Massive. For comparison, HP7-1 did $114m on its 2nd weekend OS for a total of $383m, which is $88m less. No way Pirates misses $700m OS, in fact, i see it topping ROTK at this rate (did Potter open in all big markets at that point?).

Pirates has opened everywhere. It needs an average drop of 41% to make another 300M which is required to beat ROTK. I doubt if that will happen. But 700M looks likely.

I know. My question was, did Potter? So that one could better compare the numbers.

It's $270m, btw.

270M is possible though not probable. Potter opened everywhere but following territories. France and Korea are 2 big markets.


Serbia 21 November 2010 (Sava Centar)
France 24 November 2010
Switzerland 24 November 2010 (French speaking region)
Hungary 25 November 2010
Georgia 26 November 2010
South Africa 26 November 2010
Armenia 4 December 2010
Hong Kong 16 December 2010
South Korea 16 December 2010

Wow great number. $650m OS is happening for sure and most likely $675m, let's see if it can cross past $700m OS total.

Yeah, it opened in France on its 2nd weekend (despite that, Potter did less on the weekend than Pirates 4 with no new openings). In Korea it grossed $18m total according to BOM, not that much. I can see Pirates 4 retaining that $88m gap (or even widening it), Potter's legs were pretty bad, its total is almost $660m, $660m + $88m = $748m. Oh, well, let's see what it'll do next week...

Let's not forget that PIRATES 4 had $116m worth of competion with KFP2 and H2...

Screendaily

In Japan, Pirates 4 was down a mere 10% in its second weekend, grossing $13.3m for a total in the market so far of $43.8m.
Other second weekend drops were in the 35%-60% range, with Germany producing a gross of $11.8m, for a territory total of $35.8m; Russia delivering $10.8m, for a $49.9m total; China $10.0m, for a $43.9m total; the UK $7.1m, for a $31.4m total; France $7.1m, for a $24.7m total; Australia $5.4m, for an $18.4m total; Mexico $5.2m, for an $18.5m total; Brazil $4.9m, for a $16.9m total; and Korea $4.6m, for a total of $19.8m.

Russia $49.9m
China $43.9m
Japan $43.8m
Germany $35.8m
UK $31.4m
France $24.7m
Korea $19.8m
Mexico $18.5m
Australia $18.4m
Brazil $16.9m

this is HUGE,,, 700m+ OS will happen

Yeah, it's looking very good to pass $700m, i think it might even nip ROTK (unfortunately). It's holding quite well in the main markets and JAPAN, wow.

X-Men will not be a threat overseas this weekend, the first major threat will probably be Transformers 3.

What a monster.

Do wonder what Harry Potter is going to do OS with 3D. It should top Pirates so would that be 750? 800? Should be interesting to see in July.

Some of the markets that is helping pirates like Japan, Russia and China will not give the same level of help to Potter. In fact looking at Corpse's post about Potter's run in japan, its on a sharp downward spiral.Plus its only 8 months since last film and its not even going to get the dollar depreciation that last 2 films got. So only thing helping Potter is 3D(which appears to be a plus in OS markets). But that still does not guarantee 20%+ increase to DH1's gross.

I think if Pirates can have 2 good weeks, it could AGAIN beat Potter in OS.

DH 1 Made over 670 OS and it didn't have 3D. 3D is still huge OS and this being the last film I can't see why it won't make at least 750 OS. Also the dollar has dropped sharply the last six months. I know the Euro and Yen has made sharp gains on it.

3D plus the fact that this is the very last Potter film and has more action (the first one was a bore in some areas and didn't really have a pivotal climax).

$700m is just about a lock IMO, $750m+ highly likely with $800m a very good shot.

AUSTRALIA (AU$) - Weekend 2

Not a bad drop considering it opened against the huge opening of Hangover 2. Drop was in line with the past Pirates sequels.

$30m looks unlikely unless it receives a huge holiday push, though should be good for at least $26m here. Not bad.

