it could have legs. But .. my opinion is changing of it. I was wrong about it's first weekend take but i love how the drops and gains for this movie worked out. Batman is seeing 30 mil come monday actual figures and nothing more than a 38% drop.

bABA has spoken. The box office will obey.


Last edited by bABA on Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:24 pm, edited 7 times in total.



Tue Jun 21, 2005 4:50 pm
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Although I don't think it will pass $30 million I am hoping it does! If it hits $30 million then it has a very very good chance at my $215 million 'prediction.'


Tue Jun 21, 2005 4:53 pm
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BATMAN!


Tue Jun 21, 2005 4:54 pm
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OK......

well it is very possible, but i dont think it will drop less than 40%.... :-k


Tue Jun 21, 2005 4:55 pm
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It will get close.... but not close enough.

Tue: $6.06 million (-9%)
Wed: $5.46 million (-10%)
Thur: $5.35 million (-2%)
Fri: $8.77 million (+64%)
Sat: $10.96 million (+25%)
Sun: $8.11 million (-26%)

3-Day: $27.85 million (-42.9%)


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:00 pm
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I dont know how popular Bewitched is in US but I say Batman has a real good chance to be number one next weekend.
But unfortunately it will not get 30 (which btw would be very deserved)

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:01 pm
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It very much depends on its friday's increase. Mr and Mrs Smith had a 90%+ increase for friday. Hulk had 40% for friday. T3 had 63%. I think somehwere between 60-70% would be good


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:08 pm
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A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:09 pm
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I'm not sure it can get over $30M, but I'm predicting it to edge Bewitched for #1, as of now.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:11 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:28 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


why wouldnt it :???:

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:37 pm
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MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:42 pm
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Commander and Chef

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you all just wait and see.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:45 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


thats not a fair comparison, T3 had to deel with the 4th of July being on its first friday.

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:45 pm
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BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


thats not a fair comparison, T3 had to deel with the 4th of July being on its first friday.


Well its quite fair since BB was released on wednesday so the increase for a friday wasnt going to act like Shrek 2 but I cant compare it to Spiderman 2 or Matrix Reloaded since they opened much higher


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:47 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


thats not a fair comparison, T3 had to deel with the 4th of July being on its first friday.


Well its quite fair since BB was released on wednesday so the increase for a friday wasnt going to act like Shrek 2 but I cant compare it to Spiderman 2 or Matrix Reloaded since they opened much higher


There daily patterns are just not at all similar enough for any comparisons of the two to be fair, and I can not find even one film to compare BB to ](*,) It started out just as frontloaded as most blockbusters do but then it exploded like a shrek 2 ( but on a lesser scale) into the wknd :???: So with no films to compare BB to I think any predictions posted for its 2nd wknd are going to be purely the opinions of all of us. As for me I see it landing anywere between 25m-27m. Anything obove that would make me very happy :cool:

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:57 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


thats not a fair comparison, T3 had to deel with the 4th of July being on its first friday.


Well its quite fair since BB was released on wednesday so the increase for a friday wasnt going to act like Shrek 2 but I cant compare it to Spiderman 2 or Matrix Reloaded since they opened much higher


What? I'm confused. :???: BJ is absolutely right. That's not a fair comparison because July 4th is the worst holiday for movies, and T3 happened to have its first Friday on that day. It's the reason why it increased only 9%. It would have increased much more if it wasn't for July 4th. The logic of using it as a counter-argument against Casey's statement was therefore flawed.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 5:59 pm
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xiayun wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
MG Casey wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
A large portion of the audience is over 25, so I'm sure the increase will be around 70%.

I doubt its increase will be over its previous Friday increase.


T3 only increased 9% on its 3rd day in friday but had a 63% increase the following friday


thats not a fair comparison, T3 had to deel with the 4th of July being on its first friday.


Well its quite fair since BB was released on wednesday so the increase for a friday wasnt going to act like Shrek 2 but I cant compare it to Spiderman 2 or Matrix Reloaded since they opened much higher


What? I'm confused. :???: BJ is absolutely right. That's not a fair comparison because July 4th is the worst holiday for movies, and T3 happened to have its first Friday on that day. It's the reason why it increased only 9%. It would have increased much more if it wasn't for July 4th. The logic of using it as a counter-argument against Casey's statement was therefore flawed.


damn straight, there is no posible comparison at the moment.

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:01 pm
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But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:03 pm
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bj, filmo and me ... the coalition of the willing.


Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:04 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


they are not fair comparisons, those films all showed signs of frontloading in the opening wknd alone, BB has not done that al all.

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:07 pm
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BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


they are not fair comparisons, those films all showed signs of frontloading in the opening wknd alone, BB has not done that al all.


BJ, ones a comic book movie and the other was an action film that had a huge fanbase but lost most of it due to a wait too long among people 25 and over. I think its fair since BB fits both those


Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:10 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


they are not fair comparisons, those films all showed signs of frontloading in the opening wknd alone, BB has not done that al all.


BJ, ones a comic book movie and the other was an action film that had a huge fanbase but lost most of it due to a wait too long among people 25 and over. I think its fair since BB fits both those


Im not talking about what tipe of film each of them is here, Im talking about box office performance so far in each films run. BB clearly out performs all those comparisons.

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Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:14 pm
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BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


they are not fair comparisons, those films all showed signs of frontloading in the opening wknd alone, BB has not done that al all.


BJ, ones a comic book movie and the other was an action film that had a huge fanbase but lost most of it due to a wait too long among people 25 and over. I think its fair since BB fits both those


Im not talking about what tipe of film each of them is here, Im talking about box office performance so far in each films run. BB clearly out performs all those comparisons.


Comparison chart you mean? Hmm how about Planet of the Apes or MIB2 to test their day by day hold?I dont want to jump the gun yet, I have been jinxing stuff lately so I will have to see tommorrows number too before I celebrate its numbers


Tue Jun 21, 2005 6:18 pm
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El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
BJ wrote:
El_Masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
But it would increase at least 60% if the Hulk increased 40% too. T3 was able to increase 62% and it almost follows the same pattern as BB. Well not as good


they are not fair comparisons, those films all showed signs of frontloading in the opening wknd alone, BB has not done that al all.


BJ, ones a comic book movie and the other was an action film that had a huge fanbase but lost most of it due to a wait too long among people 25 and over. I think its fair since BB fits both those


Im not talking about what tipe of film each of them is here, Im talking about box office performance so far in each films run. BB clearly out performs all those comparisons.


Comparison chart you mean? Hmm how about Planet of the Apes or MIB2 to test their day by day hold?


No we dont need any comparison charts to see if films are performing similarly, the last two films posted are once agian not good comparisons, one is a friday opener and the otrher opens over 4th of july wknd, which seems to be a favored wknd for most wednesday openers.

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