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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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3 openers are on moviefone.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 4:43 am |
 
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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16 Blocks - $13.2m
Ultraviolet - $9.1m
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 1:53 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25433
Location: Classified
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Block Party - $18M
16 Blocks - $16M
Ultraviolet - $11M
Aquamarine - $8M
with 1200 theaters Block Party will be #1  . Madea and 16 Blocks will fight it out for #2.
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 4:44 pm |
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RB652
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sun Nov 07, 2004 12:23 pm
Posts: 403
Location: New York City
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16 Blocks - 14.5
Uv - 14.
Dave Chappelle 10m
Aquamarine 7.5m
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 6:15 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Final Predictions
1. Dave Chapelle's Block Party - $17 million
2. 16 Blocks - $15.7 million
3. Madea's Family Reunion - $13 million
4. Eight Below - $11 million
5. Ultraviolet - $9 million
6. Aquamarine - $8 million
7. The Pink Panther - $7.3 million
8. Curious George - $4.6 million
9. Firewall - $4.2 million
10. Date Movie - $4.2 million
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 8:25 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I think the derby average should be awful. The average prediction for Block Party is $7.7 million. Heh.
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 11:40 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Zingaling wrote: I think the derby average should be awful. The average prediction for Block Party is $7.7 million. Heh. And Aquamarine is $8.8M. Hehe.
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 11:46 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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1. Dave Chapelle's Block Party - $13.5M
2. 16 Blocks - $13.2M
3. Madea's Family Reunion - $12.4M
4. Eight Below - $11M
5. Ultraviolet - $8.9M
6. The Pink Panther - $7.1M
7. Curious George - $4.6M
8. Firewall - $4.3M
9. Date Movie - $4.2M
10. Aquamarine - $3.8M
Last edited by Jonathan on Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 11:50 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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WSEX Lines:
16 Blocks - $16.5 million
Ultraviolet - $11.0 million
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| Thu Mar 02, 2006 11:54 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Jon, you gave Aquamarine a little too much credit, I think. If BOM's poll is any indication, the interest (1.9% opening weekend, 70.5% never) is on par with Raise Your Voice (2.2%, 70.8%) and First Daughter (2.3%, 61.5%), statistically speaking. Look like the same $4m opening to me.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:02 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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1. Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $13.2 million
2. 16 Blocks - $12.2 million
3. Madea's Family Reunion - $12 million
4. Eight Below - $11.9 million
5. Ultraviolet - $9 million
6. The Pink Panther - $7.2 million
7. Curious George - $4.7 million
8. Date Movie - $4.1 million
9. Firewall - $4 million
10. Aquamarine - $3.8 million
Another weak weekend. I'll be glad when summer arrives.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:40 am |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Final Derby Predictions:
1. Dave Chapelle's Block Party- $16.2 million
2. 16 Blocks- $14.4 million
3. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion- $13.5 million
4. Ultraviolet- $12.5 million
5. Eight Below- $11.6 million
6. The Pink Panther- $7.2 million
7. Aquamarine- $4.8 million
8. Curious George- $4.7 million
9. Firewall- $4.4 million
10. Date Movie- $4.3 million
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:50 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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xiayun wrote: Jon, you gave Aquamarine a little too much credit, I think. If BOM's poll is any indication, the interest (1.9% opening weekend, 70.5% never) is on par with Raise Your Voice (2.2%, 70.8%) and First Daughter (2.3%, 61.5%), statistically speaking. Look like the same $4m opening to me. Well, they both have simalar theater counts (RYV - 2,521TC/$1,595PTA, FD - 2,260/$1,770), and those at least had Hilary Duff and Pre-Tom Holmes, while this has...JoJo. Yay.
$1,500 PTA for a $3.8M opening.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 12:53 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40601
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 Final predictions
1. Dave Chappele's Block Party - 16.0 million
2. 16 Blocks - 14.3 million
3. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion - 12.9 million
4. Ultraviolet - 13.2 million
5. Eight Below - 11.3 million
6. The Pink Panther - 7.4 million
7. Curious George - 4.7 million
8. Date Movie - 4.3 million
9. Aquamarine - 3.9 million
10. Firewall - 3.8 million
I would've been top 20(actually probably top 10) last week if it wasn't for Running Scared and Doogal, so I'm feeling confident about getting back in a somewhat groove. I'm feeling a better grasp on this weekend than what I have in a long time.
Block Party takes the weekend, $13,500 average. The urban neighbourhoods make their strike.
Madea's Family Reunion drops about 57.5%. Would've been about 54%-55% I think, but Chappele taking 100% the same audience hurts it a lot.
Ultraviolet performs like tracking says. A bit higher than Aeon Flux, but not much.