Harry Potter 6: HBP - $29,642,267 ($6,462,870, -55%)
Avatar - $28,994,289 ($8,749,099, -27%)*Boxing or $32,594,716 ($12,349,526)*Monday
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $27,235,703 ($6,269,589, -54%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $26,671,665 ($7,686,250, -40%)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $26,276,913 ($6,029,668, -63%)
The Dark Knight - $25,898,496 ($7,626,120, -35%)
Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $25,850,694 ($6,729,918, -56%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $25,844,984 ($6,225,127, -56%)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $25,608,383 ($5,179,594, -60%)
Shrek 2 - $25,340,125 ($8,502,965, -35%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $24,118,897 ($5,872,528, -40%)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch And The Wardrobe - $23,894,476 ($3,876,439, -42%)
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $23,149,281 ($5,396,651, -58%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $22,944,969 ($7,037,231, -37%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $22,638,420 ($6,421,037, -52%)
The Simpsons Movie - $21,973,691 ($6,157,635, -53%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $21,145,561 ($6,289,576, -48%)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $20,883,134 ($5,130,940, -58%)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $20,856,397 ($6,165,170, -48%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $20,568,149 ($6,012,809, -46%)
Alice In Wonderland - $20,531,568 ($6,463,865, -38%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $20,525,056 ($4,076,203, -66%)
Shrek 3 - $19,963,582 ($5,241,049, -49%)
Spiderman - $19,534,504 ($5,025,270, -52%)
Happy Feet - $19,358,972 ($4,112,507, -38%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $19,309,286 ($7,593,705, -17%)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $18,773,747 ($4,227,920, -57%)
Fast Five - $18,504,310 ($4,103,779, -45%)
Toy Story 3 - $18,353,248 ($6,421,626, -13%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $18,190,505 ($4,923,416, -54%)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $18,106,068 ($5,774,030, -41%)
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $17,857,093 ($5,533,985, -6%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $17,333,852 ($5,157,172, -44%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 4: On Stranger Tides - $17,257,739 ($5,023,472, -49%)
Iron Man 2 - $16,728,692 ($4,565,882, -52%)
Spiderman 2 - $16,702,710 ($4,591,550, -36%)
I Am Legend - $16,431,554 ($3,539,530, -63%)
Inception - $16,329,138 ($5,992,401, -19%)
Transformers - $16,203,472 ($4,737,304, -41%)
Spiderman 3 - $16,172,993 ($4,190,321, -56%)
Finding Nemo - $15,894,094 ($5,984,624, -26%)
Sex And The City - $15,832,035 ($4,563,023, -43%)
The Da Vinci Code - $15,696,245 ($4,245,701, -51%)
Sex And The City 2 - $15,675,895 ($3,959,290, -50%)*Queen’s or $16,413,304 ($4,696,699)*Monday
Hancock - $14,983,654 ($3,960,658, -48%)
Australia - $14,617,283 ($4,105,524, -36%)
Kung Fu Panda - $14,228,853 ($3,997,417, -24%)
Independence Day - $14,267,436 ($4,450,307, -42.4%)
Meet The Fockers - $14,112,158 ($5,345,899, +104%)*8-Day or $15,542,995 ($6,776,736 5-Day)*
War Of The Worlds - $13,952,292 ($3,548,557, -47%)
Fast And Furious - $13,528,220 ($3,030,528, -62%)
Shrek 4 - $13,396,460 ($2,789,699, -43%)
Tangled - $13,354,179 ($3,361,124, -42%)
Clash Of The Titans - $13,306,445 ($3,232,566, -50%)
James Bond: Casino Royale - $13,235,510 ($3,708,400, -45%)
Madagascar - $13,118,640 ($3,624,726, -21%)
Mission Impossible 2 - $13,073,252 ($4,871,668 5-Day, -24%)
Troy - 12,960,879 ($4,296,886, -35%)
X-Men Origins: Wolverine - $12,949,497 ($2,927,434, -56%)
Charlie And The Chocolate Factory - $12,928,120 ($4,142,974, -41%)
Sherlock Holmes - $12,875,790 ($4,665,896, +21%)*NY
Night At The Museum - $12,824,052 ($3,363,465, -17%)
Shrek - $12,612,862 ($3,273,603, -8%)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $12,462,679 ($2,729,160, -66%)
Monsters Inc - $12,375,998 ($3,244,521, -13%)
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $12,334,836 ($3,102,700, -58%)
Charlie’s Angels 2: Full Throttle - $12,326,501 ($3,536,497, -39%)
Mamma Mia! - $12,223,863 ($4,048,272, -25%)
The Bourne Ultimatum - $12,190,859 ($3,934,718, -36%)
Thor - $12,138,466 ($3,063,948, -43%)