Aquamarine....Bomb. Duh. $1600 PTA, around Raise Your Voice and New York Minute Levels. I was thinking about going lower due to 0 draw compared to slight help from Duff and the Olsen Twins, but I don't feel comfortable with predicting a <$1500 PTA.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:27 am |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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final derby predictions...
1. 16 Blocks $16.0 mill
2. Dave Chappelle's Block Party $14.9 mill
3. Madea's Family Reunion $12.3 mill
4. Eight Below $11.5 mill
5. Ultraviolet $9.9 mill
6. The Pink Panther $6.8 mill
7. Aquamarine $5.1 mill
8. Curious George $4.6 mill
9. Date Movie $4.6 mill
10. Firewall $4.1 mill
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:56 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Final Derby predictions.
1. 16 Blocks - 15.1m (5500 pta)
2. Madea's Family Reunion - 13.8m (-54%)
3. Dave Chappelle's Block Party - 13.7m (11400 pta)
4. 8 Below - 11.4m (-28%)
5. Ultraviolet - 10.2m (just under 4000 pta)
6. Pink Panther - 7.3m (-34%)
7. Date Movie - 4.7m (-48%)
8. Curious George - 4.7m (-35%)
9. Aquamarine - 4.4m (1750 pta)
10. Firewall - 4.1m (-39%)
Top Ten - 89.4m
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 4:31 am |
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LittleBeaver
Wall-E
Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
Posts: 898
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Ultra... so... Ultraviolet... is it going OVER or UNDER 11.5 million?
How about Zing or Xiay... anyone?
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 5:45 am |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
Posts: 1335
Location: Austin, TX
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16 Blocks - 16
Dave Chappelle - 14
8 Below - 12.7
Medea - 12
Ultraviolet - 10
Pink Panther - 7.7
Curious George - 5.0
Date Movie - 4.7
Firewall - 3.9
Aquamarine - 3
Ultraviolet and Aquamarine could be higher, but there's a lot of choices this weekend, I think Medea will be hammered
_________________
"Do or do not, there is no try."
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 5:52 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: Ultra... LittleBeaver wrote: so... Ultraviolet... is it going OVER or UNDER 11.5 million?
How about Zing or Xiay... anyone? I have my prediction right at $11.5m. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 6:07 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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I think this is what I predicted. Off the top of my head:
16 Blocks: 16.2m
Ultraviolet: 13.1m
Medea: 12.1m
Block Party: 10.8m
8 Below: 10.9m
PP: 7.4m
CG: 5.0m
Date Movie: 5.0m
Firewall: 3.9m (hurt by 16B)
Aquamarine: 3.8m
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 7:17 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/forecast/
Brandon went quite high on Block Party.
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 7:29 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Eh, I made some changes. I think I might have been too low on 16 Blocks.
Final Predictions
1. 16 Blocks - $14.8 million (NEW)
2. Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $14.4 million (NEW)
3. Madea's Family Reunion - $13.5 million (-55.0%)
4. Ultraviolet - $11.8 million (NEW)
5. Eight Below - $11.6 million (-27.0%)
6. The Pink Panther - $7.7 million (-31.0%)
7. Date Movie - $4.8 million (-47.0%)
8. Curious George - $4.7 million (-35.0%)
9. Firewall - $4.2 million (-38.0%)
10. Aquamarine - $4.2 million (NEW)
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 7:35 am |
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Necronomic
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sun Nov 20, 2005 5:13 pm
Posts: 54
Location: Russia
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My predictions:
1 Dave Chappelle's Block Party $16
2 Ultraviolet $14.0
3 Madea's Family Reunion $13
4 16 Blocks $12
5 Eight Below $10.5
6 The Pink Panther $6.8
7 Aquamarine $5.2
8 Curious George $4.7
9 Date Movie $4.5
10 Firewall $4
_________________
my name is Jury Galimov
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 8:05 am |
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Dworkin
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 10:14 am
Posts: 55
Location: Moskow, Russia
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Derby
16 Blocks 15.6
Dave Chappelle’s Block Party 14.1
Madea’s Family Reunion 13.2
Eight Below 11.1
Ultraviolet 10.2
The Pink Panther 7.2
Curious George 4.7
Date Movie 4.6
Aquamarine 4.3
Firewall 3.8
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 9:45 am |
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Anonymous
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Ouch. I am in for a dreadful derby...what's the deal with this Chappelle's movie? Many predict over $10k pta.
1. 16 Blocks $14.4m
2. Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion $13.3m
3. Eight Below $9.4m
4. Ultraviolet $8.4m
5. The Pink Panther $7.0m
6. Aquamarine $6.0m
7. Date Movie $4.6m
8. Dave Chappelle's Block Party $4.2m
9. Curious George $4.2m
10. Firewall $4.2m
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| Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:02 am |
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