Pirates Of The Caribbean: The Curse Of The Black Pearl - $10,456,015 ($3,476,680, -33%)

Nikki is now reporting its OS at 483M. I guess that is a huge jump with actuals. At this point 700M is a lock and most likely will beat ROTK as well.

It's a rough studio estimate incliding Monday.

Yeah I don't expect it to do as great in OS on Monday so that seems to be studio estimates including Monday. Still it's a good number (12m) for its second/third Monday.

It is already at #49 in the All Time WorldWide List after 12 days of release amazing

Box Office Report: 'Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides' Sails Past $700 Mil Mark
The sequel hit the milestone in its 16th day in theaters.
Setting an industry record for speed, Disney's Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides sailed past the $700 million mark at the worldwide box office on Friday, its 16th day in release.
Pirates of the Caribbean:...The pic's international cume now stands at $536.7 million, while it has grossed $172.2 million in North America. The global total is $708.9 million.

Joining the Ice Age 3 club?

Other than a little lesser OW I don't think it is not doing terrible domestically for 4th movie of the franchise.

Pirates is doing great in face of competition in OS. With $537m already and another weekend coming up, it should cross $600m OS total in no time. Though $1b still is out of reach there is a chance to come close to $950m WW total.

JAPAN - Weekend 2

Setting a cracking pace in Japan, it's line ball with Howl's Moving Castle as the largest grosser heading into the 2nd week.

$100m is pretty much assured with this sort of pace

Hauru No Ugoku Shiro (Howl’s Moving Castle) - $44,430,337 ($11,680,683, -17%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 4: On Stranger Tides - $44,406,606 ($13,704,628, -7.6%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $39,843,950 ($9,364,162, -50%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $39,308,175 ($12,325,444/¥1.515bn, -4%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $38,517,357 (¥4.2bn - $11,560,370/¥1.25bn, -14%)
Umizaru 3: The Last Message (2010) - $37,967,952 ($8,184,164, -27.8%)
Alice In Wonderland - $37,698,771 ($10,909,651, -22.3%)
Bayside Shakedown 2 - $37.6m ($7,868,399, -25%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $37,308,970 ($11,362,708/ ¥1.396bn, -32%)
Spiderman 3 - $36,297,112 ($4,938,209, -51%)
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $36,252,874 ($6,437,473, -37.1%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $36,189,637 ($7,243,642, -57%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $36,147,242 ($9,614,786, -20.5%)
Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $35,949,151 ($7,615,882, -34.6%)
Avatar - $34,787,403 ($7,295,818, +5.9%)
Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away) - $34,529,441 (3.3m adms. - $8,680,291, -2%)
Rookies (2009) - $34,443,009 ($10,858,252, -14.5%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $32,435,317 ($6,105,257, -64%)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $31,939,732 ($5,656,288, -66.6%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $31,828,358 ($7,501,339, -49%) or $36,124,725 week
The Da Vinci Code - $31,768,272 ($9,041,674, -20%)
Ponyo On The Cliff By The Sea (2008) - $30,416,964 ($7,591,970, -21.5%)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $30,021,897 ($8,976,329, -21%)
The Borrowers Arrietty (Kari-gurashi No Arietti) (2010) - $29,882,459 ($6,886,234, -32.6%)